China’s business world is fast becoming the land of deja vu, at least from my perspective. Just a day after Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) snubbed China for a second time by excluding the country from its international launch list for its latest hot product (previous post), PC powerhouse Lenovo (HKEx: 992) has announced that co-founder Liu Chuanzhi is stepping down as chairman for a second time. (company announcement) But the deja vu doesn’t end there. Not only is Liu stepping down a second time, but his heir apparent is Yang Yuanqing, who also took over the chairmanship the first time Liu stepped down shortly after his company’s historic purchase of IBM’s (NYSE: IBM) PC assets in 2005. My question is: if Yang couldn’t succeed the first time, which prompted Liu to return to the chairmanship in 2009, then why does Liu suddenly think he will succeed now? In all fairness, things are a little different this time around. The last time Yang was named chairman, an American, Bill Amelio, was also brought in as CEO to help Lenovo digest its then newly-purchased IBM business. That combination proved too difficult for Lenovo, which incurred losses and underwent a major restructuring that prompted Liu to return as chairman in 2009. This time around, Lenovo has also just posted very nice earnings that saw its profit surge 88 percent in its latest quarter (English article), partly due to recent acquisitions in Germany and Japan, as it zoomed past Dell (Nasdaq: DELL) to become the world’s second biggest PC seller, behind only Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ). But those new acquisitions also look very much like the IBM purchase, in that both are in mature Western markets, which have been a difficult area for Lenovo in the past. I would like to think that Yang could succeed this time and Liu, now in his 70s, can permanently retire. But I sense that Yang’s return will signal more rocky times ahead, with earnings likely to take a hit as Lenovo stumbles in trying to integrate its Western acquisitions and grab more global market share.
Bottom line: Liu Chuanzhi’s departure as chairman of Lenovo for a second time signals a rocky period ahead for the company.
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◙ Lenovo Takes Backward Step With Compal JV 联想和仁宝合资建厂为倒退举动
The folks at Lenovo (HKEx: 992) are surely celebrating, after the latest numbers showed it zoomed past sputtering Taiwanese PC maker Acer (Taipei: 2353) to take the spot as the world’s third largest PC seller in the second quarter. (
New signals coming from Lenovo (HKEx: 992) and Taiwan smartphone maker HTC (Taipei: 2498) indicate that both are strongly considering bids in the upcoming auction of Hewlett-Packard’s (NYSE: HPQ) PC business, which also happens to include its much smaller smartphone unit. But whereas HTC’s potential bid looks smart, Lenovo’s apparent position needs some serious rethinking. Let’s start with the simpler case of HTC, whose early bet on smartphones has made it an overnight sensation, propelling it past a struggling Nokia (Helsinki: NOK1V) earlier this year in terms of market value. (
Well, it seems we now know at least one company that’s going to adopt Baidu’s (Nasdaq: BIDU) new mobile operating system, which it launched with fanfare last week (
history at new product development isn’t very strong. But I’ll also take this rare opportunity to break with the critics and say that Baidu’s new OS at least offers an interesting China-specific alternative to the other products on the market, as well as special access to Baidu’s market-leading search technology. Baidu has already proven that Chinese Web surfers do prefer a China-specific product to a one-size-fits-all approach like Google’s or Yahoo’s (Nasdaq: YHOO), so perhaps the same will be true for mobile Web surfing. Still, Dell is hardly a big name in the mobile Internet space, and, in fact, I don’t think I’ve ever seen anyone here in China using a Dell brand mobile phone or tablet PC. To succeed, Baidu will have to sign up some bigger cellphone makers in the next few months, with domestic names like ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063), Lenovo (HKEx: 992), TCL (Shenzhen 000100) and Huawei looking like the best candidates. If it can do that, and if its mobile OS proves reliable and user friendly, I would give it as high as a 50 percent chance of gaining a significant portion — perhaps up to 15 or 20 percent — of China’s mobile OS market.
Don’t do it! Those are the only words of advice I can offer Lenovo (HKEx: 992) Chairman and founder Liu Chuanzhi, whose latest comments indicate his is weighing a possible bid for the PC assets that global leader Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) is putting up for sale. (
from that part of China, which has also seen neighboring cities like Xian and Chongqing grow quickly as China offers strong incentives for companies to set up shop in its relatively underdeveloped western interior. As a longtime tech writer, I’ve been particularly impressed with Chengdu, which seems to have a strong ability to attract some of the world’s top-tier technology names to the city with its abundance of college graduates, good transport networks and of course its tasty Sichuan food. Intel (Nasdaq: INTC) was one of the earliest players in the city when it set up a chip manufacturing plant there seven years ago, and Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) opened up shop in the city last year when it took over a plant from SMIC (HKEx: 981; NYSE: SMI). Most major PC players have also opened plants there in the last 2-3 years, including both Hewlett Packard (NYSE: HPQ) and Dell (Nasdaq: DELL), (