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China’s anti-corruption campaign has accelerated into the private sector over the last few weeks, with shares of sportswear retailer Anta (HKEx: 2020) and online video provider LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) both tumbling after reports emerged that their top executives might be under investigation for illegal activities. In both cases the worries later appeared to be unfounded, but other signals have indicated the movement is indeed creeping into the private sector. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: LeTV stock will rally briefly on relief after the reappearance of its CEO, but will come under pressure again after that on concerns about an ongoing crackdown on private video operators.
After a debilitating few weeks as rumors swirled about the disappearance of its charismatic young CEO Jia Yueting, video platform operator LeTV (Shenzhen: 300104) has come roaring back after Jia gave a series of company updates during an unusual investor meeting from his Beijing hospital room. The relief over Jia’s reappearance helped to turbocharge LeTV’s shares, which jumped by their daily 10 percent limit when they resumed trading on Monday after a suspension of more than a month. The rally continued on Tuesday, helping the stock to gain back all the losses it incurred after reports about Jia’s disappearance first emerged in October. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Linekong’s IPO should price in the middle of its range and post modest gains on its trading debut, while Dalian Wanda will price near the bottom of its range and debut flat to down slightly.
The year-end rush of IPOs is steaming ahead in Hong Kong, with online game operator Linekong popping back into the headlines for a year-end listing, as property giant Dalian Wanda starts to sell its own IPO story to investors. The former deal is relatively large for an online game company, aiming to raise nearly $200 million. Meantime, the latter could become the biggest IPO Hong Kong has seen in several years, with the potential to raise nearly $4 billion. Frankly speaking, neither of these deals looks too exciting to me as both come in sectors plagued by overcapacity and stiff competition. But that said, at least Dalian Wanda could be a good longer-term bet due to its status as one of China’s best-run and biggest commercial property developers. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Feiyu’s weak IPO isn’t surprising and its shares will keep trading down, while Momo’s New York listing could get a slightly better reception but will open flat to up slightly in its trading debut this week.
The usual flurry of offshore Chinese IPOs has materialized as we head into the end of 2014, capping a banner year for such offerings. But the year-end rush has been surprisingly devoid of tech names, though we’ve just seen what could be one of the final such IPOs of the year with the Hong Kong debut late last week of mobile game developer Feiyu Technology. Feiyu’s weak debut comes as mobile social networking (SNS) firm Momo also gets set to make its New York trading debut this week, in what could well be the last 2 tech offerings in a banner year for the group. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: CGN’s shares are likely to rise 10-15 percent on their first trading day next week, while JD.com’s shares could rally over the next few days before resuming a longer downward trend towards their IPO price.
Just when the year-end rush of new share offerings appeared to be losing momentum with weak demand for property developer Dalian Wanda, the market is getting a lift with a stronger reception for 2 other share sales. The first of those has seen nuclear power plant builder CGN Power price shares for its IPO at the top of their range, making it the largest new Hong Kong listing in 2 years. The second deal saw strong demand for a secondary offering by e-commerce giant JD.com (Nasdaq: JD), helping it to raise another $619 million following its IPO back in May. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Qunar’s ballooning losses reflect its aggressive spending on market share, which will turn off investors and pressure its stock until it shows signs of moving towards profitability.
My third-quarter Chinese earnings season officially ends today with the newly issued results of online travel agent Qunar (Nasdaq: QUNR), whose losses appear to be spiraling out of control. Frankly speaking, I could never really understand why investors were so attracted to this company, whose main asset seems to be its association with leading Chinese search engine Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), which also happens to be Qunar’s majority stakeholder. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Dwindling investor appetite will result in a weak debut for Momo’s upcoming IPO, which may also get negative publicity as it gets caught in a minor scandal in its home China market.
Mobile social networking service (SNS) provider and IPO candidate Momo Inc has become a regular feature in the Chinese headlines these last few days, but for all the wrong reasons. The company was in the news late last week when it slashed the size of its planned New York listing, and is now back with a fresh set of headlines on a scandal involving crooked business dealings. This certainly isn’t the kind of publicity a company wants on the eve of its IPO, which was set to price and debut either this week or next. There’s really not much room for Momo to delay the plan without falling into the Christmas holiday lull, meaning its debut could fizzle due to the stream of bad news. Read Full Post…
A seasonal year-end rush of IPOs by Chinese firms moved into high gear late last week, when media reported that top movie chain operator Wanda Cinema Line and social networking up-and-comer Momo Inc had taken major new steps in their listing plans. The pair would join nuclear plant builder CGN Power, Beijing-based automaker BAIC and real estate developer Dalian Wanda, which were also in the headlines last week, in a year-end fund-raising frenzy that could raise more than $10 billion. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Ctrip’s explanation for a recent major share sale by top executives looks reasonable and shouldn’t be cause for concern, while Tuniu won’t gain any short-term advantage from its new war with Tongcheng.
A couple of news bits are cruising through the online travel space this first week, with industry leader Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) and recently listed Tuniu (Nasdaq: TOUR) both engaged in new strategic moves. In the former case, Ctrip is explaining a recent wave of selling of its shares by top company executives, saying the move was prompted by their need for cash for a new strategic investment. The latter case has Tuniu reportedly engaged in an entertaining behind-the-scenes battle with unlisted rival Tongcheng for the lucrative and fast-growing overseas travel market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s plan to allow private competition in the wire-line broadband sector will move forward slowly, but should provide needed competition for Unicom and China Telecom within the next 3-5 years.
China’s drive to open up its telecoms services sector to more competition could soon gain some new momentum, with word that the telecoms regulator is crafting a plan that would let private companies offer wire-line broadband services. This particular move looks like an extension of a campaign that launched earlier this year, allowing private companies to offer traditional mobile service through the creation of virtual network operators (VNOs).
This new campaign would also come as China works to break the current monopoly in the wire-line broadband sector held by China Telecom (HKEx: 728; NYSE: CHA) and China Unicom (NYSE: CHU; NYSE: CHA), which previously were probed for monopolistic practices. It would also come as Beijing assembles a new national wire-line broadband company through consolidation of the nation’s dozens of cable TV operators. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Weibo’s latest moves to stop users from defecting to WeChat reflect the company’s concerns over its fading momentum, and send a negative signal that will put pressure on its stock.
An entertaining war is breaking out in the social networking (SNS) space, with word that the Twitter-like Weibo (Nasdaq: WB) is taking steps to punish people who use the service to promote their parallel accounts on archrival WeChat. I say this particular war is somewhat entertaining, as it seems quite petty and reflects the intense competition between these 2 companies. But at a more serious level, Weibo’s move reflects the very real fact that its service is rapidly losing eyeballs to the trendier WeChat, which is far more versatile and is also optimized for the fast-growing mobile Internet space. Read Full Post…
