The first third-quarter smartphone sales data are out, revealing that Huawei retained its leading position in the fiercely competitive Chinese market. But the high flying Huawei also saw its share drop by more than one percentage point, indicating its momentum may be slowing. At the same time, other reports are saying that Meizu, the Alibaba-backed (NYSE: BABA) smartphone brand that isn’t in the China top 5, has signed on a small group of new investors in a deal that hints at a possible upcoming IPO.
Let’s jump right in with the big-picture numbers, which are coming in new quarterly data from TrendForce. According to that data, Huawei controlled 19.1 percent of the Chinese smartphone market in the third quarter, down from 20.4 percent in the previous quarter. (Chinese article) Total smartphone sales in China reached 168 million for the quarter. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Lei Jun’s resignation as YY chairman to focus on his struggling Xiaomi reflects his own fading star power, while Huawei is unlikely to reach its goal of taking 10 percent of the India smartphone market by the end of next year.
Lei Jun steps down as YY chairman
A couple of smartphone stories are in the headlines on this final day of the work week, capping a flurry of industry news that reflects the turmoil in China’s overheated market. Both items are relatively second-tier news, led by the resignation of Lei Jun from his position as chairman of social networking site YY (Nasdaq: YY) to focus on reviving his ailing Xiaomi smartphone empire. The other item has market leader Huawei hyping India, where it is getting set to launch a manufacturing facility and has ambitious plans for taking 10 percent of the market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Xiaomi’s new move into notebook PCs looks like a necessary step toward its goal of creating an ecosystem of entertainment products and services, but is likely to suffer from weak reviews and stiff competition from established brands.
Xiaomi rolls out notebook PCs
I really want to write something positive about fading smartphone maker Xiaomi these days, but the company really isn’t giving us much suitable material with its steady string of new but uninspired products. The latest of those is a couple of new notebook PC models, marking its move into a crowded area where it will face stiff competition from established players like Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Lenovo (HKEx: 992), as well as new entrant Huawei.
One could argue that while Xiaomi is coming late to the notebook PC game, such a move is still necessary since such computers will be a critical component to the company’s dream of building an ecosystem of products and services around a range of interfaces like PCs, smartphones and TVs. And Xiaomi is still ahead of the more upward trending LeEco (Shenzhen: 300104), which likes the ecosystem idea so much that it actually changed its former name from LeTV to include this recent industry buzzword. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: New data shows Huawei’s smartphone sales growth slowed sharply in the second quarter, and the company will be lucky to log 20 percent annual growth due to saturation in its home China market.
Huawei smartphone growth slows sharply in Q2
The first of many reports for second-quarter smartphone sales has just come out, revealing one of the first declines in more than a year for the surging Huawei. At the same time, the new data from TrendForce show that surging Chinese brands Oppo and Vivo are also seeing rapid slowdowns in their recent breakneck growth. The bigger picture is that the global smartphone market is slowing sharply or even contracting after years of rapid growth, with global leaders Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Samsung (Seoul: 005930) also suffering big drops this year. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Google’s new opening of an experience center in Shenzhen is the latest signal of a planned return to China, which could include the launch of a Google Play Store and Nexus smartphones in the market by year-end.
Google opens experience center in Shenzhen
After a few months of relative silence, global Internet titan Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) is back in the China headlines with a new move that’s restarting talk of a return to the market after a 6-year absence. This particular China homecoming has now been in the headlines for about a year, meaning it’s not really new and would be quite a disappointment if it doesn’t happen. Still, China is a notoriously difficult place to do business, especially in sensitive high-tech areas involving the Internet, and there’s still a small chance such a homecoming plan could collapse. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Reluctance to transfer its technology killed CRI’s breakthrough deal to build the first US high-speed rail line, showing that emerging Chinese tech leaders must be more open to such transfers if they hope to succeed globally.
CRI’s high-speed train to US derails
The story that has seen China’s rapid modernization using western technology took an unusual twist last week, when a US firm aiming to build America’s first high-speed rail line abruptly canceled its tie-up with a Chinese partner over technology transfer issues. The US builder of the line connecting Los Angeles and Las Vegas was quite direct, blaming its decision on Washington’s condition requiring that rail cars for the project be locally manufactured. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s new self-calculated valuation of $185 billion looks realistic and even possibly low, but the stock will remain under pressure until the intentions of big stakeholders SoftBank and Yahoo become clearer.
Alibaba estimates value at $185 bln
It’s not often that you get to see a major company put a value on itself, but that’s exactly what we’re getting as a result of new information coming from this week’s sale of nearly $8 billion worth of stock in Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). I’ll end the suspense right away and say that Alibaba has valued itself at about $185 billion with the latest sale of a big block of its stock held by longtime Japanese backer SoftBank. While that number looks quite impressive, it’s also noteworthy because it values Alibaba quite a bit lower than arch-rival Tencent (HKEx: 700), as the pair jostle for the title of China’s biggest Internet company. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Micromax’s plan to sell smartphones in China is likely to sputter due to intense competition, while Huawei stands a 50-60 percent chance of becoming one of the world’s top 2 smartphone brands by 2020.
India’s Micromax eyes China smartphone market
It seems the smartphone road connecting China and India isn’t just one-way, with word that leading Indian brand Micromax is planning to enter the intensely cut-throat Chinese market. Meantime, Chinese leader Huawei is looking beyond its home market and to the rest of the globe, with its brash smartphone chief declaring his target of passing Apple(Nasdaq: AAPL) and Samsung (Seoul: 005930) to take the world’s smartphone crown within 5 years. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The 5 percent drop in China smartphone sales during the first quarter reflects the market’s current state of saturation, which will lead to more bankruptcies this year for suppliers and second-tier brands.
Xiaomi slips to third in China smartphone market
New data from China are shining a spotlight on the sudden slipping of global giant Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) in the world’s largest smartphone market, as well as the slower decline of homegrown challenger Xiaomi. At the same time, the 5 percent decline in first-quarter shipments in the huge but intensely competitive China market bodes poorly for everyone. That includes a growing number of suppliers to the big brands like contract manufacturing giant FIH Mobile (HKEx: 2038), which has just warned that its profits are coming under intense pressure.
Much has been written about the effects that intense competition are having on Chinese smartphone brands, many of which are either barely profitable or are even losing money. But the toll has been even bigger on many of their suppliers like FIH, which makes phones for the likes of Xioami and Sony (Tokyo: 6758) and are coming under even bigger pressure due to slowing orders and cries from their customers for lower prices. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tiger Brokers could see strong growth by banking on Chinese demand for US and Hong Kong stocks, but also faces some risk if Beijing decides to regulate the company as a financial firm.
Tiger Brokers eyes Chinese with appetite for US, HK stocks
I’m kicking off my new series on noteworthy venture-backed companies with the fast-growing Tiger Brokers, which is feeding off a Chinese love of stocks and growing demand for access to overseas markets. In the current climate where China’s own stock markets have become quite volatile and prone to big sell-offs, Tiger’s gateway to the US and Hong Kong stock markets could prove a potent draw to Chinese traders looking to diversify their portfolios with international stocks from more mature markets.
In a small but highly symbolic footnote to this story, Tiger is also finally giving Chinese investors access to many of China’s hottest companies that are traded overseas, including the Internet “big 3” of Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and Tencent (HKEx: 700). That could ultimately provide some upside for many of those stocks over the longer term, since Chinese investors are likely to boost trading volumes for many of these homegrown companies whose shares previously languished due to lack of familiarity among western investors. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Huawei stands a reasonably good chance of meeting its goal of becoming the world’s second largest smartphone brand in the next 3 years, while ZTE’s sell-off with the resumption of trading in its shares looks overblown.
Huawei unveils mid-range P9 at London event
Two of China’s oldest and largest telecoms names are in the headlines, though Huawei and smaller rival ZTE are moving in opposite directions as we close out the week. New data are showing that Huawei continued to pick up share in China’s smartphone market in February, as the division’s head discussed his latest timeline for overtaking global leaders Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Samsung (Seoul: 005930) in the next 4-5 years. Meantime, shares of ZTE finally resumed trading, and promptly tumbled as much as 16 percent, after a difficult few weeks due to a tussle with Washington.
The 2 stories reflect the opposite recent paths of these crosstown rivals, both based in the southern Chinese boomtown of Shenzhen. Huawei’s rapid rise in the smartphone space dates back to the middle of last year. ZTE’s woes are more recent, dating back to last month when Washington punished the company for illegally selling US-made equipment to Iran. But I would caution that Huawei’s rising fortunes could quickly run out of fuel in the fast-changing smartphone world, while ZTE may be oversold following resolution of its tussle with Washington. Read Full Post…
