E-commerce leader Alibaba’s long-awaited announcement that it will buy back 20 percent of its shares from Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO) is finally offering investors something they haven’t seen in a long time: A new chance to buy into a Chinese Internet firm that actually earns money. Unfortunately for most investors, they won’t have a chance to buy into the company anytime soon, as Alibaba is likely to sell most of its recently repurchased shares to big institutional buyers willing to fork over a minimum of tens of millions of dollars and more likely hundreds of millions of dollars for a piece of China’s top e-commerce company. But smaller institutional and retail investors could also get their opportunity in the not too distant future, with word that the buyout deal announced earlier this week provides strong incentives for Alibaba to make its own IPO by the end of next year, a deal that could help to return some excitement to the struggling market for Chinese Internet stocks. Just a day after announcing its landmark buyback, Alibaba is reportedly already in talks with a number of institutional buyers who want to purchase some of the stake, including Singapore’s massive sovereign wealth fund Temasek, which wants to invest some $500 million, according to a Chinese media report. (Chinese article) That kind of investment wouldn’t come as a surprise at all, as Temasek has always been particularly bullish on China, with a special interest in companies that are leaders in their spaces. Earlier this month Temasek purchased a major stake in ICBC (HKEx: 1398; Shanghai: 601398) for $2.5 billion, picking up shares that were being sold off by Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS). (previous post) I would expect to see other major financial investors, including other sovereign wealth funds, insurance companies and pension funds, buying into Alibaba in these latest talks, with a probable minimum investment of $100 million each. On the other hand, don’t look for any new strategic investors like Yahoo to sign on in this new round of stake sales. That’s because Alibaba’s founder Jack Ma seems determined to run his own show and, based on his unhappy experience with Yahoo, doesn’t want strategic investors looking over his shoulder and offering suggestions. But while strategic investors may be out, Alibaba is clearly aggressively courting the financial investors, seeking to quickly sign them up to help it pay off the billions in debt it is assuming to buy back the Yahoo stake for a total of $7.1 billion. The company already counts such big names as Japan’s Softbank and Russia’s Digital Sky Technologies among its current investors, and will no doubt be looking for more high profile names to raise its own profile. While anyone with less than $100 million is unlikely to get a stake in this latest fund raising round, there should still be plenty of opportunity to buy into Alibaba for smaller investors if it moves ahead with an expected plan for an initial public offering by the end of next year. Such an offering could come as a big boost for Chinese Internet stocks in general, which were once investor darlings but have become pariahs over the last year due to a series of accounting scandals. Investors have also grown increasingly intolerant of Chinese web companies that are losing money, which describes the big majority of firms to list over the last 2 years. An Alibaba IPO would address both of those issues, providing a company with reliable accounting due to its relatively long history and major foreign investors, as well as a company that is highly profitable. From a broader market perspective, an Alibaba IPO will be good for the market by offering a quality company with strong long term prospects both at home and abroad. But on the downside, that offering won’t come for at least a year, meaning the broader market for China Internet companies could remain in the doldrums for quite some time unless another exciting offering comes along.
Bottom line: Alibaba’s new capital raising will offer good opportunities for institutional buyers, and an IPO as soon as next year could return some excitement to the weak market for China Internet stocks.
Related postings 相关文章:
◙ Yahoo, Alibaba in Slow-Motion Divorce 雅虎和阿里巴巴踏上漫漫离婚路
◙ Alibaba-Yahoo Buyout: Back to Square One 阿里巴巴股权回购重回起点
◙ Alibaba’s Yahoo Buyback: Deal Finally Near? 阿里巴巴回购雅虎所持股权可能为期不远
More than 3 years after receiving the booby prize when China awarded its 3G mobile licenses, China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) is still sulking about being forced to build a network based on a problem-plagued homegrown Chinese technology and now wants one of its rivals to share the misery. That’s my broader interpretation of the latest reports that say China’s dominant mobile carrier is lobbying hard for the industry regulator to force one of its 2 rivals to build a future 4G network based on the problematic technology, known as TD. (
