Bottom line: 55Tuan’s listing plan stands a 50 percent chance of succeeding due to its modest size and broadly positive market sentiment, but could ultimately fail due to its loss-making status.
55Tuan files for Nasdaq IPO
I spent much of December predicting we’d see the first listing of a Chinese group buying site this year, and now that may happen with the first official IPO filing by a Chinese Internet company in 2015. But my prediction that the listing would come from sector leaders Dianping or Meituan was off the mark, and now it appears that 55Tuan may take the prize as China’s first listed group buying site. It’s still not completely certain that 55Tuan will be the first, since the company made previous attempts at such an offering but ultimately had to scrap the deal due to lack of interest. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Dianping or Meituan is likely to mount an IPO bid next year, in a deal that could value either at around $5-10 billion and win a premium as China’s first group buying site to list.
Meituan gets new mega-funding
China’s newly consolidated group buying sector could be close to making its first IPO, with word that leading operator Meituan is on the cusp of landing a massive $700 million in new funding. Such a huge amount would be the company’s fourth round of funding since 2010, and would follow not long after it reportedly raised $300 million earlier this year. That kind of funding frenzy often comes just before an IPO, which leads me to expect we could finally see Meituan become China’s first publicly listed group buying Internet company with a New York IPO perhaps in the first half of next year. Read Full Post…
Online travel is quickly taking on a new cult-like status among investors, with word of a major new funding for vacation rental site Tujia. This latest fund-raising frenzy in online travel looks very similar to what happened in group buying about 4 years ago, when investors pumped billions of dollars into a wide range of money-losing start-ups. Internet watchers will know that many of those companies later went bust, raising the prospect that a similar fate could be waiting for the online travel sector. Read Full Post…
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on May 22. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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JD.com Prices IPO Above Expectations, Boding Well For Alibaba (English article)
Xunlei and 55tuan have emerged as 2 of the biggest orphans in the rapidly consolidating online video and group buying spaces, respectively, putting pressure on both to find partners to boost their chances for long-term survival. The pair were in separate headlines this week in their search for new tie-ups, with Xunlei selling a major stake of itself to software maker Kingsoft (HKEx: 3888) and 55tuan reportedly in talks to sell some or all of itself to security software maker Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU). Read Full Post…
Some new figures are showing just how dramatically China’s group buying sector has contracted over the past year, with word that another major player Wanzhong has folded due to lack of funds. Wangzhong’s closure comes as the number of group buying casualties finally starts to slow, simply because so many have now left the space. I do expect we’ll see at least one or two more major closures or mergers this year, and previously predicted that former high-flyer LaShou could be one of those. But that said, the year could also see 2 or 3 major players finally emerge that have the potential to make IPOs and post strong long-term growth, similar to what we’ve seen recently from global sector leader Groupon (Nasdaq: GRPN). Read Full Post…
It may be a new year, but there’s nothing new about the latest development in the group buying space where an ongoing cleanup has claimed one of the biggest victims yet with reports of mass layoffs at a mid-sized player called Qianpin. This latest shake-up is part of an ongoing retrenchment that has now reached its late stages, and I do expect we’ll see 1 or 2 more major fireworks in the next 6 months before this long and painful consolidation wraps up around the middle of the year.
As we approach the end of 2012, online search and group buying look like 2 spaces on China’s Internet that could see some big changes in the year ahead and provide some interesting investment opportunities. In the online search space, the new year could well shape up as the one when dominant search engine Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) finally received some serious competition from Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU), which is quickly adding important features to its up-and-coming search service launched over the summer. Meantime, the new year could also see the revival of some of the nation’s beleaguered group buying sites, which have spent the past year in a bloody retrenchment that has seen many players either close or merge with rivals. In that space, we’re getting word that 55tuan, one of the former top players, has finally managed to turn a profit after altering its business model.
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on December 27. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline. ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) Denies Alibaba to Invest in Weibo Rumor (Chinese article)
NDRC to Probe Authenticity of E-Commerce Promotions During Chinese New Year (Chinese article)
We’re seeing the latest signs of distress from the beleaguered group buying space, with word that 55tuan, one of the industry’s biggest players, is failing to pay some of its merchants. This kind of news isn’t really new anymore, as similar talk that many of the country’s money-losing group buying sites are rapidly running out of cash has been circulating for months now. This latest distress sign just shows that the end is fast approaching for many of these companies, though I’ll admit I’m a bit surprised that we haven’t seen any bigger failures yet.
The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on September 12. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline. ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════
55tuan Slides Into Delusion As Funding Noose Tightens on Group Buying (Chinese article)
It may be a new year, but there’s nothing new about the latest development in the group buying space where an ongoing cleanup has claimed one of the biggest victims yet with reports of mass layoffs at a mid-sized player called Qianpin. This latest shake-up is part of an ongoing retrenchment that has now reached its late stages, and I do expect we’ll see 1 or 2 more major fireworks in the next 6 months before this long and painful consolidation wraps up around the middle of the year.
As we approach the end of 2012, online search and group buying look like 2 spaces on China’s Internet that could see some big changes in the year ahead and provide some interesting investment opportunities. In the online search space, the new year could well shape up as the one when dominant search engine Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) finally received some serious competition from Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU), which is quickly adding important features to its up-and-coming search service launched over the summer. Meantime, the new year could also see the revival of some of the nation’s beleaguered group buying sites, which have spent the past year in a bloody retrenchment that has seen many players either close or merge with rivals. In that space, we’re getting word that 55tuan, one of the former top players, has finally managed to turn a profit after altering its business model.
