China Auto Wins 2012 Race For 1st US IPO 神州租车抢先成首个赴美IPO的中国企业

It’s official: the year for New York IPOs of Chinese firms has formally begun, and the first company out of the gate for 2012 is an unlikely candidate in the form of a rental car company with the rather boring name of China Auto. The company made its formal first public filing on Thursday in the United States for a New York initial public offering to raise up to $300 million, a respectable figure for a sector that has been dogged for nearly a year now by a series of accounting scandals that have hammered US-listed China stocks. (English article; Chinese article) China Auto included a wide range of data in its first public filing, but most of it was detailed information about its core car rental business and no mention was made of whether or not it is profitable. My guess would be that the company does indeed earn a profit, as any loss-making company would be foolish to try its luck as the first new Chinese company to list in New York this year in the highly skeptical climate towards such stocks. The year 2011 was one that most US-listed Chinese firms would rather forget, characterized by a series of accounting scandals that saw many companies plunge in value, often by 50 percent or more. Recent signs have emerged that the worst of the sell-off may be past (previous post), though the true test will come with the first new IPO by a Chinese company in the new year. Based on this initial filing, that company could well be China Auto. Significantly, China Auto comes from the auto rental space, making it a much more conventional company that investors can better understand, unlike the high-tech and Internet firms that make up the big majority of the largest US-listed China firms. China raced past the US to become the world’s largest auto market in 2010, as economic incentives from Beijing boosted demand from millions of new Chinese yuppies during the global downturn. Most of those incentives have now ended, causing sales to slow considerably, perhaps providing a golden opportunity for the car rental business that caters to people who would rather rent than own a car. I’ll need to see some more financials — specifically how profitable or loss-making China Auto is — before making a sharper prediction on how its IPO will fare if it goes forward. But given the preliminary data and broader market conditions, I would say the offering should attract moderate interest from investors and should help restore some confidence to the battered sector.

Bottom line: China Auto is likely to see moderate success from its pending US listing, helping to restore some confidence to the battered sector of US-listed China stocks.

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