Bottom line: China’s telcos won’t accelerate their 5G network building even if licenses are issued earlier than expected this year, though foreign equipment suppliers could benefit if Huawei is hobbled by the US-China trade wars.
5G coming to China sooner than expected?
What a difference a decade makes. That’s about how long has passed between China’s issuing of 3G wireless licenses and the upcoming issue of 5G licenses two generations later. I remember in the 3G era how China dragged its feet forever, and finally issued licenses several years after the rest of the world. This time around it appears to be moving more quickly, driven by what appear to be political and economic factors.
The topic has popped into the headlines again this week with word that China’s telecoms regulator will “soon” issue 5G licenses. (English article) The signals coming from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) have been pointing to a release of licenses this year all along. But this could mean that will happen sooner rather than later, since many were previously expecting licenses toward the end of the year. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: ZTE will experience fallout from its run-in with Washington through much of next year, and could see an even longer-term hit to its global business as international customers start to look for alternate suppliers.
ZTE off life support, but major challenges remain
The saga of embattled smartphone and telecoms equipment maker ZTE(HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 00006) appears to be nearing an end, as trading resumed in the company’s stock following an official settlement with Washington over illegal sales to Iran. The ending to this story certainly came with a big climax, with ZTE shares plunging by 42 percent in Hong Kong on the first day after trading resumed.
They fell by a smaller 10 percent in China on Wednesday, but only because China places a 10 percent limit on daily rises and declines in individual stock prices. Not surprisingly, the stock was down another 10 percent in China on its second day of trade, while the Hong Kong shares did a dead cat bounce and were up slightly. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Chinese smartphone brands with local production are most likely to survive upcoming price wars they are exporting to India, while Nokia’s new smartphones are unlikely to make any inroads in China over the next 2-3 years.
China exports smartphone price wars to India
A case of deja vu is rapidly shaping up in India, where Chinese smartphone makers have flocked over the last two years in search of growth outside their overheated home market. In this case media are reporting that Chinese brands have surged to take half of the Indian market by dumping millions of their cheap look-alike Android phones into the country.
Meantime back in their own home country, nostalgia has become the word of the moment with word that Nokia (Helsinki: NOK1V) has officially re-entered a market it once dominated. Nokia joins a number of other faded brands to rediscover China, including former arch-rival Motorola, which has become the smartphone flagship of the brand’s current owner Lenovo (HKEx: 992). Read Full Post…
The following press releases and news reports about China companies were carried on June 14. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
══════════════════════════════════════════════
Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) Announces Lowered Revenue Guidance for Q2 (PRNewswire)
Nokia (Helsinki: NOK1V) Signs $1.5 Bln Framework Deal with China Mobile (HKEx: 941) (English article)
Okmetic (Helsinki: OKM1V) Says 93 Pct of Shares Tendered for Offer by China’s NSIG (GlobeNewswire)
After Apple,Didi Chuxing Gets $600 Mln Investment from China Life (HKEx: 2628)
Cheesecake Factory (Nasdaq: CAKE) Opens First China Store at Shanghai Disney (Businesswire)
Bottom line: Microsoft probably took a 10-20 percent stake in Xiaomi as part of the pair’s new alliance, and could use the Chinese company as its primary vehicle for participating in the mobile devices market.
Xiaomi lines up with Microsoft
The high-tech world is buzzing today with news of a major new tie-up between Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) and struggling smartphone maker Xiaomi, in a pairing that has interesting implications on many levels. At the biggest level, this alliance looks strikingly similar to an earlier one that ultimately saw Microsoft purchase the core smartphone business of former global leader Nokia. At another level, the alliance could give Xiaomi a powerful ally to help revive its fading fortunes, including a partner that could help it to move into the lucrative but difficult US market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Lenovo’s decision to tweak the Motorola name is a desperate move to revive the brand, and only postpones an inevitable write-off the company will need to make for the failed acquisition.
Lenovo tweaks Motorola name
In a move that smells of desperation, struggling smartphone maker Lenovo (HEx: 992) has decided to tweak its Motorola brand name whose sales have tanked since being acquired by the Chinese company in 2014. The move will see Lenovo retire the formal Motorola name and simply refer to the brand by its shorter and trendier Moto moniker. More precisely, the brand will become known as Moto by Lenovo.
This particular move isn’t so significant from a financial perspective, since Lenovo isn’t ready yet to ditch the iconic but faded US brand it acquired for nearly $3 billion in 2014. But the reality is that Motorola lost its trend-setting image long ago, and Lenovo’s attempts to reclaim the brand’s luminary past have been a resounding failure. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Huawei’s new move into notebook PCs could seriously challenge the existing establishment, and it could become a top 5 brand by the end of next year.
Huawei moves into notebook PCs
Telecoms giant Huawei is making a surprise move into the PC market, with word that it will launch a new line of notebook models next month using chips supplied by Intel (Nasdaq: INTC). The move would put Huawei into direct competition with leading PC maker Lenovo (HKEx: 992), as it aggressively expands beyond its older networking equipment business and diversifies into consumer electronics.
Huawei’s move into notebooks isn’t a huge surprise, since such products are increasingly similar to the new generation of smartphones where Huawei has found recent success. Huawei already sells tablet PCs, which perform many of the functions as notebooks as well. But the move does represent an entire new product area for Huawei, and is almost certain to put the company on collision course with Lenovo in their home China market. Read Full Post…
It’s official: the fast-rising Huawei has formally passed the 100 million mark for smartphone sales this year, cementing its place as the world’s undisputed third largest player behind only Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Samsung (Seoul: 005930). In a relatively unusual move for this low-profile company, Huawei is also trumpeting the milestone in a formal press release and forecasting more strong growth for next year.
Huawei has been China’s biggest success story to date in the young smartphone space, gaining rapid momentum over a crowded field of domestic rivals that includes Lenovo (HKEx: 992), ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) and smaller names like Alibaba-backed Meizu. But the company should also carefully watch the case of the stumbling Xiaomi, which was being called a homegrown Chinese version of Apple before it began its recent rapid fall from grace. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Xiaomi’s newest technology headache, if true, could delay the launch of its fifth-generation phone, further sapping its momentum and making it difficult to reach its 2015 sales target.
Xiaomi reportedly hits technology glitch
The once invincible Xiaomi is starting to look increasingly mortal, with reports that the smartphone high-flyer may have to delay the launch of its newest model due to technical reasons. I’m not too knowledgeable on the technical issues in this instance, but the potential new delays for the release of the Xiaomi 5 appear to be related to fingerprint recognition technology that the company plans to build into the new models.
If these latest reports are true, the delays could put a big crimp in the Xiaomi’s ambitious sales plans this year as it attempts to maintain its breakneck growth. Maintaining that kind of growth looks increasingly difficult due to all the technical issues, combined with intensifying competition in Xiaomi’s core China market. That competition is causing the company to abandon the online-only sales model that helps it keep costs down, which will ultimately undermine its profit margins. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A Yidao Yongche merger with Uber China continues the rapid consolidation in China’s hired car services, which could be followed soon by a successful bid by Uber and Baidu for Nokia’s digital mapping division.
Yidao Yongche to merge with Uber China
Rapid consolidation is taking place in China’s hired car services market, with word that a new alliance is shaping up between major local player Yidao Yongche and an existing tie-up between global giant Uber and local Internet search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU). As a longtime Chinese Internet watcher, I’m quite surprised at the sudden and rapid speed of consolidation in this particular sector, since such consolidation in other areas tends to be a slow and painful process that often takes years.
A major factor behind this sudden and rapid consolidation could be the participation by all 3 of China’s top Internet players, including Baidu, alongside social networking giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) and e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA). Two of those companies are also involved in a related headline that is seeing Baidu and Tencent making separate bids for the digital mapping division being sold off by former cellphone giant Nokia (Helsinki: NOK1V). Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on May 20. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Uber Joins Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) As Nokia’s Maps Unit Draws Multiple Bidders (English article)
Bank of Communications (HKEx: 3328) Agrees To Buy 80 Pct Of Brazil’s BBM (English article)
China’s Unigroup Says Wins Bid To Buy 51 Pct Stake In HP (NYSE: HP) Unit (English article)
