E-COMMERCE: Alibaba Eyeing Buyout Bid with Groupon Investment?

Bottom line: Alibaba is likely to enter talks to buy a strategic stake in Groupon or even make a bid for the entire company, following its disclosure that it has purchased 5.6 percent of the US company in the open market.

Alibaba buys Groupon stake
Alibaba buys Groupon stake

What exactly was leading Chinese e-commerce company Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) thinking when it quietly purchased 5.6 percent of Groupon (Nasdaq: GRPN) shares on the open market without informing the faded US group buying pioneer? That’s the question that will be making the rounds this week, following the surprise disclosure of Alibaba’s purchase that Groupon only learned about through a regulatory filing.

Of course the most intriguing possibility is that Alibaba could be weighing a bid to acquire Groupon completely, which wouldn’t be that preposterous for reasons I’ll explain shortly. Other media are putting a less aggressive spin on the move, saying that Alibaba simply hopes to learn from Groupon’s group buying skills that first propelled it to fame about 6 years ago. Read Full Post…

INTERNET: Didi Cruises With Lyft, LeEco with Aston Martin

Bottom line: A new integrated car-ordering platform being rolled out by Lyft and Didi looks like a smart and low-cost move to expand their geographic reach, while LeEco’s electric car venture with Aston Martin is likely to sputter.

Lyft co-founder John Zimmer in Beijing for Didi announcement

Two of China’s top Internet companies are in car-related headlines today, led by a rapidly cozying relationship between Didi Kuaidi and US counterpart Lyft that has the pair preparing to roll out a joint platform for their signature hired car services. The other news has online video giant LeEco (Shenzhen: 300104), formerly known as LeTV, rolling out a joint venture to make electric cars with super luxury brand Aston Martin.

Both of these deals are incremental, since the original Didi-Lyft partnership was formed last year when the former invested in the latter. Likewise, LeEco was rumored to be near a tie-up with Aston Martin as early as last April. From a broader perspective, both moves show a growing confluence between the Internet and cars, which has opened up a wide range of new services that often incorporate GPS technology. Read Full Post…

STOCKS: Attractive But Hobbled, Fosun Launches Buy-Back

Bottom line: Fosun International looks like a good stock pick for the next year due to strong profit growth, as long as founder Guo Guangchang can steer clear of China’s 2-year-old anti-corruption campaign.

Fosun’s Guo is company’s biggest asset, risk

Today marks the launch of a new series on some of my favorite Chinese companies, as I aim to spotlight a group of US, Hong Kong and China-listed names that look set for the best growth over the next 5 years. I’m kicking off the series with fast-rising private equity giant Fosun International (HKEx: 656) because it happens to be in the news, with word the company has launched a fledgling share buyback to support its struggling stock.

In many ways, Fosun encapsulates both the big potential benefits and also the major risks facing many private Chinese companies as they seek to become big players both at home and abroad. Fosun is actually part of a much larger group based in China’s commercial capital of Shanghai, and its private equity arm has been one of the most successful ventures of its savvy founder Guo Guangchang. Read Full Post…

CHIPS: Politics Kill China’s Bid for Fairchild Semiconductor

Bottom line: Fairchild’s decision to halt talks to be acquired by a Chinese group reflect mounting US national security concerns over cross-border M&A from China, which are likely to remain high until after this year’s presidential election.

Fairchild calls off talks with Chinese buyer

The Year of the Monkey is shaping up as a busy time for Washington officials reviewing China-US deals for national security concerns, with word that such concerns have killed a bid for Fairchild Semiconductor (NYSE: FCS) by a Chinese buyer. In this instance, it was Fairchild itself that decided to terminate the discussions with a group led by a unit of Chinese conglomerate China Resources, citing worries that such a deal would get vetoed by Washington.

Fairchild’s decision marks the latest case in a recent rise of US-China deals thrown into doubt over national security concerns, which has its roots in several factors. Several of the killed deals have come in the high-tech semiconductor chip sector, which is now in the process of global consolidation. Adding to the pressure are an increasingly aggressive group of cash-rich Chinese global buyers looking to expand beyond their traditional realms of natural resources and other low-end products. Read Full Post…

FINANCE: Beijing Gets Tough With WeChat Over New Fees

Bottom line: Tencent would be wise to roll back a newly announced money-transferring fee on WeChat following state-media criticism, which could indicate a tougher stance by Beijing due to the platform’s increasingly dominant position.  

Xinhua calls WeChat a catfish

It’s been quite a while since the last tussle between China’s influential central media and its vibrant private sector, so I was amused to read of a new flare-up in that regard after Tencent (HKEx: 700) said it would start charging fees for a money-transferring service on its popular WeChat platform. This looming flare-up has seen the state-run Xinhua news agency, often considered the voice of Beijing, criticize WeChat’s move as “excessive goose plucking”, which is quite a vivid description and certainly not too complimentary.

This particular assault is somewhat noteworthy, as it hearkens back to another similarly high-profile spat involving Tencent and WeChat 3 years ago. That tussle came as WeChat was beginning its meteoric rise, and saw leading telco China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) accuse the service of stealing its traditional SMS text messaging service. Tencent insisted at that time that WeChat would always remain free, defying China Mobile pressure to charge for the service and then divide the fees between the 2 sides. (previous post) Read Full Post…

FINANCE: Apple, WeChat Heat Up Electronic Payments

Bottom line: Apple Pay’s upcoming China launch and WeChat’s roll-out of fees for its cash-providing service reflect growing competition in the e-payments market, which will result in a long and costly battle among major players for market share. 

Apple, WeChat in new e-payments moves

The rapidly heating China market for electronic payments is in a couple of top headlines today, led by highly anticipated news that Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) will launch its Apple Pay service in China later this week. At the same time, separate media reports say that Internet giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) is taking a major step towards monetizing the e-payments service attached to its wildly popular WeChat instant messaging service.

The pair of headlines underscore just how much potential both domestic and foreign companies see in the China electronic payments market, which is growing rapidly as consumers and companies do more of their buying online. Some new data nicely summarizes the market, with leading e-payments firm UnionPay reporting that transactions processed over its network soared 30 percent to 312 billion yuan ($48 billion) over the week-long Lunar New Year holiday last week. Read Full Post…

SMARTPHONES: 2015 Graces Huawei, Punishes Lenovo

Bottom line: Huawei is likely to consolidate its position as China’s top smartphone brand this year, while Lenovo and Samsung could regain some market share as each mounts aggressive turnaround campaigns.

Huawei takes China smartphone crown
Huawei takes China smartphone crown

A year is almost like an eternity in the fast-moving smartphone world, and nowhere is that reality more on display than in the latest quarterly data on China’s cut-throat market. In the smartphone history books, 2015 will go down as the year that saw Huawei surge to become China’s largest player, with smaller homegrown brands Vivo and Oppo also making impressive gains. On the other side of the aisle, the year is one that former high-flyers Samsung (Seoul: 005930) and especially Lenovo (HKEx: 992) would rather forget, as both plunged out of the nation’s top 5 brands.

Smartphones are an extremely big business due to their high prices, a fact that has drawn numerous companies to the space and created intense competition in China. But constant changes to technology, combined with increasing commoditization due to the dominance of the free Android operating system, means that unknown companies can quickly rise to become major players. Similarly, a winner one year can quickly stumble to become a loser the next. Read Full Post…

FINANCE: China’s Chicago Exchange Bid Deserves Serious US Consideration

Bottom line: Washington should seriously consider a ground-breaking plan that would sell the Chicago Stock Exchange to a Chinese buyer, potentially including conditional approval to allay national security concerns.

Chinese buyer bids for Chicago Stock Exchange

China’s outbound M&A passed a new milestone last week when a Chinese investor group announced plans to buy the Chicago Stock Exchange, with an aim to repositioning it as a US listing ground for Chinese companies. The move would mark the first purchase of a US stock exchange by a Chinese buyer, even though the Chicago Stock Exchange is a tiny player compared to the 2 main US boards in New York.

But recent concerns that have threatened several other similar cross-border purchases could come into play, as Washington may worry about opening the nation’s vital capital markets to Chinese ownership. Beijing could also express concerns, since the buyer is a real estate company with little or no experience with financial markets. Read Full Post…

ENTERTAINMENT: iQiyi Eyes IPO, Youku Nears NY Exit

Bottom line: Baidu’s sale of its Qiyi video unit is a first step before a domestic IPO, and the valuation from that sale shows that Alibaba is overpaying for rival video site Youku Tudou and that industry leader LeTV is still highly overvalued.

Baidu sells Qiyi video unit in run-up to IPO
Baidu sells Qiyi video unit in run-up to IPO

Two of China’s largest online video sites are in the headlines as the nation returns to work after the week-long Lunar New Year holiday, led by word that Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) is selling its controlling stake of its iQiyi online video unit. In this case the move looks like preparation for a domestic IPO by the unit, since the buyer of the stake is a group led by Baidu founder Robin Li and iQiyi chief Gong Yu.

The second report has Youku Tudou (NYSE: YOKU) announcing a date for its shareholders to vote on an offer to sell the company to e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). The meeting will take place on March 14, and will mark a final step before Youku Tudou ceases its brief but stormy life as a publicly traded company and becomes part of Alibaba. Read Full Post…

NEW ENERGY: EU Roots Out China Solar Cheats in Malaysia, Taiwan

Bottom line: The EU’s extension of punitive tariffs to China-made solar panels transshipped through shell factories in Malaysia and Taiwan could kill a recent wave of offshore factory construction by Chinese manufacturers.

EU freezes out Chinese solar panels in Taiwan, Malaysia

A recent offshore movement by Chinese solar panel makers seeking to avoid western anti-dumping tariffs could come to a sudden halt, with word the European Union (EU) is extending its previously announced punitive duties to Taiwan and Malaysia. The EU’s ruling means it believes that many of the offshore solar panel plants recently built by Chinese manufacturers are little more than shells designed to hide the true origin of their products.

This story dates back 3 years, and began when the EU levied anti-dumping tariffs on Chinese-made solar panels after determining manufacturers were receiving unfair government support via policies like cheap land, low-interest loans and export rebates. Chinese manufacturers quickly agreed to raise their prices to levels comparable to those of western rivals in a bid to avoid the tariffs. But then they almost immediately began to violate the spirit of that agreement by offering discounts to buyers in other ways. Read Full Post…

INTERNET: Qihoo Steps Onto Global Stage with Opera Buy

Bottom line: A new equity alliance between Qihoo and Norway’s Opera web browser is a smart move that could see initial turbulence due to differing management styles, but should ultimately benefit both sides.

Qihoo in group buying Opera

Security software specialist Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU) is taking an important step towards its ambitions of becoming a global Internet brand, with word that it’s part of a group set to buy Norway-based Opera (Oslo: OPERA), maker of the world’s fourth most popular mobile Internet browser. Qihoo is already the maker of one of China’s most popular homegrown web browsers, and is also posing one of the first serious challenges in years to online search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) with its Haosou.com engine. It’s also making a big push to move its highly popular security software products into the global marketplace.

Against that backdrop, this new deal looks quite intriguing and also like a smart step for Qihoo to complement its current strengths. But I would also caution that Qihoo is famous for its business tactics, which many might describe as highly aggressive and even unethical. Those include designing products that make big changes to computer and smartphone configurations without their users’ knowledge, most often to favor Qihoo at the expense of rival products. Read Full Post…