Bottom line: TVB’s choice of a Shanghai-based traditional broadcaster as its mainland partner looks like a bad selection to ensure its future, as such traditional media rapidly get overtaken by more nimble Internet-based players.
TVB places bets on Shanghai Gang
Hong Kong has been buzzing this past week over the latest mainland encroachment on its media sector, which is seeing leading broadcaster TVB (HKEx: 511) sell a stake in itself to a Chinese investor. But few have gone past the headlines to see what’s really behind this deal, and whether it can help to ensure the longer term survival of a company that has long dominated Hong Kong’s broadcasting scene. In a nutshell, TVB is placing its bets on a group of Chinese media high-flyers that I like to call the “Shanghai Gang”, because they are rooted in China’s largest media market and have strong ties to the city’s monopoly broadcaster, Shanghai Media Group (SMG). Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Ant Financial’s bid for a stake in Indian smartphone maker Micromax reflects Alibaba’s recent focus on India, as it seeks to expand to markets where it can quickly grow and justify its high valuation.
Alibaba unit eyes Micromax investment
E-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) appears to have its sights set on India, with word that the company’s financial arm is leading a group that could invest $1 billion or more for a stake in local smartphone giant Micromax. The reported bid is being led by Ant Financial, which is separately run from Alibaba and has no equity relationship with the US-listed e-commerce giant. But such a bid would clearly be part of Alibaba’s broader global expansion, as it tries to justify its lofty valuation following a record IPO last September. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Many of Alibaba’s older stakeholders are likely to sell some or all of their shares after their lock-up period ends, driving the stock down to or even below its IPO level over the coming months.
Alibaba lock-up period ends
Top managers at China’s Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) are almost certainly watching their company’s stock with acute angst this week, even as business continues as usual with word of the e-commerce leader’s latest overseas expansion into Korea. The angst is the direct result of an end to the lock-up period for Alibaba’s stock, which could technically flood the market with up to 340 million shares that were forbidden from trading for the first 6 months after its record-breaking $25 billion IPO.
Put differently, all of those shares would be worth about $29 billion at Alibaba’s current price, accounting for more than one-tenth of its total market capitalization of about $210 billion. The shares officially become eligible for trading when the lock-up period ends on Wednesday, March 18, which is exactly 6 months after the shares made their trading debut on the New York Stock Exchange. (Chinese article) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Beijing needs to roll out new rules allowing limited foreign investment in sensitive areas or risk seeing private companies like Ant Financial suffer from slower growth and artificially low valuations.
foreign investment bans need new approach
Alibaba-affiliated (NYSE: BABA) Ant Financial has been on a financial roller coaster ride over the past month, as it tries to raise billions of dollar to fund its growth en route to an IPO that will offer Chinese investors one of their first plays into the private banking sector. Some reports have said the new funding could value Ant, whose largest asset is the Alipay electronic payments service, at up to $50 billion. But others have put the figure as low as $30 billion, reflecting the intense negotiations taking place. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A current round of big fund raising for Chinese tech firms will continue through the first half of the year but then start to fade, leading to a steady drop in valuations for such companies.
51Auto raises $30 mln in new funds
The fund-raising frenzy for Chinese tech companies continues as we head into the end of January, with word of another mega funding worth $100 million for childcare website Beibei.com. At the same time, a used car specialist called 51Auto has landed a nifty $30 million in its own new funding round. But my favorite story from the fund-raising realm comes from a company that has created a PC for dogs, and has found a backer to give it 5 million yuan ($800,000) for the endeavor. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba could make a bid to buy Yahoo as part of a broader overhaul of the relationship between these 2 Internet companies, but personal and other issues could ultimately hamper such a deal.
Yahoo to sell remaining Alibaba stake?
Media have been focused these last 2 days on reports of a new mega purchase by Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) in the insurance space, but another report centers on a far more intriguing possible deal involving the e-commerce giant’s long relationship with faded US search giant Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO). That particular relationship has undergone huge changes since the pair first formed their partnership a decade ago, and could easily be the subject of a book. In the latest chapter to that story, a new report is speculating that Alibaba could make a bid for Yahoo in the next year as it seeks to go global following its blockbuster IPO in 2014. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Disappointing results for fund-raising by Wanda Cinema Line and Kuaidi taxi app show a recent boom in new funding for private Chinese companies may have crested and will wane for the rest of the year.
Kuaidi fund-raising diappoints
The crest of a huge wave of new fund raising for private Chinese firms may have passed, with word that 2 major new deals that should have attracted big investor interest have instead met with weaker-than-expected response. The first of those has seen investors give a lukewarm reception to a domestic IPO for Wanda Cinema Line, the nation’s first major movie theater operator to list. The second has seen taxi app operator Kuadi raise $500 million in a private funding round, which doesn’t sound too bad. But the figure is actually quite a bit lower than Kuaidi’s earlier plan and is also lower than a similar recent fund-raising round for leading rival Didi. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on January 15. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Dalian Wanda (HKEx: 3699) Says 4 Investors To Put $3.9 Bln Into 20 New Malls (English article)
Wanda Cinema Line Issues Stock At Low Price, Well Below Other Valuations (Chinese article)
Suning (Shenzhen: 002024) Forms Logistics, Financing Unit (Chinese article)
Bottom line: Linekong’s IPO should price in the middle of its range and post modest gains on its trading debut, while Dalian Wanda will price near the bottom of its range and debut flat to down slightly.
Linekong aims for December 19 trading debut
The year-end rush of IPOs is steaming ahead in Hong Kong, with online game operator Linekong popping back into the headlines for a year-end listing, as property giant Dalian Wanda starts to sell its own IPO story to investors. The former deal is relatively large for an online game company, aiming to raise nearly $200 million. Meantime, the latter could become the biggest IPO Hong Kong has seen in several years, with the potential to raise nearly $4 billion. Frankly speaking, neither of these deals looks too exciting to me as both come in sectors plagued by overcapacity and stiff competition. But that said, at least Dalian Wanda could be a good longer-term bet due to its status as one of China’s best-run and biggest commercial property developers. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s new mega bond will pressure it to find good uses for its huge cash pile, while Tencent’s Warner Music tie-up is part of a new wave of deals to monetize its SNS platforms.
Alibaba plans mega bond offer
Leading Internet companies Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and Tencent (HKEx: 700) are both in the headlines today with major new deals, spotlighting their growing need to stay in the news to remind investors why they are valued so high. The larger of the 2 news bits has Alibaba planning to raise a hefty $8 billion through a bond offer, while the other has Tencent in a major new tie-up with Warner Music, one of the world’s top record labels.
I was mostly impressed by the sheer size of Alibaba’s bond offer plan, which is easily the largest I’ve seen by a Chinese Internet company. Tencent launched its own $5 billion bond program earlier this year, but has had to offer the notes in several tranches due to the huge size. (previous post) Baidu raised its own $1.5 billion in a bond offer 2 years ago, and in June announced plans for another major offering without specifying any specific fund-raising targets. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) fever has finally peaked, as shares of the e-commerce leader and its 2 major proxies took a needed breather after a turbo-charged IPO that made it China’s most valuable Internet firm. As a final footnote, the company also made the widely expected announcement that its underwriters exercised their rights to buy additional shares in the offering, officially making it the biggest IPO of all time. But the looming question for now is whether the sell-off on the second day of trading is short-term or the start of a much-needed correction. Regular readers will know my forecast is that the stock is set for turbulent trading over its first month or two, before it moves steadily downward over the next year to levels closer to its IPO price. Read Full Post…
