Xinhuanet IPO Sets Stage For Media Listings 新华网IPO或将开启媒体上市热潮

There’s an interesting report in the media space that the Xinhua News Agency plans to publicly list its news web site — a development with hugely symbolic overtones that could foreshadow a long-awaited liberalization in this highly sensitive sector and portend a major new round of IPOs for big media firms. Foreign media are citing unnamed sources saying that Xinhua is planning a domestic listing for its news portal, Xinhuanet, in a deal that would see it raise around 1 billion yuan, or more than $150 million. (English article) The size of the offering is really of little or no significance since Xinhua, as the Communist Party’s main mouthpiece, already receives most of its funding from the government and is unlikely to need such funds. What’s much more important is that Xinhua is making this IPO at all, as ownership of the media, which has the power to influence public opinion, has been a highly sensitive matter in the past, even as most other sectors were allowed to make public offerings paving the way for private ownership. This move by Xinhua, if it really happens, would send an important signal to China’s other major media groups, including CCTV, Shanghai Media Group and other major players, that it’s ok for them to list some of their major assets, paving the way for an interesting new round of possibilities for investors with huge growth potential. Such a development would, in fact, extend a recent trend that has seen a growing number of movie and TV show makers, many of them owned by regional media companies, make a string of low-key public offerings as they hope to tap emerging demand from not only traditional TV stations, but also an fast-rising group of content-hungry video sharing websites like Youku (NYSE: YOKU), Tudou (Nasdaq: TUDO), Sohu (Nasdaq: SOHU) and PPLive. (previous post) Xinhua, as one of China’s oldest media, already sets the tone for the rest of the nation’s TV stations, newspapers and websites in terms of news coverage, and this latest move would indicate that public ownership of the media is ok, at least on domestic stock markets. The timing of a Xinhuanet listing is still unclear, meaning it could still be months or years away. But if and when such a listing occurs, look for many more to follow as a wide range of regional and local media groups clamor to raise funds to expand their national reach.

Bottom line: A pendiing IPO for Xinhua’s web portal could auger a flood of new domestic listings for big Chinese media firms, providing an interesting investment option with strong growth potential.

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Jishi the Latest in Low-Key Media Listing Parade 吉视传媒加入中国媒体低调上市大军

2011: A Breakthrough Year in Copyright Protection 2011年:中国版权保护取得突破的一年

Video Makers On Cusp of Renaissance 视频制作商或迎来美好时代

Weibo Gets Confidence Vote From Digital Sky DST投资消息或提振新浪短期前景

Sina (Nasdaq: SINA), China’s leading web portal whose shares have been battered lately, has received a rare piece of good news in the form of a potential major new investment for its controversial Twitter-like Weibo service from heavy-hitter Digital Sky Technologies (DST). (English article; Chinese article) There’s so much to say on this subject that I’m not sure where to start, so perhaps the best place would be with the actual news. Media are reporting that DST, an early investor in Facebook and which has taken a recent liking to the Chinese Internet, is in talks to pump around $200 million into Weibo via a convertible bond exercisable at $65 per Sina share. That price would have been a bargain just 7 months ago, when Sina shares were trading  as high as $140. But anyone who follows this company knows its stock has plummeted in recent months and now trades at around $55, following a string of big write-offs for its e-commerce and real estate services investments (previous post), and amid a broader confidence crisis towards US-listed China stocks after a recent series of accounting scandals. Further clouding the picture was Beijing’s announcement this month that all users of microblogging services would have to register using their real names, a move with strongly negative implications for Sina’s wildly popular Weibo service that boasts more than 250 million users and was one of the company’s few bright spots. (previous post) Clearly this new investment by DST will come as a vote of confidence in Weibo, in Sina’s sputtering campaign to monetize the recently spun-off service for a potential future IPO. But company watchers should also note that DST is hedging its bets by buying a convertible bond rather than making a direct investment. Furthermore, DST is hardly the best barometer for good China Internet investments, as it has made a wide range of such investments this year, often at overinflated valuations. DST’s recent string of China purchases include stakes in e-commerce firm 360Buy, also known as Jingdong Mall, and a recent purchase of a stake in Alibaba, China’s e-commerce leader. The company was also interested in previously buying a stake in Kaixin, one of China’s leading social networking services, and itself is part owned by leading Chinese Internet company Tencent (HKEx: 700) All that said, this latest investment may help to boost Sina and Weibo’s prospects in the very short term, but the longer-term picture for both still looks quite cloudy.

Bottom line: A potential $200 million investment in Sina’s Weibo microblogging service by DST should help to boost the company in the short term as it tries to shore up its battered image.

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New Rule Hits Sina, Instant Messaging to Benefit? 微博实名重创新浪 即时信息服务有望受益

Sina Results: Not So Diversified After All 新浪仍依赖广告,突围遇阻

Digital Sky Looking for Piece of the China Pie 俄罗斯DST或与Facebook联手进军中国市场

Solar Matures With Foxconn Entry

You know your industry is starting to mature when a big player like Hon Hai (Taipei: 2317), the massive Taiwanese electronics maker of everything from PCs to iPhones, steps in to the picture, a move that should come as both a relief but also a worrisome development for the troubled solar cell sector. Foreign media are reporting that Hon Hai unit Foxconn Technology (Taipei: 2354) is building a massive new solar cell plant in China’s Jiangsu province, adding a major player to a sector already struggling with large overcapacity that has caused prices to tumble by more than 60 percent this year alone and driven nearly every company into the red as their stocks hover near all-time lows. (English article) This development is significant for 2 reasons, both of which should ultimately benefit the sector but will also cause some short term pain in the form of sorely needed consolidation. From a technological point of view, Hon Hai’s entry into the picture shows this sector has long term potential, as major companies like Hon Hai rarely make such investments without careful consideration of their profitability. But big players like Hon Hai are also famous for entering mature industries where margins are traditionally quite low and huge volume is necessary to make big profits, meaning the company believes that solar technology is starting to mature and profit margins will stabilize at low levels. This second factor is key, as it means that only companies with massive scale will be able to survive in the future, and that mid-sized and  smaller players will either have to merge or risk going out of business in this bold new solar world. Companies that now have the scale to drive this much needed consolidation include industry leaders like Suntech (NYSE: STP), Yingli (NYSE: YGE) and Trina (NYSE: TSL), while companies that would be well advised to start looking for partners include names like JA Solar (Nasdaq: JASO) and Renesola (NYSE: SOL). No matter how you look at it, this move by Hon Hai looks like a positive development, providing not only a vote of confidence in the struggling sector, but also sending an important message that anyone who wants to play at this game in the future will need massive scale to do so.

Bottom line: Hon Hai’s entry into solar module making shows the industry has long term potential at low profit margins, and should help to drive much-needed consolidation.

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Beijing Boosts Solar In Latest Mixed Signal 中国扩张太阳能行业发展 解决与美争端立场混乱

China Rescues LDK With New Financing 中国拯救赛维LDK举动与未提供不公补贴说法相左

Buffett Brightens Solar Prospects 巴菲特进军太阳能 行业美好前景可期

Post Office: A Good E-Commerce Play 中国邮政分拆速递物流可谓电子商务”妙招

I’ve written lots on China’s e-commerce boom and the huge opportunity it provides, but the less visible courier business is a sideline that is quietly zooming to riches as well on the nation’s growing fondness for buying things online. I haven’t written about this lower-profile part of the e-commerce story before now, mostly because the vast majority of courier firms are small local outfits, often operating with a few bikes, some mopeds and perhaps a van or 2. But now local media are saying that China’s postal service wants to spin off its courier and logistics unit into a separate business, which would then be publicly listed. (Chinese article) Of course this kind of plan must still receive many government approvals and would probably require some major internal restructuring, meaning any such spin-off is still likely a year or more away and an IPO would be even further off. But if and when it happens, such an offering would provide an attractive opportunity for investors looking to cash in on China’s e-commerce craze that has seen nearly all major retailers open online shops and has given rise to major online giants like 360Buy, Dangdang (NYSE: DANG), Alibaba’s Taobao Mall and Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) invested Yihaodian. Then of course there’s global giant Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN), which recently launched a massive new warehouse near Shanghai that will no doubt need thousands of couriers to make sure items get from the facility to their final buyers. Such a postal spin off would also free the new company of many of the burdensome regulations and bureaucracy it now faces, potentially laying the foundation for an eventual Chinese version of a global shipping and logistics company to rival names like UPS (NYSE: UPS) and FedEx. All that said, competition in the courier space is also becoming rampant, similar to the overheated competition among e-commerce companies themselves. Still, this new company, if it takes shape, will have the obvious advantage of huge scale and strong government ties, meaning it could be perfectly placed to cash in on the e-commerce craze for the next 5-10 years.

Bottom line: The China post office’s plan to spin off its courier and logistics service into a separate company for an IPO looks like a great way for investors to cash in on the e-commerce craze.

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Price Wars Beat Up Online Retailers 网上零售商引爆价格战

New Regulatory, Competitive Waves Hit E-Commerce 监管和竞争冲击电子商务领域

Amazon Name Shift Signals China Ramp-Up 亚马逊改名背后折射中国野心

Yahoo, Alibaba Dance Nears Finale  雅虎应与阿里巴巴撇清干系

I normally don’t like to write about the same deal twice in one week, but in this case things suddenly seem to be moving quickly in the story of faded Internet giant Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO), which may soon dispose of some or all of its 40 percent stake in Chinese e-commerce leader Alibaba as well as its holdings in Yahoo Japan (Tokyo: 4689). Reports in the foreign media are slightly conflicting, but what’s clear is that the Yahoo board was set to meet on Thursday to discuss a plan that would see it sell either 25 percent of its stake in Alibaba, or perhaps the entire 40 percent stake, under a deal that would be worth around $17 billion. (English article) I had written earlier in the week on other reports that said Alibaba was working with partners to lead a group that would buy out Yahoo entirely (previous post), in a deal that might value Alibaba at around $20 billion. But the latest reports indicate that the Yahoo board would prefer to sell off its valuable Asian assets rather than be acquired outright, and appears to be moving quickly in that direction with the Thursday board meeting. This kind of strategy looks good, as it would allow Yahoo to quickly raise some big cash and also to get rid of a major distraction from these Asian assets as it hires a new chief executive to turn itself around following the recent departure of controversial CEO Carol Bartz. I’m a bit puzzled about why Yahoo might want to hold on to some of its Alibaba stake, as at least one of the reports said the company would still like to keep 15 percent of the Chinese e-commerce giant. In my view, this asset, which Yahoo purchased for around $1 billion in 2005 and which could now be worth about $8 billion, was very successful from an investment perspective but disastrous from a strategic one. A personality clash between Bartz and Ma was largely to blame for the bad relations between the 2 companies, and perhaps Yahoo’s board feels the relationship could be salvaged under a new CEO. But in my view, Jack Ma is a brilliant but very opinionated leader head who is unlikely to listen to anyone whose views differ from his own, and Yahoo would be well advised to completely sell its Alibaba stake, as any attempts at future strategic initiatives between the two sides would most likely end as major disappointments.

Bottom line: Yahoo is on the cusp of selling off its distracting stakes in Alibaba and Yahoo Japan, and should sell off all of its Alibaba holdings to focus on reviving its core search business.

Related postings 相关文章:

Alibaba Scrambles to Prove High Valuation 阿里巴巴高估值或将作茧自缚

Alibaba Tests Waters for Yahoo Buyout – Again 阿里巴巴再试水竞购雅虎股权

Alibaba’s Incredible Shrinking Profit Growth 阿里巴巴盈利呈加速放缓趋势

Dangdang Discovers E-Books — Finally 当当推电子书仍有成功希望

I’ll finish my postings on this Winter Solstice day with a few tidbits from the retail sector, which offer some interesting glimpses into the potential power of e-commerce to help Chinese firms expand both at home and abroad. The biggest of these news bits comes from Dangdang (NYSE: DANG), China’s only listed major e-commerce firm, which is launching an electronic book service to complement its industry-leading online book store. (company announcement) My initial reaction to this news is “What took them so long to do this?” After all, online retail pioneer Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) has been selling electronic books for years now and there’s absolutely no reason why Dangdang waited so long to get into this space, where it will have to compete with established players like Shanda’s (Nasdaq: SNDA) online literature unit, Cloudary, and new services from other big names like 360Buy. But that said, at least Dangdang is finally realizing the importance of e-books, and it still looks early enough for it to become a dominant player in the space if it offers a good books and e-readers. In another online retail news bit, sportswear clothing chain Li Ning (HKEx: 2331) is taking its first small step outside China by opening an online store for US customers. (Chinese article) I suppose I should commend Li Ning for looking beyond China, but I’m honestly not sure that the online store approach, which is certainly cheaper than opening traditional brick-and-mortar stores, is the right route for entering a major new market like the US, where competition is already fierce from big names like Adidas and Nike. I don’t think I would be taking a very big risk in predicting this initiative is very likely to fail, as it has all the markings of a company trying to expand internationally without properly funding the campaign. Last but not least, sportswear bearing the name of Bjorn Borg (Stockholm: BORG) will soon be coming to China, as the Swedish licensee of the legendary tennis star’s name seeks out a local partner with plans to open stores in China next year. (company announcement) This initiative also looks destined for failure, as Bjorn Borg isn’t very well known in China and this company doesn’t appear to have lots of money for the expansion. But considering the Chinese love of famous brands, perhaps it could still succeed if it finds a good Chinese partner to help fund and market the campaign.

Bottom line: Dangdang’s move to e-books looks late but still likely to do well, while a new overseas foray by Li Ning looks underfunded and set to fail.

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Amazon Name Shift Signals China Ramp-Up 亚马逊改名背后折射中国野心

Price Wars Beat Up Online Retailers 网上零售商引爆价格战

Shanda Cloudary Returns to Market, Worth a Look

India Turns Up Heat on Solar With New Probe

There are a couple of big new developments in the solar space, one from India that bodes poorly for China’s embattled sector, while the other coming the US seems like a diversion that won’t have much impact on an ongoing anti-dumping investigation. All of these developments have the catch phrase “anti-dumping” in common, indicating that perhaps China should wake up to the fact that it probably does provide generous subsidies to its solar cell makers, hurting competitors in other markets, and should take steps to end the practice rather than constantly denying the allegations. In the latest developments in this increasingly global war of words, India has joined the US and Europe by opening its own probe into unfair subsidies by Beijing for its increasingly embattled field of solar cell makers, which have rapidly risen in the last 5 years to now supply over half the world’s output. (English article) I personally don’t know how important India is in terms of global demand for solar cells, but considering its size and demand for clean power to help fuel its economic growth it does seem like any ruling against China in this latest probe will only deal a further setback to China’s solar cell makers, which are already suffering through their industry’s worst-ever downturn that has seen nearly everyone slip into the red. (previous post) Meantime, the other major development comes from the US, where a court has ruled that current laws do not allow the US Commerce Department to impose anti-dumping punitive tariffs on products from non-market economies like China. (English article) The ruling, which will certainly be appealed, would mean the Commerce Department has no power to levy punitive tariffs against China’s solar cell makers, despite its recent preliminary finding that those manufacturers are unfairly subsidized by Beijing. (previous post) While this court ruling looks like a victory for China and its solar cell makers, no one is really celebrating as the decision will definitely be appealed, a process that could take a year or more; and even if the decision was ultimately upheld, most predict the US Congress will quickly act to change the laws to empower the Commerce Department to levy punitive tariffs against any industry that gets unfair support from its government, regardless of whether it’s a market economy. As always, my advice to Beijing is to move quickly to diffuse this crisis rather than waiting for market forces to do their work, which could deal a huge blow to not only China’s industry but the entire global solar power sector.

Bottom line: A new unfair subsidy probe by India is a further setback for China’s solar sector, while a US court ruling that appears to help Chinese manufacturers is largely meaningless.

Related postings 相关文章:

Beijing Boosts Solar In Latest Mixed Signal 中国扩张太阳能行业发展 解决与美争端立场混乱

China Retaliates With Own US Solar Probe 中国启动对美可再生能源补贴调查

Solar Slips Squarely Into the Red 太阳能行业陷入全线亏损

2011: A Breakthrough Year in Copyright Protection 2011年:中国版权保护取得突破的一年

It seems quite appropriate that 2011 is ending with news that Internet search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), which for years symbolized rampant disregard for copyrights on China’s unruly Internet, has been removed from a US list of “notorious markets” for piracy, capping a year that saw great progress in intellectual property protection. (English article) Baidu’s achievement after it signed a series of landmark licensing agreements with major music labels like Universal, Warner (NYSE: WMG) and Sony Music (Tokyo: 6758) in July as it launched a service selling legal copies of their music. (previous post) Baidu’s removal from the list was just the latest major advance in copyright protection, as China’s crowded field of online music and video sites all took new steps to secure exclusive content to set themselves apart from rivals in the competitive sector. The nation’s top 3 video sharing sites, Youku (NYSE: YOKU), Sohu video (Nasdaq: SOHU) and Tudou (NYSE: TUDO) all signed their first big licensing deals during the year to offer TV shows and films from the likes of Warner Brothers (NYSE: TWX) and Disney (NYSE: DIS). (previous post) Some domestic names like Huayi Brothers (Shenzhen: 300027) signed similar deals, as early signs emerged of a coming renaissance for domestic content makers, an increasing number of which are looking to domestic IPOs to fuel their growth. (previous post) In another interesting development just last week, Youku and Tudou filed a series of copyright infringement lawsuits against each other, showing that these companies themselves could emerge as a potent force to help police against future copyright violations. (previous post) Last but not least, many of the sites themselves are increasingly producing their own exclusive content, with Phoenix New Media (NYSE: FENG) and PPLive announcing such initiatives during the year, which should also help the programming industry’s development. (previous post) Of course, there is still much work to be done. Despite its launch of a legal music service, Baidu continues to operate its popular older music service where swapping of pirated songs is rampant. And while Baidu was removed from the “notorious” list, Alibaba’s Taobao, China’s e-commerce leader, remains on the list for the widespread sale of knock-off products on its site. Still, in all my years covering China tech and media, 2011 certainly looks like a year of major breakthroughs in copyright protection as Chinese firms finally wake up to the reality that piracy isn’t a very good long-term business model.

Bottom line: Baidu’s removal from a US piracy list reflects big progress in the anti-piracy battle in China in 2011, with the campaign likely to maintain momentum into 2012.

Related postings 相关文章:

After Years, Baidu Does the Right Thing 百度多年来的一个正确之举

Video Makers On Cusp of Renaissance 视频制作商或迎来美好时代

Youku’s New Formula: Sponsored Programs 优酷“新配方”:赞助项目

Mindray Turns Focus to Home With M&A

I’ve written lots about the huge potential for drug makers with China’s ongoing overhaul of its healthcare system, but medical device makers are also seeing big opportunities, as evidenced by 2 new M&A deals by Mindray Medical (NYSE: MR) to put more focus on its home market. The shift reflects not only the big potential of the China market, but also uncertain prospects in traditionally strong markets in Europe and North America, as spending there slows due to economic uncertainty. In Mindray’s latest moves at home, it announced it has acquired a controlling stake in a Hunan maker of microbiological analysis products, complementing one of its own product lines. (company announcement) That announcement follows a similar one 2 weeks ago, when Mindray bought a controlling stake in a medical imaging products maker in coastal Zhejiang province, again complementing one of its product lines. (company announcement) Terms weren’t disclosed for either deal, meaning the transaction values were probably relatively small, probably less than $20 million. I like this approach of small, strategic acquisitions in complementary product categories for a number of reasons. First and most importantly, they will help Mindray to diversify its product line, while also greatly expanding its customer base through the addition of these two companies. Equally important, the 2 new acquisitions are both in less developed, domestically focused cities, meaning the bulk of their customers are probably inside of China, where they are well positioned to take advantage of Beijing’s mutibillion-dollar overhaul of its healthcare system that will see it set up thousands of clinics nationwide to provide basic affordable care to the hundreds of millions of Chinese who now lack access to such services. A quick look at Mindray’s latest results show that it gets about 43 percent of revenue from its home China market, and the rest from abroad. But its China sales are growing much faster, rising more than 35 percent in the third quarter versus 26 percent growth for the rest of the world. Unlike many other US-listed China firms whose shares have plunged this year, Mindray’s shares have actually held up relatively well, reflecting its more solid prospects going forward, which look even better with these latest strategic purchases.

Bottom line: Mindray’s recent string of small, strategic acquisitions looks like a smart strategy to diversify its products and find new opportunities as China overhauls its healthcare system.

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Bristol-Myers, EMC Tap China Priorities With New Tie-Ups  趁中国政策导向东风 百时美施贵宝与EMC联姻本土企业

◙  Shanghai Pharma IPO Looks Like Good Medicine 上海医药IPO似为一剂良药

Pfizer Pairs With China Partner to Tap Health Care Reform 辉瑞与海正合作开拓中国医药市场

Xiaomi: A Fresh Face In Smartphones  小米:智能手机新面孔

A start-up smartphone maker named Xiaomi has been bubbling up regularly in the headlines since launching its inaugural low-cost, high-performance Android smartphone in August, but what finally caught my attention were some numbers that look impressive in terms of both investment and sales. The company, clearly looking to inject some buzz into its flagship product, held a press conference this week, where CEO Lei Jun told the world that Xiaomi has sold nearly 400,000 of its MI-ONE phones so far, and hinted that China Unicom (HKEx: 762), the country’s second biggest mobile carrier, has placed orders for more than 1 million more. (Chinese article) The MI-ONE looks interesting for a number of reasons, including its relatively low price of around $300 for what reviewers are saying is a very high performance smartphone that can finally take advantage of Unicom’s 3G service, China’s fastest network which is also highly underutilized due to numerous internal problems at the carrier. (previous post) Xiaomi is also taking the interesting tack of using its product to try and build up its Miliao mobile instant messaging service, which the company says now has more than 1 million active users and could be a future revenue source. The company’s prospects have attracted some big names, with big names, with IDG, Temasek and Qualcomm (Nasdaq: QCOM) all among an investor group that recently handed Xiaomi, whose name means “little rice” in Chinese, a hearty $90 million in new funding. Clearly Xiaomi has some strong momentum behind it, though the Unicom deal will be crucial as it will show whether Chinese consumers like this product, which in turn could lead to big overseas orders for consumers looking for lower cost alternatives to popular models from Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), HTC (Taipei: 2498) and others. Xiaomi will still have a tough road ahead, as Unicom is also preparing to roll out Apple’s popular iPhone 4S in January, and is selling many other 3G models as well in a bid to try to gain some momentum in the domestic 3G market. Xiaomi will most likely need another big funding round soon, as its position as a cellphone maker means it will have to spend big bucks on both manufacturing and new product development. But the signs do look promising, at least initially, and if the Unicom partnership goes well this could clearly be a company to watch for an IPO as soon as late next year.

Bottom line: Xiaomi has good potential as a niche maker of relatively low-cost, high-performance smartphones, and will get its first real test from a new partnership with Unicom.

Related postings 相关文章:

Unicom’s Sputtering 3G: Blame It On the Handsets 联通幡然醒悟 借低价手机扩张3G市场

Unicom, China Telecom in iPhone 4S 中国电信有望领先推出iPhone 4S Race

ZTE Faces More Profit Erosion With Latest Low-Cost Moves 中兴通讯以低价机抢占市场恐损及获利

China: A Fickle Global Shopper 中国企业缺乏并购经验

Three recent global M&A deals by Chinese firms outside the resource sector are highlighting the country’s potential as a major new player for such deals, but also its unreliability, as only 2 of the 3 deals ultimately collapsed. This ratio of 2 failed deals for every successful one could well indicate what we will see from China over the next 2-3 years, as many deals collapse for a wide number of reasons, from lack of financing to disapproval by Beijing, or even changes of heart by fickle acquirers. In the most high-profile of the 3 recent deals, a months-long effort by 2 obscure firms to buy a controlling stake in Saab has finally collapsed, with the dying Swedish automaker officially filing for bankruptcy. (English article) The deal, which would have seen Pangda Automobile (Shanghai: 601258) and Youngman Lotus take their stake in exchange for a big cash infusion, looked desperate from the start, and I predicted it was doomed to collapse due to lack of experience by the 2 companies and disapproval from Beijing. (previous post) The other 2 deals involve HNA Group, the investment arm of the Hainan provincial government, which is shaping up as a relatively savvy player as it embarks on a global M&A drive using its cash pot of more than $6 billion. (previous post) In one of those deals, the company just completed its $1 billion purchase of GESeaCo, the container leasing arm of General Electric (NYSE: GE). (English article) HNA made the bid together with a non-Chinese firm, Bravia Capital, which may have played a key role in the successful completion. HNA’s other recent deal wasn’t so successful, with the company citing financial market turbulence behind its decision to suddenly abandon a previous pledge to buy 20 percent of Spanish hotelier NH Hoteles (Spain: NHH). (English article) My only observation in this case is that HNA should have considered that factor much earlier in the process rather than waiting until the last minute, a decision that caused NH Hoteles shares to plummet 30 percent since the decision. All this goes to show that Chinese firms may have plenty of cash and want to do more major global M&A, but that they will be highly unreliable buyers for the next few years due to inexperience — a factor that many foreign sellers need to consider before starting any negotiations.

Bottom line: A recent string of 3 major global M&A deals by Chinese firms, 2 of which failed, show these firms want to become major players but will stumble frequently due to inexperience.

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More Stumbles for Saab Rescue, 360Buy IPO 搭救萨博和京东商城IPO两计划注定命运多舛

HNA: China’s Next Big Global Investor? 海航集团:中国下一个大型全球投资者?

Message to Saab: Don’t Count on China 萨博不应指望中国注资