Bottom line: Starbucks and Uber are likely to scale back their latest aggressive China expansion plans as the nation’s economy slows and consumers rein in their spending on non-essential items and services.
Starbucks accelerates China expansion
China’s economy may be heading for a new era of slower growth, but you would never know that by looking at the latest moves by Uber and Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX), 2 global leaders in their categories of hired car services and retailing. The first instance has Uber completing a major fund-raising for its China unit and forming a new tie-up in travel services. Meantime, Starbucks is steaming ahead with plans to nearly double its China store count by 2019.
As a neutral observer of both companies, I have to say that both Starbucks and Uber are being just slightly naive in ignoring all the signs of a major Chinese economic slowdown that could ultimately lead to woes now confronting countries like Greece and Spain. In that kind of environment, it’s far from clear that consumers will still enthusiastically shell out $5 for a cup of coffee at Starbucks when they could buy a cup of tea for far less, or that they will pay similar amounts for a hired car instead of taking the bus or subway. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: New scandals involving fraudsters using Baidu and Ctrip platforms highlight a major problem for major web companies from third-party merchants, but are unlikely to have a big impact on their business.
Frausters make headaches for Baidu, Ctrip
Two new scandals involving leading travel services provider Ctrip(Nasdaq: CTRP) and top search engine Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) are shining a spotlight on the daily battle China’s top Internet firms must do with the hundreds of fraudsters lurking online. The first case has Baidu dealing with fraudsters who tried to sell products on its Tieba social communities service, while Ctrip has landing in trouble after 2 people bought invalid tickets from independent travel agencies on one of its open marketplaces.
The biggest case for this kind of fraud came a year ago, when China’s commerce regulator released a report showing huge volumes of trafficking in pirated goods on the Taobao marketplace operated by leading e-commerce site Alibaba(NYSE: BABA). In all of these cases the fraud isn’t being directly committed by the big-name companies, but rather by small, third-party merchants doing business on their sites. But the big Internet names are realizing that they are ultimately responsible for the reliability of all transactions taking place on their sites. Read Full Post…
The newest “Star Wars” movie is in two headlines this week, led by a strong debut for the seventh installment in the franchise that has just opened in China several weeks after its global premier. The movie is also in headlines related to a new initiative by the hyperactive China Media Capital (CMC), which has just formed a joint venture with a company that made some of the special effects for “Star Wars: The Force Awakens”. In this case CMC’s new partner is Base FX, a Beijing-based start-up with strong ties to Hollywood.
Much has been written about prospects for the new “Star Wars” movie in China, where the franchise isn’t very well known because none of the first 6 films in the series were screened in the country unit recently. To address that problem, the movie’s producer Disney (NYSE: DIS) has been working overtime to promote the film in China, with relatively strong results. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Lenovo’s plans to turn around its struggling smartphone business lack focus and are likely to fail, which could ultimately result in the exit of longtime chief Yang Yuanqing this year.
Lenovo denies plans to change Motorola logo
Computer giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992) was busy showcasing its latest PCs at a major trade show last week in Las Vegas, but industry watchers were far more interested in the outlook for its struggling smartphone business. That’s because 2016 could easily become a make-or-break year for Lenovo, which desperately needs to turn around a smartphone unit that will be critical to its future growth.
In response to a flurry of questions focused on its smartphones, talkative CEO Yang Yuanqing said his company is making steady progress in the BRICS markets of Brazil and India, and that he’s aiming to set Lenovo back on an upward track in its home China market. Lenovo also announced a vague new smartphone partnership with Google (Nasdaq: GOOG), and denied any plans to jettison its the famous bat-wing logo for its recently acquired Motorola brand.Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Vipshop shop shares could see some upside if the company improves its public relations and its revenue and profit growth stabilize at current levels.
Vipshop dogged by fake liquor scandal
A scandal involving pirated liquor is cooling down former e-commerce high-flyer Vipshop (NYSE: VIPS), in an episode reminiscent of a much larger brouhaha that devoured sector leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) almost exactly a year ago. In this case, the scandal involving fake Moutai liquor has been dragging on for more than 2 weeks now, and the latest development has Vipshop apologizing for its lack of transparency in handling the incident.
Some are saying this particular scandal could just be the tip of the iceberg, and that numerous other fake products could be lurking on Vipshop’s website that specializes in bargains for lesser-known brands. But in my view, slowing growth is the real cause for concern among Vipshop investors, many of whom are taking advantage of this news as an excuse to sell their stock. Read Full Post…
Many things have changed about China over the last 30 years, but one of the few that’s remained constant over that time is the country’s love of collecting stamps and other commemorative memorabilia. We were reminded of that fact once more this past week, when throngs of people lined up outside our local post offices and waited for hours in the winter cold to buy a new set of stamps celebrating the upcoming Year of the Monkey.
It’s interesting to see that stamps have retained such a strong place in the local consciousness, since the sending of snail mail that’s their true purpose is quickly becoming a thing of the past. But a closer look at the lingering stamp-collecting craze shines a spotlight on yet another major trend in contemporary China, since a big majority of people who often wait in line for hours are often older retirees who actually do still send letters. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Sina’s new deal to broadcast the video channel of the Manchester United soccer team looks like a good bet, while LeTV’s new deal to broadcast US baseball games is more likely to strike out.
Sina tries soccer with Man United
Leading web portal Sina (Nasdsaq: SINA) and online video giant LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) have just announced 2 new sporting deals, extending a recent streak of similar investments by media companies in search of exclusive content. The first deal will see Sina become the official broadcaster in China for Britain’s Manchester United soccer club, while the second will see LeTV’s sports division get similar rights for live broadcasts of US Major League Baseball (MLB).
Both moves are really just licensing deals, though each could become an important new revenue source for Sina and LeTV as they search for exclusive content to lure viewers to their services. From a quantity perspective, LeTV is the big winner in this new round of deals since it will gain rights to hundreds of baseball games played in America each year. But Sina is the winner from a quality perspective, since soccer is far more popular in China than baseball, which is relatively unknown among average Chinese. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on January 9. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Alibaba’s (NYSE: BABA) Ant Financial Approved for Internet Bank in South Korea (Chinese article)
Gaming Firm Perfect World Returns to China A-shares via TV Studio Affiliate (English article)
Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) Announces $180 Mln Investment in Indian Peer MakeMyTrip (PRNewswire)
ZTE (HKEx: 763) Chairman Hou Weigui to Step Down at Next Board Meeting in March (Chinese article)
LeTV Sports in Partnership to Live Stream Major League Baseball Games in China (Businesswire)
Bottom line: The delay in Netflix’s plans to enter China this year may be due to lobbying from domestic online video companies, and it could be several more years before it gets permission to form a China venture.
China absent in major Netflix expansion
Shareholders of US entertainment giant Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX) will be disappointed to learn that China wasn’t included on the company’s global road map, as it announced a major expansion for its signature online video service. Many believed that an entry to China could come as early as this year, after media reported last spring that Netflix was in talks to set up a Chinese online video joint venture with Wasu Media (Shenzhen: 000156), which is backed by e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA).
But the road into China was never going to be easy for any foreign online video company, due to Beijing’s heavy censorship of the Internet and also its inherent bias against big foreign companies. All that said, Netflix isn’t exactly writing off China completely either, but is simply saying its road into the market may take longer than it previously hoped. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Huawei’s move into the US smartphone market looks like a logical and necessary step to consolidating its place as a top global brand, but will require years of major investment to succeed.
Huawei to sell smartphones in US
Riding high on strong momentum from the second half of 2015, smartphone maker Huaweiis aiming to fill the last major black hole in its global footprint by entering the US. The new campaign carries special significance for Huawei, since the company was banned from selling its older networking equipment in the US several years back due to national security concerns from Washington.
The move into the US was just one of many topics that Huawei executives discussed at CES, the world’s biggest consumer electronics show taking place this week in Las Vegas. But it was the move the attracted the most attention due to Huawei’s past frustrations with one of the world’s biggest markets for both networking equipment and smartphones. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Fairchild’s decision to negotiate a potential sale of the company to China Resources looks like a bargaining tactic to force previous suitor ON Semiconductor to sweeten its earlier bid.
Fairchild opens sale talks with China Resources
In a move that comes as a bit of a surprise, high-tech chip maker Fairchild Semiconductor (NYSE: FCS) has indicated it is open to selling itself to a Chinese buyer after previously appearing to reject an unsolicited bid from China Resources. The move comes as China looks to beef up its chip-making capabilities through an M&A campaign aimed at buying up companies and their technology in the consolidating global semiconductor market.
Fairchild had previously agreed to be purchased by US rival ON Semiconductor (Nasdaq: ON), and last month it rejected an unsolicited bid from a group that was reportedly led by China Resources, one of China’s oldest and largest conglomerates. So this change of tune could indicate Fairchild is open to acquisition by a Chinese buyer. But it could also be a bargaining ploy to get a higher price from ON. Read Full Post…
