Tag Archives: Tencent

Tencent latest Business & Financial news from Doug Young, the Expert on Chinese High Tech Market, (former Journalist and Chief editor at Reuters)

55Tuan + Ganji: Group Buying Clean-Up Acclerates 窝窝团携手赶集网:团购洗牌加速

Just a day after writing about a rumored merger between 2 mid-sized group buying sites, we’re getting even bigger news that the long-awaited consolidation in the overcrowded space is accelerating with word that 55tuan, one of the industry’s top players, is taking over operation of the group-buying business of a major player called Ganji. (Chinese article) The first tie-up that I wrote about yesterday has Gaopeng, the joint venture of US group buying giant Groupon (Nasdaq: GRPN), reportedly in talks to merge with another mid-sized player called FTuan, in a deal that is probably being brokered by leading Internet firm Tencent (HKEx: 700), which is a shareholder in both companies. (previous post) This kind of consolidation, which will include both mergers and also a large number of closures, has been a long time coming, and 55tuan’s entry to the picture marks the first such M&A by one of the industry’s top 3 players. I predict we’ll see the industry’s other top 2 names, LaShou and Dianping, announce their own new tie-ups in the next 2-3 months, with LaShou likely to make the first announcement as it tries to create hype for its moribund New York IPO, which it originally filed for last year but later had to put on hold while it cleared up some accounting issues from the US securities regulator. (previous post) Let’s take a look at the latest news first, which has Ganji, a mid-tier group buying player, confirming it has formed a strategic partnership that will see it and 55tuan combine their group buying operations. Since 55tuan is clearly the bigger player and both companies are probably losing big money, I suspect this so-called “strategic agreement” will ultimately turn into an outright sale that will see 55tuan completely take over the Ganji group buying business for a modest fee of $100 million or less. 55tuan itself has said it wants to make its own overseas IPO, and reiterated as recently as last month that its listing plan is still on track for sometime later this year. (previous post) This tie-up with another mid-sized player like Ganji should help to generate some investor interest in 55tuan’s offering if and when it happens, and 55tuan is undoubtedly negotiating with other similar mid-sized players about more M&A even as it wraps up the Ganji deal. This new flurry of activity could be just the tonic the battered group buying space needs to generate some interest in this upcoming parade of planned IPOs, as investors will undoubtedly be excited at the prospect that the ultra-fierce competition that has gripped the market for the last year may soon come to an end and a handful of major companies with potential to be profitable will emerge. To that end, look for both more mergers and closures to come in the next few months, and perhaps for even some investor enthusiasm to emerge if and when 55tuan, LaShou, or another big group buying site manages to finally make a public offering.

Bottom line: The new merger between the group buying business of 55tuan and Ganji marks an acceleration of consolidation that could rekindle investor in the overheated space.

Related postings 相关文章:

Gaopeng, FTuan Lead Group Buying M&A 高朋网和F团或引领中国团购业并购潮

Groupon.cn Becomes 2012 First Group Buy Victim 团宝网员工被放假 中国团购业料将加速整合

55tuan Restarts IPO Race With LaShou 窝窝团和拉手网重启IPO争先赛

 

Gaopeng, FTuan Lead Group Buying M&A 高朋网和F团或引领中国团购业并购潮

Finally there’s a rumored merger in China’s overheated group buying space that looks smart, with Groupon’s (Nasdaq: GRPN) struggling joint venture Gaopeng reportedly in talks to combine with another struggling firm called FTuan. (English article) Such mergers are sorely needed in the group buying space, where nearly everyone is losing money due to rampant competition and quality control problems are leading to growing signs that Beijing will step in to heavily regulate this unruly industry. According to the reports, citing an unnamed industry source, Gaopeng, a joint venture between Groupon and Chinese Internet leader Tencent (HKEx: 700) is negotiating a merger with FTuan, though no deal has been reached yet. This deal is no doubt being brokered by Tencent, which invested $30 million in FTuan last year, making it a stakeholder in both Gaopeng and FTuan. (English article) I won’t even ask why Tencent decided to invest in another group buying site just months after launching Gaopeng with Groupon, in what must have looked like a clear conflict of interests at the time. But regardless of the background, this combination, if it happens, looks like a smart move for both companies and the broader group buying space where many players are struggle to stay in business as they burn through their cash piles and investors refuse to provide more money. Gapeng itself began mass layoffs just months after its launch early last year, and it’s unclear how committed Groupon is to the venture, especially as Groupon itself comes under scrutiny after saying it will restate some of its financial information following its Nasdaq IPO last year. We don’t know very much about FTuan, but previous media reports indicate the company has received around $100 million in funding to date, including the $30 million from Tencent, meaning it should be a relatively large company whose scale is comparable to Gaopeng’s and thus should make it a meaningful merger partner. Honestly speaking, I’m surprised we haven’t seen more such merger talks these last few months, but perhaps that’s not surprising in China’s entrepreneurial Internet space where many bosses might prefer to simply see their firms go out of business rather than merge with a rival. One such company that looks headed in that direction is Groupon.cn, unrelated to the US Groupon or Gaopeng, which has reportedly cut most of its staff after it used up most of its cash and investors refused to provide more. (previous post) Another company that could probably benefit from a big merger is LaShou, whose New York IPO derailed last year after regulators reportedly had questions about its accounting. My sources tell me LaShou is reportedly preparing to file again for the IPO, but it could certainly improve its chances and even create some investor excitement if it were to merge with another major Chinese player first, such as 55tuan. Look for more of these mergers to come in the months ahead, along with a steady stream of closures by cashless companies, with a few interesting players likely to emerge in a much steadier consolidated industry by the end of this year.

Bottom line: Gaopeng’s rumored merger talks with FTuan are the first of what will be many mergers and closures for group buying sites this year, with consolidation likely to wrap up by year end.

Related postings 相关文章:

Groupon.cn Becomes 2012 First Group Buy Victim 团宝网员工被放假 中国团购业料将加速整合

Investors Shun Struggling Groupon.cn, Yaodian100 投资者规避挣扎中的团宝网和耀点100

Group Buy Clean-Up Grows, E-Commerce Next 团购行业洗牌加剧,下一个是电子商务

Disney, Tencent Tie-Up to Animate China 迪斯尼、腾讯合作研发动漫

Coming soon to movie screens in China: “Pudgy Penguin: The Movie”. That may sound like fantasy for now, but it could soon become reality following a newly announced partnership between animation giant Disney (NYSE: DIS) and Chinese Internet leader Tencent (HKEx: 700), whose ubiquitous logo featuring a pudgy cartoon penguin is practically synonymous with the web in China. (company announcement; English article) Talks of the tie-up were first leaked last week, at which time I predicted the pair would form a joint venture animation studio similar to the one announced earlier this year between another US industry leader, DreamWorks Animation (NYSE: DWA) and local partner Shanghai Media Group (SMG). (previous post) The structure of Disney’s partnership looks a little different from a traditional joint venture, with the 2 sides announcing they would set up an animation R&D center along with China Animation Group. The Ministry of Culture also appears to be heavily involved, meaning the venture should have good government connections to help it steer clear of China’s huge bureaucracy governing the sensitive media sector. Despite its name as an R&D center and the emphasis on developing local talent for China’s animation industry, which look mostly like a public relations exercise, this initiative closely resembles an animation studio in everything but name, with the announcement saying it will develop content for the China market. From my perspective, I really do like this particular tie-up, as it brings together a major foreign player in the form of Disney, together with a major new media player like Tencent and government connections from the Ministry of Culture and the China Animation Group. Tencent is currently making aggressive moves in the online video market, and, joking aside, its animated pudgy penguin would make a great character for a future animated movie or TV or Internet series to help promote the Tencent brand and the partnership in general. While the government’s close involvement has its positive elements, it could also be one of the new venture’s weak points, as government involvement in anything tends to add an extra layer of bureaucracy from officials who often have other agendas besides running an efficient business. But then again, no one ever said this was an official business, which could be another weakness in this partnership if and when it ever starts to earn profits. Comparing this Disney-Tencent tie-up with the DreamWorks-SMG one, I would have to say I personally like the DreamWorks one better, since SMG, as China’s second biggest media group, is also a quasi-government organization but lacks formal government ties, giving it more room to innovate. But that said, China’s animation market is certainly big enough for major joint ventures led by 2 of the world’s top players, and I would fully expect both  to see strong success both in China and also potentially through exporting their products to other Asian markets.

Bottom line: Disney’s new tie-up with Tencent looks well positioned to capitalize on China’s animation market, though close government participation remains a medium-sized risk factor.

Related postings 相关文章:

Facebook, DreamWorks in Latest China Moves Facebook、梦工厂在华最新动向

Disney-Tencent Talks: China Looking Animated 迪士尼与腾讯沟通动漫合作

More Media IPOs From People’s Daily, Shopping Channel 电视购物,继人民日报后又一计划上市的媒体

Disney-Tencent Talks: China Looking Animated 迪士尼与腾讯沟通动漫合作

China may finally be opening up its animation market to foreign investment, with the latest word that none other than Disney (NYSE: DIS), arguably the world’s most famous brand in the field, is in talks with Internet leader Tencent (HKEx: 700) for a tie-up in the lucrative but largely undeveloped space. The media reports are rather vague, saying only that Tencent, China’s largest Internet company, is “communicating” with Disney about a potential animation development tie-up. (Chinese article) But any such partnership would look extremely interesting, especially as Tencent is looking to build up its online video business (previous post) in a bid to compete with industry leaders Youku (NYSE: YOKU) and Tudou (Nasdaq: TUDO), which are in the process of merging. (previous post) From Disney’s perspective, any such deal would mark a major breakthrough, following its last big advance a couple of years ago when it finally reached an agreement to build its first mainland Chinese Disneyland in Shanghai. The Shanghai Disneyland agreement was a long and torturous process, marked by nearly a decade of on-again-off-again talks that finally resulted in the big deal. Disney has a number of other smaller China initiatives, including its Disney-branded English language schools and numerous merchandise licensing agreements. But the big piece missing from Disney’s China picture to date is filmed entertainment, with the company lacking any major presence on Chinese TV and in its movie theaters apart from products imported under a strict quota system. An animation tie-up with Tencent — or any other video channel — could quickly change that situation, allowing Disney to set up a China-based animation studio that could distribute programs through its own Disney-branded TV or Internet channel, or sell content to other channel operators. DreamWorks Animation (NYSE: DWA), creator of the popular “Shrek” animated franchise, scored a major breakthrough on the China animation front early this year when it formally signed a deal to create a Chinese animation joint venture with Shanghai Media Group (SMG), China’s second largest media company. (previous post) I said at the time that the DreamWorks deal, along with a number of other smaller signals from Beijing, indicated that China might be preparing to open up its animation market to western investment, after a previous attempt to open the market about 5 years ago failed. I have to assume that Disney would only enter into talks with Tencent or any other potential partner after receiving a nod from Beijing that any eventual new venture in the sensitive media space would receive government approval. Given the current climate of opening up the media space and the recent DreamWorks deal, I would have to believe that Disney is definitely looking around for an animation partner, and is probably talking to Tencent as well as others at this early stage. If that’s the case, look for Disney to sign its own China animation joint venture in the not-too-distant future, probably by the end of this year.

Bottom line: Reports that Disney is talking to Tencent for a Chinese animation joint venture could very well be true, with Disney likely to form such a venture by the end of this year.

Related postings 相关文章:

Facebook, DreamWorks in Latest China Moves Facebook、梦工厂在华最新动向

Disney Bets on China Thirst for Luxury 迪士尼押注中国名品市场

Tencent Sends Out Mixed Video Signals 腾讯若持股优酷 有助进军视频业

 

News Digest: April 5, 2012 报摘: 2012年4月5日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on April 5. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Tencent (HKEx: 700) Seeks Animation Development Tie-Up With Disney (NYSE: DIS) (Chinese article)

Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU) Strongly Rejects Recent Allegations in Forbes Article (PRNewswire)

◙ China’s Wen Urges Breakup of Bank Monopoly as Growth Slows (English article)

Suntech (NYSE: STP) “Sun King” Sees Industry Back in Black, Eyes US Duties (English article)

Starwood Hotels (NYSE: HOT) to Open Its First Dual-Branded Ski Resort in China (Businesswire)

New Crackdown Spotlights Social Networking Risk 新的打压凸显社交网络风险

It’s a beautiful spring day here in Shanghai, and if you’re an avid microblogger you’re probably getting up and perusing the latest news and gossip on Sina’s (Nasdaq: SINA) popular Weibo service to read and pass on to your friends the latest news about your favorite celebrity or social issue. But a quick attempt to pass on someone else’s posts with your own insightful comments attached is suddenly impossible — blocked by Weibo itself as punishment from Beijing for spreading rumors, underscoring again the perils big companies face when setting up shop in China’s social networking realm. (English article) The news that Sina’s Weibo and another popular microblogging service from Tencent (HKEx: 700) are both being punished for spreading rumors should come as a surprise to no one, though enthusiastic investors who purchased stock of both companies on big hopes for their microblogging services might decide that Monday is a good time to sell some of their shares. The reports on what happened are actually quite detailed, saying both Sina and Tencent angered Beijing by allowing rumors to spread on their services that troops had moved into the nation’s capital as part of a coup attempt that never happened. Beijing has always been sensitive about any kind of rumor that could foment social unrest, and those sensitivities will only increase this year as the nation prepares for a major handover of power from the current leaders following the end of their official 10-year term in office. What’s interesting in this situation is the very public way in which the matter is being handled, with news of the false rumors and unspecified punishment both appearing in a report from Xinhua, the central news agency considered the voice of the Communist Party itself. No specifics of the punishment have been disclosed, and I suspect both Sina and Tencent will face limits on their microblogging operations and perhaps some small fines over the short term. But the longer term implications could be much more worrisome, with both companies facing big consequences — including even a possible shut-down — if they commit any similar transgressions in the year ahead during the sensitive power handover. That could pose a big risk to both companies, as well as other microblogging services, as all have now officially been warned that Beijing won’t tolerate any political rumors in the months ahead. That means all these services will undoubtedly delete any political postings on their services that are even remotely political for fear of offending Beijing, which could easily anger many of their millions of users who will no longer be able to post many of their thoughts online. Advertisers will also undoubtedly think twice about wanting to play in such a dangerous space, where their ads could not only suddenly become in accessible but they could also risk angering Beijing by doing business with companies accused of spreading rumors. This latest development comes only months after Beijing announced its “real name” policy for all microblogging sites, requiring them to register all their users by their real names, again as a measure to try and curb rumor mongering and other unsavory activities such as scams. (previous post) Sina, Tencent, NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES) and other microblog site operators aren’t the only ones at risk, as other social networking site operators like Renren (NYSE: RENN) and Kaixin, whose services are more similar to Facebook, could just as easily be accused of spreading rumors and also be punished. To anyone considering buying shares of any of these companies, I would just reiterate that they may have good great growth potential due to the size of China’s Internet market — which recently passed 500 million users — but they also come with huge risk. Especially in the coming year with the leadership change, these companies will have to be especially careful about what they allow on their sites, and can risk punishment or closure at any time. At the same time they face the risk of punishment by their own users, who might become frustrated with all the new restrictions and could easily end up abandoning their accounts.

Bottom line: The latest punishment for Sina and Tencent microblogging services for spreading rumors  underscores the big risks China Internet companies face due to political considerations.

Related postings 相关文章:

Real Name Registration: Burden or Not for Weibo? 实名制会否成为新浪微博的负担?

Sina Gets Serious on Weibo 新浪开始严肃对待微博

Microblog Clampdown: Only Chapter 1? 实名制向网络行业吹去冷风

Baidu: Addicted to Piracy 百度:沉溺于盗版

Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) may be China’s undisputed Internet search leader, but new reports circulating about an abrupt collapse of talks over a new video partnership illustrate just how dependent this company is on less-than-ethical business practices like piracy and stealth advertising for its rapid growth. Chinese media are reporting that Baidu has ended discussions that would have brought online video to its service through a new partnership with LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) after Baidu refused to LeTV’s condition that it eliminate pirated video from its video search site results. (English article) While other major Internet sites seem to be making a real effort to eliminate pirated music, video and other copyrighted material from their sites, Baidu has made some high-profile announcements to try to convince people it is making similar moves, while quietly allowing pirating activity to continue unabated on its sites. The company announced a major new initiative last year to offer legal music over its site in a tie-up with several major record labels, only to add it had no plans to simultaneously close its older popular music sharing site where piracy is so rampant that the major global music labels filed a lawsuit against Baidu several years back. (previous post) This latest development just underscores how addicted Baidu is to piracy, one factor that has helped it to triumph in the domestic search market over global players like Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) and Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO), ,which actively police their sites to keep off pirated material. This addiction to piracy is just one of Baidu’s less-than-ethical practices. The other big one is its reported willingness to manipulate search results for anyone willing to pay for such services. That includes not only giving advertisers high placement in search results without telling web surfers that such high placement was paid for, but also reportedly other things like conveniently removing negative news from search results for any individual or company that is willing to pay. So why does Baidu engage in such practices when clearly they go against international standards? The answer is simple: because it can, and because such practices are one of the main drivers for the high growth rates have made Baidu stock a darling of investors. I have no doubt that Baidu will continue to engage in such practices, and a smart, well-funded competitor like Google or Tencent (HKEx: 700) should take advantage of the situation to launch a campaign to inform the public and steal some of Baidu’s traffic. But that looks unlikely to happen anytime soon, meaning Baidu will continue with its current practices for the foreseeable future until someone — be it consumers, a rival or the government — finally steps in and says “enough is enough”.

Bottom line: The break-up of talks for a online video tie-up between Baidu and LeTV underscores Baidu’s dependence on piracy as a major driver of traffic to its site.

Related postings 相关文章:

After Years, Baidu Does the Right Thing 百度多年来的一个正确之举

Baidu Video Tries Blockbuster Licensing

Baidu Comes Under Government Fire 政府“修理”百度

China Tech Stocks: Dividend Plays? 中国科技股:发放股利

Since everyone else is focusing on the rapidly slowing growth in the latest quarterly results from leading Internet company Tencent (HKEx: 700), I thought I’d take a look at a less explored part of the company’s newly issued report, namely a dividend that it quietly boosted 36 percent. The sharp increase, at least on a percentage basis, reflects a broader effort among overseas-listed China tech and Internet firms to try to rekindle investor interest in their shares, as many start to see a rapid slowdown in growth with the maturation of their markets. Let’s look at Tencent first, which saw its fourth-quarter profit rise a modest 15 percent, not exactly impressive for a company whose annual profit rose 56 percent in 2010 and which saw triple-digit gains in many previous years. (results announcement; English article) Meantime, the company announced it was raising its annual dividend to HK$0.75 per share from HK$0.55 the previous year, a 36 percent increase. In terms of actual yield, investors will still get a modest 0.4 percent return from the dividend based on Tencent’s latest closing price. But still, any return at all would be a plus for holders of Tencent shares last year, which fell 10 percent amid a broader cooling in sentiment towards overseas-listed China tech stocks after a meteoric rise in previous years. Tencent’s boosting of its dividend comes as a growing number of US-listed Chinese tech and Internet firms have rolled out first-ever dividends, with a diverse range of names including chip designer Spreadtrum (NYSE: SPRD), online game operator Giant Interactive (NYSE: GA) and real estate service specialists Soufun (NYSE: SFUN) and E-House (NYSE: EJ) all announcing dividends starting last year in a bid to support their sagging share prices. Most of these companies are relatively cash-rich and the awarding of dividends is partly acknowledgement that they don’t need the money for operations, since most are already profitable, and most don’t plan to make any major acquisitions in the near future. Furthermore, none have indicated whether these dividends will become a regular occurrence, and I suspect many will quietly retire the policy if and when their share prices start to rebound. Still, Tencent’s latest moves do reflect a new reality setting in for an increasing number of tech firms, namely that growth could slow significantly in the next few years, causing investors to look elsewhere for excitement in a market full of other high-growth stories. As that happens, look for some of the biggest names, especially cash-rich ones like Tencent, to quietly boost their dividends, providing a stable if not very exciting source of returns for investors who don’t mind the slower growth.

Bottom line: A growing number of overseas-listed Chinese tech and Internet firms will offer dividends to attract investors as their profit growth slows.

Related postings 相关文章:

Real Estate Down, But E-House Jumps 房地产股票下跌,但易居上涨

Soufun Looks For More Support With New Dividend 搜房网借新派息计划寻求支撑股价

Shanda Plays Games With Big Dividend 盛大游戏寄望高额分红计划提振股价

News Digest: March 15, 2012 报摘: 2012年3月15日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 15. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Tencent (HKEx: 700) Announces Full-Year Results for 2011, Dividend (HKEx announcement)

Vipshop to List on NY Stock Exchange on March 23 – Source (Chinese article)

ICBC (HKEx: 1398) Appears to Back Away From Pakistan-Iran Gas Pipeline (English article)

Spreadtrum (Nasdaq: SPRD), Micromax Partner on Handsets in India, Emergings Mkt (PRNewswire)

Tudou’s (Nasdaq: TUDO) Wang Says Pay Hikes, No Cuts After Youku (NYSE: YOKU) Merger (Chinese article)

◙ Latest calendar for Q4 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)

Tudou Plus Youku: Two Small Potatoes

Note to readers: This article was written and published on Tuesday, March 13, in Hong Kong’s Economic Journal, but I’m just posting it today (Thursday) on  my blog as part of my agreement with them.

It’s not often that mergers happen among publicly traded companies in China’s crowded Internet space, so I’m not even sure where to begin in discussing the just-announced deal that will see leading online video site Youku (NYSE: YOKU) buy rival Tudou (Nasdaq: TUDO) to form an undisputed domestic leader in online video. (company announcement) On paper and in theory the deal sounds quite attractive, combining China’s biggest and second biggest video sharing sites in an interesting marriage between Youku’s more corporate style and Tudou, which has a much more entrepreneurial background under the leadership of outspoken founder Gary Wang. But the reality is much less interesting, with this newly merged company still a relatively small entity likely to face numerous challenges going forward. For Tudou shareholders at least, the deal looks quite sweet. After seeing Tudou shares sink steadily to lose about half of their value following the company’s initial public offering last August, investors who had enough patience to hold on will get a rare premium of 38 percent to the company’s original IPO price, and an even juicier 160 percent to its last closing price before the deal was announced. Investors bid Tudou shares up by nearly that amount in Monday trade after the deal was announced, in a jump that should surprise no one. But perhaps more telling, Youku shares also rose 27 percent, a jump partly due to excitement about this new industry leader but also, in my view, because many believe the new company could itself soon become an acquisition target. At the end of the day, the deal itself is relatively tiny, valuing Tudou at just over $1 billion even after the big premium. That, combined with Youku’s own market value of $2.85 billion, means the entire merged company will be worth just under $4 billion — hardly a figure to get anyone too excited, and still trailing most other big Chinese Internet names like Sina (Nasdaq: SINA), NetEase (NTES) and well behind Internet search leaders Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) and Tencent (HKEx: 700). Youku now controls about 22 percent of China’s online video market and Tudou another 14 percent, meaning the combined company will still control less than half of this highly fragmented space. Both Youku and Tudou are also currently losing money, though this deal could help them move to profitability more quickly than each might have done as an individual company. Still, both companies’ latest quarterly results are hardly reassuring. Youku saw its loss actually widen 32 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, not the best sign for a company aiming for profitability. Tudou, meantime, also saw its fourth-quarter loss balloon ten-fold from a year ago, after it notched an unexpected profit in the third quarter. The situation doesn’t look set to improve anytime soon, with a looming advertising slowdown for the broader Internet market also likely to hurt video sites in general, since advertisers looking for the most effective channel for their money are likely to skip those sites in favor of more effective platforms like Sina’s popular web portal and Baidu’s sector-leading search page. From the perspective of someone who has watched China’s Internet space for years, I have to say that I like this deal from a historical perspective as it represents one of the largest friendly mergers to date of two companies that strongly complement each other. But from the perspective of an investor, I honestly can’t get too excited about this deal, since both Youku and Tudou are ultimately just little players in China’s huge Internet realm that will quickly find that one small potato plus another small potato still equals a small potato. Furthermore, both companies have a number of factors working against them, including bottom lines moving in the wrong direction, potential integration issues of 2 very different corporate cultures, and a looming slowdown in advertising, their key revenue source. If I were a gambling man, I would bet that this new merged company will face a number of issues in the next year, but could ultimately still reward investors if it gets acquired by an even bigger company in the next 2 years, much the way that Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) purchased Youtube.

Bottom line: The Youku-Tudou merger is notable for setting a precedent, but will ultimately still create a small Internet player most likely to get purchased itself in the next 2 years.

Related postings 相关文章:

Regulator Eyes Online Video in Ad Crackdown 广电总局或限制视频网站广告

Tudou-Sina Tie-Up: More to Come? 土豆网联手新浪

Tudou Surprises With Profit, Licensing Deal 土豆网意外扭亏为盈视频分享市场的好兆头

Alibaba Tests Waters for Group Listing 阿里巴巴试水集团整体上市

Even as it continues the slow and tortured process of a massive buyback of shares from its biggest stakeholder, leading Chinese e-commerce firm Alibaba continues to test the waters for a potential mega-listing of itself, this time by releasing data on group-wide profits that highlight its fast-growth story. Chinese media are quoting a document recently filed with the US securities regulator saying Alibaba Group, 40 percent owned by struggling global search firm Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO), posted a profit of $339 million in the 12 months through October 2011, marking an impressive seven-fold increase from the previous 12-month period (Chinese article) The data show that the huge profit jump was clearly the result of Alibaba’s achieving economies of scale, since revenue grew by a much slower but still impressive 80 percent to $2.3 billion. Clearly the big jump in profits didn’t come from its Alibaba.com (HKEx: 1688) B2B marketplace, one of the group’s oldest assets and its only publicly traded one which has seen growth slow sharply in the last year as its business matures and it deals with a fraud scandal. Alibaba is in the process of privatizing Alibaba.com in its effort to downplay that slower growing part of its business and draw more attention to its higher growth units like its Tianmao online mall, formerly known as Taobao Mall, and its AliPay e-payments unit, both of which were probably major contributors to the big jump in profits. Of course people who follow this story will know that Alibaba is trying to buy out the 40 percent stake in the company held by Yahoo, in talks that have dragged on for months now. I’m quite certain that Alibaba is trying to buy back the stake for a price that will give it the highest valuation possible, as it probably plans to turn around and re-sell some or all of that stake at a premium to other investors. The latest disclosure of the group’s fast profit growth, combined with comments from an executive a few weeks ago (previous post), make it look increasingly like Alibaba is seriously considering a listing for the entire group company once it cuts its ties with Yahoo. I’ve previously said such an offering looks like a smart move, as Alibaba is a relatively rare case where its parts are probably worth more together as a package than as individual pieces, as they are all focused on the core e-commerce business and have many synergies. The company is reportedly trying to strike a Yahoo deal that would value it at $32 billion or more, and with these kinds of financials and general market hype created by founder Jack Ma it’s looking like he might actually get that valuation or even higher. He and his team have always hinted they think they should be valued in the same neighborhood as Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) and Tencent (HKEx: 700), China’s 2 most valuable Internet companies, now both worth about $48 billion. A group listing would certainly come close to helping him reach that target.

Bottom line: The release of group-level data on Alibaba’s rapid growth is the latest indication the company is weighing a potential listing of the entire group either this year or next.

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Alibaba.com Privatization: Parent IPO Coming? 阿里巴巴网私有化:母公司或将上市?

Alibaba Looks for Value With Delisting Plan 阿里巴巴计划退市以寻求价值

Alibaba: Let’s Get This Show Finished 阿里巴巴和雅虎赶紧“离婚”吧