Bottom line: Alibaba and Tencent are likely to find themselves in a growing number of clashes in the year ahead due to consolidation involving their investments at home and a limited number of opportunities abroad.
Alibaba, Tencent back rival Korean Internet banks
In what’s shaping up as a trend for the year ahead, Tencent(HKEx: 700) and Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) are clashing once again in a newly announced South Korean Internet bank initiative in which both of China’s top Internet companies have an interest. It may be slightly overstated to call this particular instance a clash, since stakes held by Alibaba-affiliated Ant Financial and Tencent in 2 newly formed Korean Internet banks are probably quite small, probably at 5 percent or less.
But the reality is that these 2 Internet titans are increasingly clashing in a growing number of instances, as each invests in a wide array of areas to expand beyond their core businesses both inside and out of China. Those investments have put the pair in awkward situations in 2 of China’s largest Internet M&A deals this year, one involving the formation of hired car services giant Didi Kuaidi, and the other in a newer deal that has Meituan and Dianping merging to form a new leader in the group buying space. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Beijing should eliminate barriers that are slowing the flow of private money into lending services, in a move to offset a slowdown in lending from traditional banks that are dealing with a growing bad-loan crisis.
Obstacles hinder private lending growth
A flurry of headlines last week highlighted the recent move by private companies into China’s financial services market, led by reports that Apple(Nasdaq: AAPL) could become the first major foreign company to offer electronic payments in the country. At the same time, a chilly reception for a Hong Kong IPO by regional lender Qingdao Bank (HKEx: 3866) highlighted the difficulties many traditional Chinese banks now face due to concerns about a looming bad debt crisis.
Beijing regulators should be commended for their recent efforts to open up the financial services market to more private investment, but should consider accelerating the campaign by streamlining bureaucracy for big and well-financed domestic and foreign names like Apple and Tencent(HKEx: 700). It should also consider a similar streamlining of bureaucracy for foreign banks, many of which have left China off their global roadmaps due to stiff restrictions that make doing business difficult. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Apple could become the first big foreign company to offer domestic electronic payment services in China, representing a major accomplishment for CEO Tim Cook in his recent campaign to improve relations with Beijing.
Apple Pay eyes February China launch
Big names like Visa (NYSE: V), MasterCard (NYSE: MA) and PayPal have been waiting for years to offer electronic payment services in China, but now it appears that tech titan Apple(Nasdaq: AAPL) may be the first to break into the lucrative market. That’s the signal coming from the latest headlines, which say that Apple is aiming to formally launch its Apple Pay electronic payments service in its second largest global market in the next few months.
If Apple succeeds, the move would represent a major victory for the company and vindication of CEO Tim Cook’s recent campaign to cultivate better relations with Beijing. Apple Pay would be entering the market less than 2 years after the product’s formal launch, which is extremely fast for bureaucratic China. By comparison, Visa, MasterCard and PayPal have all been waiting more than a decade for China to open the market, and the 2 credit card giants even led a campaign that resulted in a complaint at the WTO. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on November 21-23. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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Google (Nasdaq: GOOG) Aims for China Launch of App Play Store Next Year: Sources (English article)
China Restarts IPO Process for 10 Companies as Stocks Stabilize (English article)
Bottom line: Alibaba’s Singles Day sales this year are likely to meet its targets, growing by at least 20-30 percent, but the company should put less emphasis on such figures in the future and focus more on creating a high quality shopping event.
Alibaba shopping fest kicks off with a blast
It’s only a third of the way into the day as I write this, but e-commerce leader Alibaba(NYSE: BABA) is making sure I have more than enough data to last me the entire day as we kick off this year’s edition of its popular November 11 Singles Day online shopping extravaganza. The company began putting out figures as soon as the clock struck midnight, and has been issuing a steady stream of data ever since showing just how successful the spending fest has become.
I’ll review some of the early figures shortly, and admit they’re quite impressive in numbers-obsessed China. But that said, I’ve also heard from friends about the huge behind-the-scenes pressure that Alibaba is putting on its partners to meet their sales targets for the holiday, which in turn will help it post the impressive gains it’s seeking for its own sales. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China should expand its plans for a new enterprise board in Shanghai to include a place for the Chinese units of big multinationals like Yum and Uber, allowing domestic investors to buy into these big foreign names.
Calls grow for KFC parent to spin off China unit
Global fast food giant Yum Brands (NYSE: YUM) became the latest major multinational to contemplate a spin-off for its China business last week, following in the tracks of Uber and IMAX (NYSE: IMAX), two leaders in their respective areas of hired car services and big-screen theater technology. The trend acknowledges that China will soon become the world’s largest consumer market, and its unique qualities and complexities often justify creation of separate companies for these big global names to effectively develop the market.
China should seize on this trend and modify its current plans for a new Nasdaq-style enterprise board based in Shanghai to also include a place for these larger, newly created companies with foreign roots. Reports earlier this year indicated the regulator was aiming to roll out the new strategic industries board as soon as next year, though its plans could be delayed due to the recent turmoil on China’s stock markets. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alipay’s move into Hong Kong through a tie-up with Marriott marks the start of a major global expansion for the online payment service, with Hong Kong the likely first stop due to its strong China ties.
Alipay in new Marriott tie-up
Homegrown Chinese electronic payments service Alipay is taking its growing rivalry with state-owned behemoth UnionPay to the global stage, with word of a major new move outside its home China market. That move will see Alipay follow a familiar route for many globally-minded Chinese companies, with a first stop in Hong Kong. It has Alipay forming a major new alliance in the former British colony with global hotel giant Marriott (NYSE: MAR), as the first stop on an overseas tour that could ultimately see the financial services affiliate of Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) challenge global names like Visa (NYSE: V) and MasterCard (NYSE: MA).
This latest move is part of a larger new tie-up between Marriott and Alipay, which is part of the Alibaba-affiliated but separately owned Ant Financial. The tie-up is mostly limited to mainland China initially, but significantly includes Hong Kong-based hotels. It also marks one of the biggest moves to date into Hong Kong by Alipay, which is better known as an electronic payments service used for smaller items usually costing $20 or less using shoppers’ online accounts and smartphones. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba-affiliated Ant Financial is experiencing breakneck growth through its roll-out of a wide array of new products and services, and could be valued at up to $150 billion by the time it makes its IPO as soon as next year.
Ant Financial in Alipay offline campaign
A new report is spotlighting the rapid rise of Ant Financial, the financial services affiliate of e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) that looks set to challenge not only domestic rival UnionPay but also upcoming drives into China by global giants Visa (NYSE: V) and MasterCard (NYSE: MA). Much of Ant’s incredibly rapid rise is tied to its core Alipay asset, which began life as an electronic payments service but is rapidly moving into other areas like credit card-style offline payments and savings account services.
The latest reports also contain a new figure on Ant’s valuation following its first major capital raising. That figure of $45 billion is substantially larger than an earlier figure of $30 billion that was contained in initial reports on the funding just a week ago. (previous post) But those earlier reports also pointed out the low valuation was based on shares that were probably sold at a discount to a big domestic institutional investor, perhaps for strategic reasons, and that the real value could be as high as $50 billion. Read Full Post…
Bottom line:Weibo’s new micro-showcasing e-commerce initiative looks well-conceived and could stand a good chance of success, but the company needs to move faster if it wants to compete over the longer term with more aggressive rivals.
Weibo & E-Commerce in China
Weibo launches new e-commerce initiative
After posting profits in the last 2 quarters, early social networking (SNS) leader Weibo (Nasdaq: WB) is aiming to bolster its longer-term residence in the black with a new drive into the lucrative but also highly competitive e-commerce space. The move looks a bit late, since many were hoping for quicker moves into e-commerce for Weibo 2 years ago after its landmark tie-up with sector gorilla Alibaba (NYSE: BABA).
But the cautious Weibo was never one to move too quickly, and in this case its newest initiative actually looks quite well conceived and customized to fit the usage patterns of its subscribers. That means it could have a good chance of success, perhaps helping to lift the company’s sagging stock. But that said, Weibo will still have to vie with similar services from a faster-moving Tencent (HKEx: 700), which is aggressively rolling out e-commerce services tied to its popular WeChat social networking (SNS) platform. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on July 8. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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China Stock Slump Spreads as Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) to JD.com Whipsaw Investors (English article)
Weibo (Nasdaq: WB) Enters E-commerce Business (Chinese article)
Wanda Cinema (Shenzhen: 002739) Line H1 Revenues Up 41 Pct to 3.48 Bln Yuan (English article)
Uber’s China Rival Didi Kuaidi Said to Raise Funds From Ping An, Capital Int’l (English article)
Alipay In 130,000 Offline Stores, as Ant Financial Gets $45 Bln Valuation (Chinese article)
Bottom line: Ant Financial’s valuation looks low but reasonable based on its first major fund raising, and the figure is like to triple or more by the time it makes its domestic IPO in around the next 2 years.
Ant Financial gets low valuation in new funding
After months of negotiations, Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) affiliated financial services unit Ant Financial has finally closed its first major funding round as it revs up a campaign to challenge established state-run banks. But what most surprised me in the latest reports were the low valuation that Ant got from the funding, with the final figure coming in far below all of the earlier forecasts.
The moral of the story is that Ant Financial and other similar privately funded financial services companies still have big potential. But limitations that restrict such companies from seeking foreign investment are likely to limit their valuations, since only a small field of domestic Chinese institutional investors have big enough sums of money to finance high-growth companies like Ant. Read Full Post…
