Bottom line: New Oriental’s special dividend sends a signal that it has no plans to de-list from New York, even as short-sighted companies like Qihoo continue buyout plans in pursuit of higher valuations in China.
New Oriental awards special dividend
Nearly 2 weeks after the last US-listed Chinese companies announced plans to privatize, education specialist New Oriental (NYSE: EDU) is sending a different signal that indicates it has no plans to abandon its New York listing anytime soon. That signal comes in a footnote to New Oriental’s newly announced quarterly earnings, in which it declares a rare special dividend — something you wouldn’t expect a company to do if it was planning to soon de-list.
At the same time, software security specialist Qihoo (NYSE: QIHU) is reaffirming its previous plans to push ahead with its privatization scheme, even as investors remain skeptical that this particular deal could fall apart. Qihoo is easily the largest of China’s companies looking to privatize so far, and clearly investors are worried that the company won’t be able to complete its buyout worth nearly $10 billion due to the recent market volatility in China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Qihoo’s new Dazen smartphones stand a low chance of success, even if they provide better quality to comparably priced rivals, due to their late entry to the overheated ultra low-end of China’s smartphone market.
Qihoo unveils Dazen smartphone
About a half year after announcing its intent to enter China’s crowded smartphone space, software security specialist Qihoo (NYSE: QIHU) has unveiled its new product under a brand name that sounds clever and catchy but is decidedly downscale. Qihoo has just announced that its new smartphones will carry the brand name of Dazen, and will sell for a bargain basement price of 899 yuan, or about $150.
The move appears to be an extension of Qihoo’s longtime strategy of selling products cheaply or even giving them away for free, and then using those products as a marketing tool for its other paid products and services. But in this case the strategy of going after the ultra low end looks a bit questionable, since that part of the market is already quite crowded and many brands are believed to be losing money. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Micron’s decision to discourage a buyout offer from China’s Unigroup is a bargaining tactic due to high regulatory risk, and Unigroup is likely to come back with a sharply raised offer in the next 2 weeks.
Micron discourages China bid
A week after splashing into the headlines, a potential bid by China’s Tsinghua Unigroup for Micron Technology (Nasdaq: MU) is being cast into doubt, with word that the leading US memory chip maker is worried such a deal would get vetoed by Washington on national security grounds. The development comes as a slight surprise to me, as I previously predicted that such a deal would ignite some controversy but would ultimately get approved by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), which conducts reviews for national security risks.
It’s quite possible that Micron really doesn’t want to proceed with talks because it believes there’s a big enough chance that such a deal could get vetoed in Washington. But that said, it’s also quite possible that Micron could quickly resume the talks if Unigroup offers a higher price than the previous $21 per share being discussed, and that all of this is just a bargaining tactic. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tongcheng’s new fund raising and Ctrip’s launch of an offshore hotel investment fund reflect the huge amount of investor dollars flowing into China’s online travel market, which will keep competition intense for the next 1-2 years.
Tongcheng in major new funding
Two of China’s leading online travel sites are in the headlines with major new initiatives, led by a massive fund-raising and even larger promotional spending plan by aggressive up-and-comer Tongcheng. The other major headline has industry leader Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) setting up a fund to invest abroad, as it looks for new growth outside its overheated home market.
The pair of stories point to the huge potential for China’s domestic travel market, but also the fierce state of competition. Such conditions spotlight the need for consolidation, which seems to show signs of coming from time to time, only to collapse due to the fiercely independent nature of the company founders who are also usually their chief executives. Read Full Post…
Call me jaded, but I’m getting just a bit tired of all the recent attention given to the Shanghai Jewish refugee story in the run-up to the 70th anniversary of the end of World War 2 in Asia. I got my latest dose of the story just this past week, when I read about a new local musical based on a story that saw more than 20,000 European Jews take refuge in Shanghai during the war.
I read about that just days after another international media friend asked me for a contact at the official Jewish Refugees Museum in the Hongkong District, seeking some wartime photos for their own story on the topic. I contacted a friend at the museum, who told me they were getting flooded with similar requests due to the war anniversary. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A US trade group’s statement criticizing Alibaba’s anti-piracy efforts reflects widely diverging views between the company and its critics, and could see Alibaba’s name return to the annual US list of “notorious” piracy sites.
US trade group blasts Alibaba
I’ve written several times about the difficult task that leading e-commerce site Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) will face in maintaining its status as a friend of Washington in the battle against piracy, following a major scandal earlier this year involving the rampant sale of fake goods on one of its main websites. Most news has involved steps Alibaba is taking to boost its chances of staying off an annual list of “notorious” websites for piracy, which is published annually by the Office of the US Trade Representatives. But now we’re getting a taste of the opposition Alibaba will face in that battle, with a major US trade association blasting the company for shortcomings in its anti-counterfeiting policies. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: ZTE’s new campaign in its home China smartphone market looks relatively well timed if a wave of consolidation starts by year-end, but it could miss its annual sales target if the competition doesn’t start to subside soon.
ZTE targets high-end with Axon
After quietly falling out of the top 5 in its home smartphone market over the past 2 years, telecoms stalwart ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) is gearing up for a new push with an aim to become one of China’s top 3 players in the next 3 years. That’s the message coming from Adam Zeng, who has been working hard to breathe new life into ZTE’s smartphone business since taking over the company’s mobile device unit about a year ago.
Zeng detailed his plans for me in an interview last week, including his attempts to go upmarket with a new line of smartphones and also a broader blitz of new models slated for release in China later this year. In my view, ZTE was quite wise to scale back its smartphone campaign in China over the last 2 years, as the market became incredibly competitive with a wide range of established and new names all competing for space. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Meituan is feeling increasing isolation as its 2 chief rivals strengthen partnerships with Baidu and Tencent, and is likely to be forced into a similar tie-up by the end of next year to maintain its industry-leading position.
Meituan feels growing isolation
Leading group buying site Meituan is finally responding to a flurry of reports involving its own finances and a new challenge coming from top search engine Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), releasing data that reflect its own strong growth and market dominance. At the same time, CEO Wang Xing is also shooting down rumors that his company is in the process raising $1 billion in new funds, and is repeating his previous position that his company isn’t in any hurry to make an IPO.
The sudden release of information by this low-profile company raises the bigger question of what’s the motivation behind this flurry of activity for the normally low-profile Meituan. I personally believe the company isn’t gearing up for an IPO, especially in the wake of all the market turbulence in China right now and the flood of US-listed Chinese companies that have announced plans to privatize and return home to re-list. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on July 18-20. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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AAFA Calls For New, Transparent Anti-Counterfeit Moves from Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) (press release)
Investors Prepare to Sue Dangdang (NYSE: DANG) Over Low Buyout Offer Price (Chinese article)
Bottom line: US national security regulators are likely to approve the potential purchase of Micron by China’s Tsinghua Unigroup, to demonstrate their commitment to fair trade and avoid politicizing cross-border high-tech M&A.
Micron sale likely to get US approval
In the days after reports emerged that China’s Tsinghua Unigroup was planning a bid for US memory chip giant Micron (NYSE: MU), media have been buzzing with speculation over whether Washington might veto a deal on national security grounds. I can understand the logic from both views, and some say recent US allegations of frequent hacking attacks from China could add to arguments for a veto of the deal.
But as a longtime watcher of this kind of transaction, I expect that Washington will ultimately approve the purchase to demonstrate its commitment to fair trade. Such a move would also send a strong signal to Beijing, which is showing growing signs of limiting sales by foreign technology companies in China with its recent introduction of a sweeping new national security law. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tsinghua Unigroup could end up scrapping its plans to bid for Micron due to fears of political resistance, while a new mobile OS that it’s backing is probably getting support from Beijing but is likely to fail.
China bid for Micron meets with early resistance
The recently acquisitive Tsinghua Unigroup is in a couple of headlines today, as the politically-connected company chases its dream of becoming China’s first IT products and services giant. The first headline has the company investing $100 million in a company developing a mobile operating system (OS) that could someday rival Google’s (Nasdaq: GOOG) Android and Apple’s (Nasdaq: AAPL) iOS. The second hints at the political resistance that Unigroup could meet as it reportedly gets set to make a $23 billion bid for leading US memory chip maker Micron (Nasdaq: MU), with reports that a powerful senator has concerns about the deal. Read Full Post…
