UPDATE: Since originally writing this post, Internet giant Tencent has launched its own buyout offer for eLong. Ctrip has commented that cooperation with Tencent would represent a win-win. (Chinese article)
Bottom line: Ctrip is likely to make a buyout offer for eLong by year-end, but its profits will remain under pressure for at least the next year as it battles with Qunar for market share.
Profits under pressure at the Ctrip lodge
Leading online travel agent Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) has just released its latest quarterly results that show just how fierce competition has become in China’s travel market, as heavy spending eroded its profits despite big revenue growth. That competition was even more evident in the latest results for eLong (Nasdaq: LONG), which was once Ctrip’s main rival but more recently has developed an increasingly cozy relationship with its former foe.
I’ve been predicting for the last few months that Ctrip will ultimately make a buyout bid for eLong, following a steady series of recent moves that were bringing the companies closer together. The announcement of Ctrip’s and eLong’s latest quarterly results on the same day seems like more than coincidence, and is further evidence that a marriage could soon be coming. But before any formal marriage proposal, Ctrip would also be wise to take a long, hard look at eLong’s financials, which don’t look too impressive. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Priceline’s new China foray with Ctrip will get off to a positive start, but will run into problems and ultimately collapse due both sides’ inability to gain much from the partnership.
Ctrip boosts Priceline alliance
Just days after global online travel giant Expedia (Nasdaq: EXPE) announced its withdrawal from China, rival Priceline (Nasdaq: PCLN) is moving in the other direction with a significant boost to its partnership with local sector leader Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP). I’ve previously been quite skeptical of this particular partnership, after previous similar tie-ups failed due to the fiercely independent nature of Ctrip’s top management. I’m still quite skeptical, though a string of other major tie-ups by Ctrip recently seem to show it’s realizing it needs to be more flexible to fend off the growing threat from fast-rising local rival Qunar (Nasdaq: QUNR). Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Ctrip’s purchase of a controlling but minority stake in eLong is the latest in a string of similar equity tie-ups by the company, none of which looks very exciting because these new partners aren’t interested in working closely with Ctrip.
Expedia sells eLong stake
A longtime but largely empty cross-border Internet partnership has finally come to an end, with word that US online travel agent Expedia (Nasdaq: EXPE) has dumped its stake in Chinese laggard eLong (Nasdaq: LONG). In an interesting twist to the story, the group buying eLong includes Chinese industry leader Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP), which seems to be buying small stakes in many of its rivals these days without buying anyone outright.
Personally speaking, I don’t see much reason to get excited about Ctrip’s latest buy, even though investors seemed to think differently. eLong is a perfect example of a company that had huge advantages due to its early arrival to the online travel market and longtime partnership with Expedia. And yet it failed to parlay any of that into a market leading position, and instead has become an afterthought as it got overtaken by younger, more innovative companies like Tuniu (Nasdaq: TOUR) and Qunar (Nasdaq: QUNR). Read Full Post…
A new management shakeup in the top ranks of eLong (Nasdaq: LONG) didn’t excite investors too much, but hints that something is happening behind the scenes at this online travel laggard controlled by US giant Expedia (Nasdaq: EXPE). The shakeup has seen eLong’s CFO and COO both resign, though the company’s CEO is staying in his current position, at least for now. Rumors circulated earlier this year that a buyout could be coming for eLong from sector leader Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP), though such a deal never came. Read Full Post…
Big stock moves for veteran online travel agent eLong (Nasdaq: LONG) and newly listed mobile game firm Ourgame (HKEx: 6899) are shining a spotlight on the need for consolidation in many of China’s online sectors, where these smaller players lack the resources to thrive over the longer term. Shares of eLong suddenly soared more than 20 percent in the latest session on trading volumes not seen for years, which will inevitably lead to speculation of a looming buyout offer. Meantime, Ourgame shares tanked 17 percent on their first trading day in Hong Kong, as investors yawned at the chance to buy into yet another mid-sized Chinese gaming firm. Read Full Post…
Just days after reports emerged that China’s top 2 online travel agents were in talks for a potential merger, rivals eLong (Nasdaq: LONG) and venture-backed Tongcheng have announced their own new tie-up that could be prelude to a similar marriage. In an interesting twist, this newest deal looks like it’s being engineered behind the scenes by Tencent (HKEx: 700), China’s leading Internet company that is also a major stakeholder in both eLong and Tongcheng. Such a dynamic would be similar to the bigger deal that emerged earlier this week, which could see leading online search firm Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) orchestrate a much larger merger between Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) and Qunar (Nasdaq: QUNR). Read Full Post…
Reports of major new funding for online travel site Tongcheng are casting a spotlight on a sudden rise in competition for the sector, which for years was dominated by industry leaders Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) and eLong (Nasdaq: LONG). The trend looks a bit worrisome to me, hinting at a new looming round of price wars and potentially some consolidation. Ctrip could well become a leader of such consolidation if it occurs, since the company now has a huge cash pile of nearly $2 billion following its raising of $800 million through a highly popular convertible bond offer last fall. Read Full Post…
When does an 87 percent rise in your share price in just 3 months make you a laggard? The answer: When your name is online travel agent Qunar (Nasdaq: QUNR), and the 87 percent rise makes you the worst performer among a quartet of Chinese Internet companies to make New York IPOs at the end of last year. The sudden surge in investor interest towards these companies will almost certainly lead many Chinese Internet firms to speed up their New York listing plans in the first quarter of this year, starting off with word that Tuniu, another online travel services firm, is accelerating its plans for a listing in the next few months. Read Full Post…
I thought I would end the week with 2 interesting auto stories, one spotlighting legal speed bumps in the market and the other highlighting big potential in the car rental industry. The first case has US electric car maker Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA) officially driving into China despite its failure to resolve a trademark dispute, meaning it has no official Chinese name as it enters the market. The second case has leading online travel agent Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) tying up with a car rental start-up, representing its latest move into a related area with strong growth potential. Read Full Post…
Online travel site Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) has just become the latest Chinese Internet company to announce a mega-bond offering, taking advantage of its market-leading status to raise up to $500 million. While the bond itself is interesting, the more intriguing matter is what Ctrip plans to do with the funds. The company says that acquisitions is one possibility, leading me to speculate the company could purchase a stake in fast-rising rival Qunar, or even purchase the company outright. Read Full Post…
I’ve always wondered whatever happened to online job site ChinaHR since its purchase in 2008 by US industry leader Monster Worldwide (NYSE: MWW); now I have my answer with new reports that the tie-up has been more or less a failure and that Monster plans to sell its main China asset. This latest disaster shouldn’t come as a huge surprise to anyone, since Monster follows a long list of much better known US web giants that have also tried and failed in China, including Google (Nasdaq: GOOG), Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO) and eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY).
I’ve always wondered whatever happened to online job site ChinaHR since its purchase in 2008 by US industry leader Monster Worldwide (NYSE: MWW); now I have my answer with new reports that the tie-up has been more or less a failure and that Monster plans to sell its main China asset. This latest disaster shouldn’t come as a huge surprise to anyone, since Monster follows a long list of much better known US web giants that have also tried and failed in China, including Google (Nasdaq: GOOG), Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO) and eBay (Nasdaq: EBAY).
