55tuan Restarts IPO Race With LaShou 窝窝团和拉手网重启IPO争先赛

An IPO race pitting 2 of China’s top group buying sites, LaShou and 55tuan, is showing signs of restarting in the Year of the Dragon, though I’m still a bit dubious of whether either of these 2 companies will ever really make it to market. New reports in the Chinese media say 55tuan is denying rumors that it has scrapped plans for a New York IPO, saying it is moving forward with a timetable for an offering in the second quarter. (Chinese article) The denial marks the latest twist in a race that started to take form last summer, when both 55tuan and LaShou appeared to be moving ahead with plans for offerings to raise much-needed cash. Both companies had trouble finding underwriters for their offerings, with names like Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) resigning from LaShou’s plan (previous post), while Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) and Merrill Lynch reportedly declined to bid for the 55tuan deal. (previous post) All the big banks were reportedly concerned about the accounting used by both companies for some of their many acquisitions, amid a broader series of accounting scandals that hammered US-listed Chinese stocks last year. LaShou ended up hiring several second tier-players, including domestic heavyweight CICC and Japan’s Nomura; but one of my sources tells me that even Nomura ended up dropping the deal and was replaced by Britain’s Barclays Capital. LaShou appeared to have the edge in the race when it made its first public IPO filing last fall, but then saw that plan derail after the US securities regulator grew suspicious and asked for more information. (previous post) That happened in November and we haven’t heard anything since then, leading me to believe that the plan could be delayed indefinitely while LaShou does some major reworking of its books to satisfy both regulators and its own underwriters. In the meantime, I’m also skeptical that 55tuan will really make a second-quarter IPO, as it is having its own problems in the highly competitive group buying space that saw it make mass layoffs last year. Turmoil in the space appeared to claim its latest victim earlier this week when Groupon.cn, which has no relation to US giant Groupon, reportedly put most of its employees on extended holiday after the Chinese New Year break. (previous post) At the end of the day, one or both of these companies could finally make it to market, but both would be well advised to wait until the end of the year when they can generate more excitement — if they have the financial resources to survive that long.

Bottom line: A second-quarter IPO timetable for group buying site 55tuan looks overly ambitious, and an offering closer to the end of the year looks both more prudent and realistic.

Related postings 相关文章:

Groupon.cn Becomes 2012 First Group Buy Victim 团宝网员工被放假 中国团购业料将加速整合

LaShou IPO Derails

55tuan: A Company in Denial 窝窝团拒不接受现实

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