Bottom line: The new Shanghai Disneyland may ultimately need to lower prices and control admittance to avoid negative publicity that could hurt its image, forcing analysts to lower some earlier bullish forecasts for the resort.
Shanghai Disney opens with fanfare
I do feel like I’ve written just a tad too much about the new Disney (NYSE: DIS) Resort here in Shanghai, which has just held its carefully scripted grand opening with surprisingly few glitches or negative publicity. But then again, the $5.5 billion investment is likely to be the largest for China this year, and Disney has averaged less than one new park per decade since opening its first Disneyland in Los Angeles in 1955. And based on previous experience, the new Shanghai Disney resort may also land at the center of at least a few minor scandals before it finally finds a more stable long-term footing, which could include a tempering of initial bullish profit forecasts. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: JD.com will quietly close Yihaodian after acquiring the online store from Walmart, and Amazon is the most likely next large player to withdraw from China’s e-commerce market in the next few years.
JD.com takes over Walmart’s Yihaodian
In what can only be described as a major surrender, Walmart (NYSE: WMT) is selling its struggling online flagship Yihaodian in exchange for about $1.5 billion worth of shares in JD.com (Nasdaq: JD), China’s second largest e-commerce player. The development isn’t a complete surprise, since Yihaodian has struggled to compete with JD and industry titan Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) since Walmart purchased the company 4 years ago. The withdrawal also shines a spotlight on the very real fact that foreign companies often can’t compete on China’s Internet, and raises the question of whether Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) might be the next to abandon the complex market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Midea’s investment in Kuka is likely to move ahead and could be successful, but will be far more costly than a Chinese joint venture between the 2 sides that would have achieved most of Midea’s objectives.
Berlin OKs Midea’s Kuka investment
After showing growing signs of collapse, a deal that would see Chinese appliance giant Midea (Shenzhen: 000333) buy a large stake in German industrial robotics firm Kuka (Frankfurt: KU2) is suddenly springing back to life, with word the deal has received the official nod from Berlin. But Berlin is only giving its approval with a number of major conditions, including reassurances that Midea won’t try to buy a majority of Kuka and also that Kuka’s German-based jobs will be protected. Such a compromise looks promising and could ultimately help to seal the deal. But it also raises the question of why exactly Midea needs to make this particular form of investment. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Reuters decision to put its Chinese-language website on hold is partly a surrender to Beijing, but also acknowledges that new approaches are needed to succeed in the nation’s restrictive media space.
Reuters revamps China consumer strategy
No one else is writing about the latest strategic shift at Reuters’ (NYSE: TRI) Chinese language news site in Beijing, probably because the actual number of headcount reductions is quite small, at less than 10. But the move has huge symbolic significance, since it looks like an admission of defeat to Beijing censors who blocked the site in China more than a year ago. At the same time, the move also represents a certain realism, and the fact that Chinese consumers increasingly get their news via other channels anyhow, most notably social media. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A Chinese group’s plan to buy the low-end chip business of Dutch firm NXP could be part of a newer Beijing strategy for buying western chip-related assets focused on older, less sensitive technologies and smaller companies.
China buys NXP assets
Even as its bid to take over a leading German robotics firm shows signs of crumbling, China is attempting yet another high-tech purchase in Europe with a newly announced plan to buy a major part of the business of microchip maker NXP Semiconductor (Nasdaq: NXPI). China tech watchers will know the earlier crumbling bid I’m referring to is coming from Chinese home appliance maker Midea (Shenzhen: 000333), which is trying to buy a major stake in Germany’s Kuka (Frankfurt: KU2). Now this newest bid has a couple of Chinese investment companies offering to pay $2.75 billion for NXP’s standard products business, which makes diodes, transistors and other basic parts for cars and consumer devices. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Okmetic’s sale to a Chinese buyer was uncontested because of the company’s small size and youth, but the case could be closely watched to see how China might handle future takeovers of larger western chip makers.
Okmetic shareholders approve China takeover
China’s sudden appetite for overseas high-tech chip makers is attracting growing resistance from wary western governments, but one deal that seems to be avoiding such tensions is the purchase of Finnish company Okmetic (Helsinki: OKM1V). Just 2 months after announcing its plans to be acquired by China’s National Silicon Industry Group (NSIG), Okmetic has moved steadily forward with the plan and has just announced that holders of an overwhelming 93 percent of its shares have agreed to accept the offer. (company announcement) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: McDonald’s is likely to reach a final deal to sell its China-owned stores by the end of summer, while Cheesecake Factory is likely to enjoy modest success as it launches its first China stores.
Cheesecake Factory comes to Shanghai
A couple of restaurant stories are in the headlines today, one featuring fast-food veteran McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD) as it seeks a new China partner, and the other starring the popular US Cheesecake Factory (Nasdaq: CAKE) chain as it prepares to open its first China restaurant. The McDonald’s story is clearly the larger of the stories, and focuses on a drive to shed direct ownership of its China stores and move to a franchise-based model that has underpinned its success in the west. Meantime, I have to admit that one of my main reasons for writing about Cheesecake Factory is that I used to be a big fan of the chain, though the remote location of its first China restaurant means I probably won’t dine there. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Reluctance to transfer its technology killed CRI’s breakthrough deal to build the first US high-speed rail line, showing that emerging Chinese tech leaders must be more open to such transfers if they hope to succeed globally.
CRI’s high-speed train to US derails
The story that has seen China’s rapid modernization using western technology took an unusual twist last week, when a US firm aiming to build America’s first high-speed rail line abruptly canceled its tie-up with a Chinese partner over technology transfer issues. The US builder of the line connecting Los Angeles and Las Vegas was quite direct, blaming its decision on Washington’s condition requiring that rail cars for the project be locally manufactured. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Shanghai Disneyland will suffer from teething problems in its first year, most notably negative publicity due to high prices in the park, but will gradually overcome that resistance to become one of Disney’s most profitable resorts.
Shanghai Disney set for strong opening
Everyone is buzzing about the looming opening of Disney’s first mainland China resort, so I thought I’d weigh in with my own forecast for the $5.5 billion Shanghai Disneyland set to formally open this Thursday. In addition to all the facts and figures flying about, my assessment includes a personal visit to the newest Disneyland over the past weekend for a preview visit ahead of the grand opening. I thought the crowds would be restricted during the preview period to give a good impression to visiting reporters and VIPs, but was slightly surprised to find the place quite packed. But more on that shortly. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Chinese companies need to demonstrate they are trustworthy and won’t steal their business partners’ IP, or risk seeing continued resistance to cross-border deals like Midea’s planned investment in Kuka.
Trust needed to reduce resistance to Midea-Kuka deal
As European opposition rapidly grows towards China’s latest attempt at major global M&A, many are missing the point when they blame cross-border politics for threatening a proposed deal that would see Chinese appliance maker Midea (Shenzhen: 000333) buy 30 percent of German robotics firm Kuka (Frankfurt: KU2). Politics may be partly to blame for the growing alarm signals in Europe over the deal, since many westerners still worry about ties between Beijing and big companies like Midea, which are private but whose major stakeholders often have government backgrounds. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: HNA’s potential bid for 2 South American airlines looks opportunistic and could succeed due to its likely willingness to overpay, while Jin Jiang’s latest attempt to boost its stake in Accor could presage a takeover bid this year or next.
HNA eyes South American airlines
Two major tourism deals are in the headlines as the new week begins, reflecting Chinese companies’ desire to capitalize on the growing number of local tourists traveling abroad. Leading the news is word that Hainan Airlines (Shanghai: 600221) parent HNA Group is in talks to purchase South American carrier Avianca, just a week after the company made another major investment in Australian carrier Virgin Australia (Sydney: VBA). (previous post) The other headline has hotel company Jin Jiang (HKEx: 2006; Shanghai: 600754) trying to slowly take control of French giant Accor (Paris: AC), with word it wants to further boost a stake that it started buying early this year. Read Full Post…
