Tag Archives: Ericsson

Ericsson, ZTE Spat May be Near Resolution 爱立信与中兴的官司尘埃落定?

Eight months after the news first broke, we’re finally getting a little more color on the potentially devastating lawsuit filed against telecoms equipment and cellphone maker ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) by global rival Ericsson (Stockholm: ERICb), and things don’t look as bad as they did initially. Few details were given when Ericsson filed the suit in Britain back in April, but the action had the potential to halt ZTE’s sales in major European markets. (previous post) ZTE fired back with a meaningless lawsuit filed in China a short time later, but both companies have been largely mute on the subject since then. But now Chinese media are reporting an Ericsson executive attending an event in Beijing made some brief remarks on the matter in response to a question, and it looks like this whole issue is simply a question of money. (English article) That’s quite an important distinction, as companies that file such lawsuits usually do so with one of two objectives in mind. Companies like Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) usually file their IP lawsuits to force a competitor to stop making a product altogether. But in many other instances, which appears to be the case with Ericsson vs ZTE, the company filing suit simply wants another company to pay royalties by forcing the offending company to legally license its technology. If that’s the case here, then I would expect a resolution of this dispute in the near future. Of course, any new licensing deal will hurt ZTE, whose low costs are one of its chief advantages, by driving up those costs. But in the longer term, ZTE will be able to continue selling its products in Europe and elsewhere without interruption, and the company can return to competing against Ericsson in the marketplace rather than in the courtroom.

Bottom line: New remarks from Ericsson suggest its lawsuit against ZTE is all about licensing and money, and a resolution could soon be forthcoming.

从纠纷一开始到现在已有八个月之久,现在我们终于对此事有了多一些了解。电信设备商爱立信(ERICb.ST)此前在欧洲一纸诉状将中兴通讯(0763.HK; 000063.SZ)告上法庭,该诉讼看起来可能给中兴致命重创,不过目前状况看起来并没有当初那麽差。4月份,爱立信在英国起诉中兴通讯,外界对相关细节知之甚少。但诉讼有可能阻止中兴通讯在主要欧洲市场的销售。中兴通讯很快就予以回敬,在中国对爱立信提起诉讼。此後,两家公司在这个问题上双方基本沉默不语。但是中国媒体近期报导,一名在北京参加活动的爱立信高管在回答提问时此事做了简短的评论,看起来整个事情仅仅是钱的问题。这是一个非常重要的分界线。企业提起此类诉讼时,除了钱的目的外,往往希望一箭双雕。苹果(AAPL.O)等公司发起专利诉讼通常是为了迫使竞争对手停止产品生产。但更多情况下,一家企业提起诉讼通常是为了迫使另一家企业购买技术许可,支付专利费,爱立信与中兴通讯的纠纷似乎就属这种情况。如果事实确实如此,我预计近期两家公司应该就能解决纠纷。当然,任何新的许可协议都有损中兴通讯,因低成本是它的主要优势之一。但从长远一些来看,中兴通讯可以在欧洲等地继续产品销售工作,继续与爱立信同台竞争,而非仅仅局限于法庭之上。

一句话:爱立信高管最近的表态暗示,爱立信与中兴通讯的官司仅仅属于授权许可与钱的问题,纠纷不久应该就能尘埃落定。

Related postings 相关文章:

◙ ZTE Pressures Ericsson With China Suit — NOT 中兴反诉爱立信

◙ Huawei, ZTE Spat Heats Up 华为中兴之争升级

◙ ZTE Gambles With Smartphone Share Grab 中兴通讯押注智能手机业务

ZTE’s US Back Door, Huawei’s Foreign Hire 中兴通讯的美国後门 华为的海外招贤

The relentless drive by telecoms equipment giants Huawei and ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) to break into the US continues, with the pair taking decidedly different approaches in their quest to be first to make big bucks in the world’s most lucrative telecoms market. First ZTE. While everyone has focused on ZTE’s frustrations in the US selling networking equipment, most notably its failure to win a big contract earlier this year from Sprint (NYSE: S) (previous post), the company has quietly become a major force in the much lower profile but still quite lucrative US cellphone market selling its low-cost smartphones. One of my company sources tells me that ZTE is currently on track to sell $600 million worth of cellphones in the US this year, or double its volume from 2010, as it focuses on a product where it has done well and, equally important, which is far less sensitive than networking equipment that tends to raise security concerns. While $600 million isn’t huge for a company like ZTE, it’s still around 6 percent of the company’s forecast revenue for this year, which is still significant and could easily become more so if it can continue the strong growth with its low-cost smartphones. For Huawei, Chinese media are reporting the company has hired John Suffolk, former chief information officer of the British government, as the company’s new global cyber security officer. (English article) This move looks quite brilliant, as Huawei clearly has landed someone with strong Western government connections and telecoms security background to play a dual role in not only advising it on how to make its equipment more secure against cyber attacks, but also to ease government concerns in the US and Western Europe that Huawei’s equipment might somehow pose a risk of spying by the Chinese government. Huawei’s step is only the latest in a long series of moves aimed at solidifying its long-term position in the global telecoms market, and at this rate I wouldn’t be surprised  to see it not only score its first big US sale in the next year, but also to take over the spot as the world’s top mobile networking equipment maker from Sweden’s Ericsson (Stockholm: ERICb) in that time frame.

Bottom line: ZTE could broach the $1 billion sales mark in the US next year through its fast-growing cellphone business, while Huawei’s latest hire should help it enter the US in the next year.

中国两大电信设备提供商–中兴通讯<00063. SZ><0763.HK>与华为<HWT.UL>继续努力打入美国市场,但是策略迥异。先说中兴通讯。当人人还都在念着中兴通讯向美国市场出售网络设备上的挫折,特别是今年稍早未能赢得Sprint<S.N>一项巨大合约时,这家公司已经悄悄成为了美国手机市场的一支重要力量,在这里销售其平价的智能手机。一名公司消息人士告诉我,中兴正推动今年在美国手机销售达6亿美元,较2010年翻番。中兴在手机领域表现不错,而且这块市场不像电信设备那麽敏感。6亿美元对中兴不算太大,但仍然占到了公司今年财测的6%左右,这相当不错,而且如果其低成本智能手机销售强劲势头继续,那麽中兴手机业务将会占据更重要的分量。再说华为。据中国媒体报导,华为已聘请英国政府前首席信息官约翰•萨福克(John Suffolk)担任全球网络安全官。此举看起来非常聪明。华为显然是请到了既有很强西方政府关系、又有电信安全背景的人来发挥双重作用:萨福克不仅可以建议华为面对网络袭击如何增强设备的安全性,还可缓解美国与西欧等政府的安全忧虑。华为意欲巩固其在全球电信市场的长期地位,此举只是一系列朝向这个目标的举措之一。以目前的速度来看,华为如果明年锁定首笔在美的重大销售交易、且超过爱立信<ERICb.ST><ERICb.ST>成全球头号移动网络设备制造商,我不会感到意外。

一句话:明年,中兴通讯借助手机业务的快速增长,明年有可能在美国市场的销售突破10亿美元大关。而华为此次招贤则应会帮助它明年踏入美国市场。

Related postings 相关文章:

◙ Huawei, ZTE Ratchet Up Western PR Offensives 华为和中兴加紧西方公关战

◙ Huawei Hunting for Good Will in Canada Tie-Up 华为在美成立研发中心

◙ Huawei on PR, Spending Blitzes to Shore Up Global Prospects 华为砸钱大打公关战 打造国际形象

Telecoms Regulator Shifts Tone on 4G 电信监管者就4G牌照发放转变口风

After saying on several occasions earlier this year that 4G licenses won’t be issued for at least the next 2-3 years, China’s telecoms regulator is subtly shifting its message, no doubt under heavy pressure from China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL), which would like to see such licenses issued sooner rather than later. Chinese media are now quoting an official from the regulator at an event this week saying that 4G licenses will be awarded when the technology is “mature.” (Chinese article) He then goes on to say how China Mobile has launched expanded trials for its 4G standard, TD-LTE, in six major cities, and that results so far have been promising. I sense a definite shift in this quote from the ministry’s previous stance, in which it indicated it wanted to wait for new 3G systems launched two years ago by the country’s 3 telcos, China Mobile, China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU) and China Telecom (HKEx: 728; NYSE: CHA), to gain traction before awarding 4G licenses. Industry watchers will know that China Mobile has been rapidly losing share in the 3G market after being forced to use a homegrown wireless standard, TD-SCDMA, that lacks maturity and a wide range of smartphones to make it attractive to most consumers. It has been lobbying hard for the regulator to let it roll out a 4G system, based on more widely used technology, and these latest comments seem to indicate the regulator might issue a 4G license to China Mobile first if it feels TD-LTE is ready for commercialization. If that happens, I could see China Mobile receiving a 4G license in as little as a year from now, which could provide a boon to telecoms equipment makers like Ericsson (Stockholm: ERICb), Huawei, ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) and Alcatel Lucent (Paris: ALU), and could help China Mobile regain some of the momentum it has lost to Unicom and China Telecom.

Bottom line: A subtle shift in comments from the telecoms regulator indicate a softening stance toward the issuance of 4G licenses, paving the way for China Mobile to get one such license in as little as a year.

今年早些时候,中国电信监管部门多次表示,至少在未来2-3年内不会发放4G牌照,但现在其口风出现微妙的变化,无疑是受到中国移动<0941.HK>的压力。该公司希望能早点发放4G牌照。  中国媒体援引监管部门一官员在本周一次活动上的话报导称,4G牌照何时发放取决於技术的成熟度。接着他还介绍了在中国六大城市开展的TD-LTE规模试验,并表示测试效果良好。我从这名官员的发言中察觉到工信部立场与此前相比发生了变化。之前工信部曾表示,希望中国三大移动运营商中国移动、中国联通<CHU.N>和中国电信<CHA.N>推出的3G网络强化後再发放4G牌照。业内观察者将会注意到,因使用中国自己的TD-SCDMA无线网络标准,中移动在中国3G市场的份额正迅速流失。中国移动一直在努力游说工信部,允许其推出4G系统,工信部官员近期言论似乎暗示,如果该部觉得TD-LTE商业化时机成熟,或会首先向中国移动发放4G牌照。如果是这种情况,我认为,中国移动最短在一年内就可拿到4G牌照,这对爱立信<ERICb.ST>、华为、中兴通讯<000063.SZ><0763.HK>和阿尔卡特-朗讯(Alcatel-Lucent)<ALUA.PA>等电信设备制造商将是利好,并可能有助於中国移动夺回中国联通和中国电信抢走的部分市场份额。

一句话:工信部官员口风的微妙转变暗示,该部在4G牌照发放问题上的立场软化,中国移动有望最短在一年内获得4G牌照。

Related postings 相关文章:

◙ Goldman Joins List of TD-LTE Boosters 高盛加入支持TD-LTE网络阵营

◙ China Mobile: Chairman Wang Preparing to Leave? 中国移动:王建宙董事长要退休?

◙ Apple’s COO Comes Calling on China Mobile 苹果首席运营官造访中移动