Bottom line: Xiaomi’s release of a new model and addition of a high-profile investor in India reflect the market’s key role in its global expansion this year, with a likely target of 4 million or more unit sales.
Xiaomi in new India launch
Smartphone sensation Xiaomi is working hard to repair its position in India, following a setback late last year that saw some of its higher end products locked out of the market over a patent dispute. Now the company is making a big new push at the lower end of the market, choosing India for its first product launch outside of China. At the same time, the company announced it has sold a stake in itself to one of India’s best known tech tycoons, a patriarch at the renowned Tata Group conglomerate.
Both of these news bits come from an event late last week in India, and underscore the growing importance that Xiaomi is placing on the market this year to keep its meteoric growth alive. Xiaomi is banking heavily on global markets to fuel its growth story, now that it is already king of the smartphone hill in its home China market. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Tuniu is likely to quickly resolve a revolt by some of its third-party travel agents, and a sell-off of its shares looks overdone, while Rakuten’s third foray into China could finally succeed thanks to its choice of a more suitable partner.
Rakuten invests in Fanli
We’ll close out this week with a couple of stories buzzing through the Internet realm, led by a travel agent rebellion against online travel site Tuniu (Nasdaq: TOUR). Meantime, Japanese e-commerce giant Rakuten (Tokyo: 4755) is taking its third try at the China market through a new investment in an e-commerce company called Fanli.com, following failed previous forays with leading online travel agent Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) and online search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU).
These 2 stories are mostly linked by the fact that both involve Internet companies. But in a twist that looks purely coincidental, Rakuten was also one of the earlier investors in Tuniu before the latter made its New York IPO early last year. It’s not clear if Rakuten still holds that stake in Tuniu, but if it does its shares just lost nearly 5 percent after a Thursday sell-off on reports of the merchant revolt. But Tuniu’s shares are about 75 percent above their IPO price, meaning its early investors are still doing quite well. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Baidu’s new go-slow global expansion strategy focused on emerging markets like Brazil and Egypt looks smart, but will provide limited contributions due to the small size of those markets.
Chinese online search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) is making some major strategic adjustments in its global expansion, turning to developing markets and away from more lucrative but also extremely competitive western ones. That’s my main conclusion, following reports that Baidu has finally pulled the plug on its struggling Japan search service 8 years after choosing the market for its first foray abroad. At the same time, the company is making initial moves into Egypt with its first Arabic-language website, following earlier moves into Brazil and more recently into Thailand. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s “Big 3” Internet tycoons are likely to see their fortunes continue to grow at rates far faster than the broader economy over the next year, and they could even overtake some wealthier real estate magnates.
Jack Ma named China’s richest Internet tycoon
Hong Kong’s Li Ka-shing may still lead the list of wealthiest men in China and Hong Kong, but his traditional formula for success is rapidly losing ground to China’s fast-rising Internet magnates. The heads of China’s “Big 3” Internet firms were all among the top 10 people on this year’s just-published Forbes list of the wealthiest men in China and Hong Kong, spotlighting the huge role that the Internet is playing in China’s economy. Whereas Li’s fortune took decades to build, the founders of Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) made their fortunes much more quickly, mostly over the last decade. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The refusal of many banks to follow a Beijing directive to support the sagging property market looks encouraging, and could show these state-run lenders are finally beginning to behave more commercially.
Banks break with policy-lending past
It appears I owe an apology to big Chinese state-run banks, after years of calling them policy lackeys of Beijing with very little commercial instinct. Just a day after criticizing top lender ICBC (HKEx: 1398; Shanghai: 601398) for making a blatantly political $4.3 billion infrastructure loan to Pakistan (previous post), a new report is saying a growing number of banks are defying a recent Beijing order to boost their mortgage lending to support the sagging domestic real estate market.
This kind of action certainly won’t please economic planners in Beijing, but it marks a huge step forward for the banks in their drive to become more commercial and earn some real respect from investors. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: ICBC’s $4.3 billion lending program for Pakistani power projects is being driven by Beijing policy directives, while Bank of China’s US expansion is a commercially driven move to tap Chinese demand for US real estate.
ICBC in Pakistani power projects
New stories involving 2 of China’s “Big 4” lenders are casting a spotlight on the love-hate relationship that many investors have with these mammoth banks that sometimes act commercially but more often make decisions based on directives from Beijing. The larger item has ICBC (HKEx: 1398; Shanghai: 601398), China’s biggest bank, committing to a massive new $4.3 billion lending program to help develop Pakistan’s energy sector. The other has Bank of China (HKEx: 3988; Shanghai: 601398) planning a modest expansion in the US, as it looks to tap a growing appetite for American real estate by Chinese investors. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A booming China stock market and IPO reforms could fuel a new wave of re-listings by Chinese tech and media firms that were formerly traded in New York, led by an upcoming backdoor listing by Focus Media.
Xueda gets buyout offer
A pair of stories in the headlines today are highlighting a nascent movement that could see a growing number of US-listed Chinese firms take down their shingle in New York to return to stock markets closer to home. No companies have made such a move yet, but advertising specialist Focus Media could soon become the first with word that it’s moving closer to making a backdoor listing in China after leaving New York in 2013.
Meantime in a related piece of news Xueda Education (NYSE: XUE) said it has received a buy-out offer from Chinese financial firm Insight Investment (Shenzhen: 000526). Such a move would continue a trend that has seen a growing number of neglected US-listed Chinese firms abandon New York, where their shares have stagnated over the last few years. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Apple’s new solar power initiative in China is a highly symbolic move to curry favor with local officials, and should win the company positive public relations points at very little cost.
Apple announces China solar farms
I have to commend Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) for finally realizing it needs to improve its image in China, with word that the global tech giant is investing in 2 new solar farms to be built in interior Sichuan province. The move is actually quite masterful, as Apple is at once killing many birds with a single stone as it works to curry favor with Beijing.
The 2 new projects will contribute to China’s recent drive to produce more clean, renewable energy, which has been one of Beijing’s top priorities these last couple of years. The new farms are also being built in China’s interior, which has been a priority area for investment by Beijing leaders eager to reduce the wealth gap between interior regions and wealthier coastal areas. Last but not least, these new investments should be quite inexpensive for a company like Apple, and carry relatively small risks. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: A recent stabilization of China Mobile’s profits and revenue per user could be short-lived, and declines could resume and accelerate later this year as its rivals ramp up their 4G promotions.
China Mobile earnings report excites investors
Telecoms juggernaut China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) passed an important milestone in its latest quarterly results, posting its first increase in years for average subscriber revenue on strong gains for its new 4G service. But that milestone was partly offset by weakness in data services, its biggest future growth engine, hinting that the turning point for average revenue per user (ARPU) may be short-lived.
Of course we’ll have to wait for later quarterly results to see if China Mobile can continue to improve its revenue per subscriber, which will be critical to the company’s future as the Chinese mobile market rapidly approaches saturation. I wouldn’t be surprised if the figure start to erode again by the end of the year, due to stiff competition from rivals China Telecom (HKEx: 728; NYSE: CHA) and China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU), which are just starting to aggressively promote their own new 4G services. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Government officials are being forced to deal carefully with newly minted Internet giants like Alibaba, which sometimes commit transgressions due to their youth but also provide huge contributions to China’s economy.
Alibaba a double-edge sword for govt
A trio of stories about Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) nicely summarize both the risks and benefits that China’s Internet juggernauts present for the government, which must walk a fine line between taming these newly minted giants while being careful not to kill such economic powerhouses. In just the space of a decade, Alibaba, alongside Tencent (HKEx: 700) and Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU), have grown rapidly from venture-funded start-ups to become some of the world’s most valuable companies.
That growth and status has brought not only big prestige to China, but also valuable tax dollars to local governments and high-tech jobs that Beijing wants to replace lower-tech manufacturing labor. But at the same time, such young companies are particularly vulnerable to missteps, which can create chaos in the marketplace and Beijing needs to be careful to control. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Solar products maker Tianwei is likely to get a government bailout before it defaults on an upcoming bond payment, while a massive 2 GW solar farm being built by a new private equity fund is likely to get completed.
Tianwei struggles under huge debt
Two solar news items are drawing attention to both the opportunities and challenges facing this increasingly schizophrenic sector in China. A new mega-project is spotlighting the huge opportunities for new construction in the space, with word that a recently launched private equity fund plans to build a massive solar farm with a whopping 2 gigawatts of capacity. But big challenges are also apparent in another story, which says mid-sized player Baoding Tianwei is on the cusp of defaulting on a bond interest payment as it faces a cash crunch due to falling prices. Read Full Post…
