There are at least three ways Netflix (Nasdaq: NFLX) can win in China. And they are realistic options that have worked for others.
But first, a few points about the situation in Chinese online streaming.
Point 1: The China entertainment market is rocketing upwards, and it will soon be the largest in the world. This huge opportunity is fueling a major fight between China’s cash-rich Internet and media giants. This hyper-competition is also creating a window of opportunity for Netflix because it has valuable things to offer to these competitors as they slug it out.
Point 2: Online media in China is very political and likely no foreign company will have control of a license or broadcast rights. So Netflix needs to be realistic about what is possible.
Point 3: The other big issue is the strong local competition. If Netflix wants to win in online streaming in China, they need to be prepared to fight for a long time.
Bottom line: Beijing should note the latest trouble signal from ZTE in the smartphone sector, and take steps to prevent future similar boom-bust cycles by encouraging more responsible investing incentives by local governments.
ZTE cautious on China smartphone market
The latest trouble signal from China’s overheated smartphone sector came last week from telecoms stalwart ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063), which said it would remain cautious in the world’s largest market even as it announced ambitious new sales targets for the rest of the world this year. The company’s relative caution in its own home market comes amid a looming shakeout that is just the latest in a series of boom-bust cycles that have become all too common in China’s business landscape in the last 3 decades.
While market forces play a large role in these bubbles, regional governments looking to spur economic growth may also share some responsibility by offering incentives that encourage local firms to enter unfamiliar areas where the chance of failure is high. Such failures often result in big financial losses and mass layoffs, negating any economic benefit they were supposed to create. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on January 26. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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China Bears Descend on Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) as Economy Woes Grow (English article)
Coolpad (HKEx: 2369) to Raise at Least HK$719 Through Rights Issues (HKEx announcement)
Shanda Group Ends Shanda Games Ties, To Transform As Global Investment Firm (PRNewswire)
Bottom line: Apple’s accelerated China store openings and February roll-out of its Apple Pay service represent efforts to boost its local profile, as the broader China smartphone market shows signs of saturation and is likely to contract this year.
Apple Pay coming to China in February
Global smartphone leader Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) is kicking off the New Year by accelerating its efforts in China on two fronts, opening more of its trademark Apple Stores as it also prepares a February launch for a local version of its Apple Pay electronic payments service. Both campaigns have been in the headlines in recent days, extending a broader campaign by CEO Tim Cook to pay more attention to a market that could soon surpass the US to become Apple’s biggest.
At the same time, these latest campaigns come amid a growing chorus of predictions that sales of Apple’s iPhones could soon start to slow sharply. A primary factor behind that slowdown could be China, where the smartphone market has become saturated and is expected to contract in 2016 after 3 years of explosive growth. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: BYD’s EV sales are likely to see strong growth based on government-supported buying in China this year, but could slow sharply in 2017 if China’s economic slowdown accelerates.
Li Lu boosts BYD stake
Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker BYD (HKEx: 1211; Shenzhen: 002594) shot into the headlines in 2008 when investment guru Warren Buffett bought 10 percent of the company. But it has struggled to find a mass audience for its cars since then, at times raising doubts about its future. That seems to be changing recently, as a nascent surge in its home China market has quietly begun to charge up the business, bringing some excitement back to the company.
Now one of BYD’s biggest backers, the man who first introduced the company to Buffett, is quietly building up his own stake in BYD, and disclosed that his LL Group recently bought more shares to boost its stake to 8.24 percent. (HKEx announcement) That’s up from 6.3 percent of BYD’s H-shares that LL Group, formerly known as Himalaya Capital, held at the middle of last year, and is a sign of growing confidence by LL Group founder Li Lu. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Toys “R” Us’ big China expansion plan contrasts with pull-backs and departures for many major western retailers in the tough market, and could be aimed at generating buzz in the run-up to a potential IPO.
Toys “R” Us steps up China expansion
China’s economy may be headed for a rapid slowdown that casts a chill on the retail sector, but don’t tell that to US veteran Toys “R” Us. The retailer whose name is synonymous with children and fun has disclosed it’s planning an ambitious China build-up that will see it increase its local store count by 30 percent this year, even as other major western retailers are closing shops and even leaving the difficult market.
All that leads to the question of whether Toys “R” Us really intends to open so many new stores at a time of uncertainty, or whether this China toy story is part hype with other motivations. If the latter is the case, this particular story could be designed at least partly to generate some excitement around an otherwise boring traditional retailer, as it gets set to potentially re-list in New York more than a decade after being privatized. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on January 23-25. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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ZTE (HKEx: 763) Eye) 70 Mln Smartphone Sales in 2016, Up 25 Pct, Cautious On China (Chinese article)
Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) to Open First China Shopping Center, Eyes Cross-Border E-Commerce (Chinese article)
Used Car Auction Website Uxin Raises $400 Mln Series D Funding – Source (English article)
Sohu (Nasdaq: SOHU) Workers Punished, 2 Fired for Related Party Transactions (Chinese article)
Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) Pay to Launch in China in February – Bank Document (Chinese article)
Bottom line: Weibo’s elimination of the 140-character length limit for posts looks like a good strategic decision, as it consolidates its position as an alternative news source to traditional state-owned media.
Weibo lifts length limit for posts
Social networking (SNS) leader Weibo (Nasdaq: WB) is taking a radical new step and dropping the rule that strictly limits the length of microblog posts, in its bid to remain relevant and avoid being marginalized by dominant rival WeChat. The move is quite bold on the one hand, but also probably long overdue, in a world where people have many SNS options that provide more flexibility in the kinds of information and messages they share online.
The decision looks broadly positive for Weibo, which has evolved into an informal news source for many of its 200 million users. The company operates a service nearly identical to American SNS pioneer Twitter (NYSE: TWTR), and rapidly rose to become the clear leader in the space after Twitter itself was blocked in China in 2009. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Billionaire Guo Guangchang’s new sporting venture reflects his desire to move into entertainment, and also to win goodwill by supporting Beijing’s initiative to build up Chinese athletics.
Fosun’s Guo in sports tie-up with Europe’s GestiFute
After his brief and somewhat ominous disappearance last month, the man once called China’s Warren Buffett is back in the headlines, with word that Guo Guangchang has joined the growing ranks of Chinese billionaires making major investments in sports. In this case Guo is teaming up with Portuguese “super broker” GestiFute, whose main business is engineering the deals that allow European players to move from one soccer club to another. Among its deals, GestiFute was involved in previous transfers involving superstar Cristiano Ronaldo, showing the company is itself a major player in the business.
This particular deal is just the latest by some of China’s richest men and biggest private companies, which have suddenly discovered a huge appetite for all things sports. Previous investors in the growing trend include Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) founder Jack Ma and Wanda Group chief Wang Jianlin, who are 2 of the country’s wealthiest individuals. They also have been joined by a growing number of entertainment-related companies like online video firm LeTV(Shenzhen: 300104) and electronics retailer Suning (Shenzhen: 002024), which also owns a major online video site. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on January 21. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Bottom line: A sudden spate of new mega-fundings by Meituan-Dianping, Lufax and JD Finance show there is still big interest in China’s private tech and finance sectors, despite the nation’s rapidly slowing economy.
Investors throw billions at Meituan-Dianping, Lufax, JD Finance
It seems I may have been a bit premature with my recent prediction that the mega-fundings that crested in China a year ago were finished. That’s my assessment after reading about 3 new mega-deals in the tech sector this week, all worth more than $1 billion. Leading the pack was recently merged group buying giant Meituan-Dianping, whose whopping $3.3 billion in new funding values the company at $18 billion.
That latest news came just a day after media reported another deal that saw peer-to-peer (P2P) lending giant Lufax just raise its own new funding of $1.2 billion, valuing the firm at $18.5 billion. Last but not least was announcement at the start of the week that the finance unit of e-commerce giant JD.com (Nasdaq: JD) had just raised 6.65 billion yuan, or just over $1 billion, valuing the firm at 46.7 billion yuan ($7 billion). Read Full Post…
