Bottom line: New fund-raising signals indicate car services giant Uber could spin off its China unit within a year, and that Ping An-backed P2P lending platform Lufax could make a major IPO in the same time frame.
Two big new fund-raising stories are in the headlines, led by a modest new funding commitment that hints at a spin-off soon for the China unit of hired car services leader Uber. Meantime, the rush to see which of China’s fast-growing peer-to-peer (P2P) lending sites will be first to market has officially begun, with separate reports saying an IPO is in the planning stages for Lufax, a Shanghai based company that is backed by one of China’s top traditional financial services firms.
Both of these deals are in the mid-range in terms of size, probably worth the $100-$500 million, contrasting with a spate of deals earlier this year that were worth much more when China’s stock market was booming. It’s still possible we could see one or two more mega-fundings worth $1 billion or more by the end of the year, though such large deals could quickly disappear if China’s stock markets and economy remain in the doldrums. Read Full Post…
The slow-motion collapse this week of HSBC’s (HKEx: 5; London: HSBA) plans to sell its stake in Ping An Insurance (HKEx: 2318; Shanghai: 601318) is shining a harsh spotlight on the big role that politics can play in deals involving major Chinese companies. The case is particularly interesting because it also shows how this kind of Chinese politics can quickly cost investors billions of dollars, since Ping An’s shares have dropped sharply as it looks increasingly likely the deal will collapse. Ping An’s Hong Kong-listed shares lost more than 6 percent of their value early this week after news of the deal’s potential collapse first emerged, though they’ve regained some of the ground since then.
Just a week after a leading Chinese newspaper predicted a new wave of capital raising by China’s banks this year, the latest trouble sign is emerging for the overstretched sector with news that Beijing will delay implementing tougher new capital requirements. The China Daily is citing a Bank of China (HKEx: 3988; Shanghai: 601398) official saying the banking regulator will postpone tougher new requirements, which were supposed to take effect on January 1, to the second half of the year instead. The news comes as signs mount that balance sheets at China’s banks are coming under growing pressure as the real estate market shows early signs of a major correction and the stock market fell 20 percent in 2011, both of which point to a big rise in souring loans this year. Last week, ICBC (HKEx: 1398; Shanghai: 601398) launched a nearly $8 billion subordinated bond offering to raise its capital adequacy ratio in anticipation of the new requirement, looking to the debt market to boost its capital. (
I don’t usually like to congratulate myself for making correct predictions, but in this case it does seem my mid-year forecast of a major new round of fund-raising by Chinese banks may soon occur in the new year as many look to repair their stressed-out balance sheets. I made my prediction back in July when China Merchants Bank (HKEx: 3968; Shanghai: 600036), one of the nation’s top regional players, announced plans to raise up to $5.4 billion — its second major capital raising after it and most of the country’s top banks raised hundreds of billions of dollars in 2009. (
