Acer Seeks Turnaround in Simplification

Taiwan’s Acer (Taipei: 2353), the former PC high-flyer that has fallen on hard times lately, is launching a new plan to revive its fortunes by aiming to reduce its bloated product line by around two-thirds, a move aimed at helping the company clean up house and recapture the innovation that made it a strong contender in the first place. Local media are quoting Acer Chairman J.T. Wang saying the company will review all of its products and weed out the many money losers over the next 3 years. (Chinese article)  This looks like an important first step to cleaning up a company whose rise to prominence began about a decade ago when it bet correctly on the future of laptop computers, putting a major effort into developing that part of the business. But over the last 3-4 years, Acer started to lose its way, becoming more of a follower than a leader by jumping on all of the latest industry trends, including netbooks, cellphones and most recently tablet PCs. I suspect that many of these business lines are doing poorly due to stiff competition and Acer’s late arrival to many of these products. Accordingly, Acer’s first step to restoring its fortunes should be a thorough review of all of these businesses and elimination of most or all of the unprofitable ones, which is what Wang seems to be proposing. But that kind clean-up should be just half of a two-pronged strategy that the company will need to reverse its tumble. The other prong, of course, is to regain some of the innovative energy that made it a leader in the notebook space for a solid period of 5 or 6 years as that business boomed. Cleaning up a cluttered product line will be relatively easy compared to becoming more innovative, as the latter is clearly key to sustained success and only a very small number of companies have shown the ability to keep creating popular new products over an extended period of time. That said, I applaud Acer for this new product cleanup, and would expect to see some innovative new products coming out of its catalog in the mid- to longer-term if it really wants to complete a turnaround.

Bottom line: Acer’s new plan to reduce its product line by 2/3 is an important first step to its turnaround, but it also needs to innovate with popular new products to complete the effort.

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Acer Trips, Lenovo Next? 联想应避免重蹈宏基覆辙

Acer: A Bumpy Road Ahead 宏碁:前路坎坷

China Takes Global PC Crown – But Does It Matter? 中国PC出货全球居冠 但有何意义?

Beijing Boosts Solar In Latest Mixed Signal 中国扩张太阳能行业发展 解决与美争端立场混乱

China really needs to hire someone to advise it on its solar energy policy, as new  reports that it will sharply boost its already aggressive program to build new solar power plants is just the latest in a steady string of mixed signals from Beijing amid a looming trade war with Washington. In this latest solar twist, China has reportedly boosted its target for new solar energy generation to 15 gigawatts by 2015, up from a previous target of 10 megawatts that was already considered aggressive. (English article) I’ve said previously that China needs to do more to promote its vibrant stable of solar panel makers, which it has carefully cultivated over the last 5 years and which now account for more than half of the world’s output. To that end, this latest announcement is good news and will undoubtedly be welcome by a battered sector now going through its worst-ever downturn. Reaction to the news was muted on Wall Street, probably because investors are more worried about imminent punitive tariffs that Washington is likely to slap on Chinese solar cells early next year in response to an unfair trade complaint by a group of US solar panel makers. Beijing’s response to the complaint has been all over the map, reflecting a lack of coordination that is hurting chances of resolving this dispute before it does some serious damage to an industry that not only has strong commercial potential but is also of vital interest to major energy consuming nations like the US and China. Beijing’s responses since the dispute broke out have ranged from outrage, with vehement denial of the allegations (previous post); to defiance, with the announcement of its own investigation into dumping by US firms (previous post); to apparent indifference, as it continued to openly support its solar cell makers by giving them the kind of preferential credit that was the source of the original US complaint. (previous post) This latest signal, while probably welcome by Chinese solar panel makers, is just the latest mixed signal. If I were advising Beijing, I would suggest it hire a PR consultant to help it send a message that is at once firm but also conciliatory, showing it doesn’t believe the US allegations but wants to resolve the dispute before it spins out of control and causes serious harm.

Bottom line: China’s new move to boost its use of solar energy is the latest in a string of mixed signals from Beijing, which needs to simplify its message to resolve a trade dispute with the US.

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China Rescues LDK With New Financing 中国拯救赛维LDK举动与未提供不公补贴说法相左

China Retaliates With Own US Solar Probe 中国启动对美可再生能源补贴调查

Beijing, Yingli Send Mixed Solar Signals 英利和中国政府似乎“背道而驰”

 

News Digest: December 16, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on December 16. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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New China Life (HKEx: 1336) Plunges in Debut After Stock Priced Near Bottom of Range (English article)

◙ China Scales Up Solar Power Capacity Plan By 50 Percent (English article)

Acer (Taipei: 2353) To Cut Product Lines By About 2/3 Next Year – Chairman Wang (Chinese article)

Sinopec (HKEx: 386) Says ‘Not the Time’ to Discuss Higher China Gas (HKEx: 384) Bid (English article)

Kaixin001 to Launch Social E-Commerce Service (English article)

Bristol-Myers, EMC Tap China Priorities With New Tie-Ups  趁中国政策导向东风 百时美施贵宝与EMC联姻本土企业

A couple of new tie-ups involving major foreign players in pharmaceuticals and computing provide an interesting glimpse at how multinationals are trying to target their China initiatives to be in sync with Beijing’s latest policy agendas. The strategy of working with a local partner isn’t all that new, but in this case what’s more interesting is the targeted approach these two new tie-ups are taking, the first aimed at taking advantage of China’s ongoing massive overhaul of its healthcare system and the second at Beijing’s push to become a leader in cloud computing. Let’s look at the pharmaceuticals deal first, which is seeing Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY) teaming up with local drugmaker Simcere Pharmaceutical (NYSE: SCR) to make and sell a cardiovascular compound in China. (company announcement) The compound was developed by Bristol-Meyers Squibb, but Simcere will make and sell the drug in China, drawing on its strong connections to local regulators and other health care officials. This kind of deal is smart as it gives Bristol-Myers exposure to a coming boom for quality medicines as Beijing signs a series of multimillion-dollar deals to make those drugs available under its ongoing overhaul to make basic healthcare affordable for everyone. The second deal will see faded PC firm Great Wall Computer form a cloud computing joint venture with EMC (NYSE: EMC), the world’s biggest maker of data storage devices. (Chinese article) China has repeatedly said that cloud computing will be a major focus for development in the next few years, prompting a wide range of players to get in on the action, including Huawei and Alibaba. I see no reason why a big western name like EMC should try to get a piece of the action, and indeed, Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) made a similar move last month with its own China-based R&D initiative in the space. (previous post) My only cause for concern with EMC is that Great Wall is hardly a big name in China anymore, and it also has a strong legacy as a state-run company, meaning it might not be the best partner for this kind of venture that calls for a more entrepreneurial approach. But that said, at least I have to credit EMC for being foresighted enough to get into this space while it’s still in the formative stages in China.

Bottom line: New China tie-ups between Bristol Myers-Squibb and EMC with partners in their respective sectors look like smart moves to take advantage of Beijing’s latest development priorities.

Related postings 相关文章:

Microsoft Looks for Place in China Cloud 微软投身中国云计算大潮

Merck Finds Potent China Partner in Simcere 默克牵手先声药业

Growth-Addicted Huawei Looks to the Cloud 华为渴求增长上瘾 着眼云计算

US, China in Auto Tit-For-Tat Tariffs 中美贸易战若升级将两败俱伤

In what should come as a big surprise to no one, China has singled out cars imported from the US for special duties after the US took similar action against Chinese-made tires in response to an anti-dumping complaint. This kind of tit-for-tat punitive tariff is relatively common and usually doesn’t do much damage as the amount of product affected is small, but in this case it provides some sobering insight over what could happen if another looming trade war involving solar cells escalates. In this latest instance, China will slap extra duties of up to 13 percent on US-made cars from GM (NYSE: GM) and Chrysler, and will even impose smaller punitive duties on cars made in the US by German auto makers like BMW (Frankfurt: BMW) and Daimler (Frankfurt: DAI). (English article) The move seems mostly symbolic, as the top 2 US automakers, GM and Ford (NYSE: F), already manufacture most of their models for the China market in China through their various joint ventures. Both the US and China are usually careful to keep these kinds of trade wars from getting out of control and affecting their broader economic relation, but a looming battle over alternate energy could soon test that formula, with the potential to blow up into a much bigger war that could deal a sharp setback to the drive to develop clean, renewable energy sources. Regular readers will know that of course I’m talking about the US investigation into unfair subsidies for Chinese solar cell makers, which now account for more than half of the world’s output, due in part to strong support from Beijing. A group advising the US body conducting the investigation has already determined that Beijing unfairly subsidizes its solar panel makers and recommended the levying of punitive tariffs, which are likely to come sometime early next year. Beijing has already hinted that it could retaliate with its own punitive tariffs for US-made polysilicon, the main ingredient used to make solar cells. That kind of escalation will ultimately benefit no one, either in the US or China, and could even deal a huge setback to a global solar industry already struggling through a sharp downturn.

Bottom line: China’s punitive levies against US cars looks like a retaliatory move for similar tariffs by the US against Chinese tires, and is unlikely to have any major impact on US automakers’ China sales.

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China Autos Set for Long Slowdown

Foreign Spending Spree Augers Woes for China Car Makers 外国车企大举投资中国 本土车企倍感压力

China Retaliates With Own US Solar Probe 中国启动对美可再生能源补贴调查

News Digest: December 15, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on December 15. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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Aramco, Sinopec (HKEx: 386), CNOOC (HKEx: 883) Pursue Frac Tech Stake: Sources (English article)

◙ China to Impose Duties on US-Imported Cars (English article)

Huayi Bros (Shenzhen: 300027) Wins IPR Infringement Suit against Youku (NYSE: YOKU) (English article)

Great Wall Computer, EMC (NYSE: EMC) In Cloud Computing JV – Source (Chinese article)

Simcere (NYSE:SCR), Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY) Partner In Cardio Compound (Businesswire)

Lenovo Considers Japan Production 联想向日本转移制造业务为明智公关手段

There’s  interesting news that Lenovo (HKEx: 992) the world’s second largest PC maker, may move some of its production to Japan — a step that at first glance seems to totally contradict global trends that have seen PC makers relocate nearly all their manufacturing to developing markets like China and Vietnam in recent years. (Chinese article) But a closer inspection could show the idea might actually make sense, providing a powerful marketing tool following Lenovo’s takeover of NEC’s (Tokyo: 6701) notebook PC business earlier this year through a joint venture. (previous post) I previously predicted that current customers for NEC’s notebook PCs, many of those based in its home Japan market, would start to abandon the NEC brand in droves following the takeover, as many would fear a drop in quality with Lenovo’s likely plan to move NEC’s manufacturing from the expensive Japan market to developing countries to save money. This latest development seems specifically aimed at winning PR points for Lenovo by saying it won’t eliminate jobs from Japan, and also reassuring worried Japanese consumers and corporate clients that quality won’t suffer after the takeover. The strategy does seem to make sense, especially if Lenovo can manage to close at least some of NEC’s Japan PC operations to save a little money and then leave a small amount of manufacturing in the country as a goodwill gesture. My main concern would be that Lenovo, worried that Japanese media and consumers will be looking for the first signs of layoffs, may try to leave NEC’s Japanese PC operations completely intact, which would greatly hamper its ability to profitably run the operation. If it’s smart, it will perhaps maintain the entire NEC Japanese operation for the next 6-12 months, and then quietly move some of it off-shore to cheaper markets while helping employees who are no longer needed to find other jobs in a low-profile manner. Such a plan could be tricky to execute, but not impossible, as the media typically have a short attention span and are likely to forget the matter and move on to other things in the next year or so.

Bottom line: Lenovo’s plan to potentially maintain Japanese manufacturing operations it inherited from NEC looks like a smart PR move, but it will need to be careful to avoid longer-term high costs.

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Lenovo-NEC: Let the Defections Begin 联想与NEC结盟注定失败

Liu Steps Down at Lenovo — Again 柳传志再度卸任联想董事会主席

Lenovo Takes Backward Step With Compal JV 联想和仁宝合资建厂为倒退举动

HTC Goes To Court to Shore Up Shares HTC诉花旗分析师力保股价

Former smartphone rising star HTC (Taipei: 2498) is looking everywhere except for the mirror in its quest to blame anyone for its sudden reversal of fortune, this time turning to the court room where it is suing Citigroup’s (NYSE: C) research unit for publishing false information about it. (English article) HTC saw its shares soar over the last few years as sales of its popular Android-based smartphones boomed, and it scored an impressive feat back in April when it passed Nokia (Helsinki: NOK1V) in terms of market cap. (previous post) Since then, however, its shares have lost about two-thirds of their value, and its market cap now stands at just under $14 billion, or well below Nokia’s $18.7 billion despite Nokia’s own sharp share decline in recent months. In this latest twist for HTC, a Taiwan prosecutor is saying that HTC submitted its criminal complaint back in August, and the prosecutor’s office is now processing the matter. It strikes me as a little strange that HTC is trying to lay some or all of the blame for its rapid decline on Citi, as the company has been the main architect of its tumble by twice reducing its earnings outlook recently as its smartphones struggled to compete in the increasingly competitive smartphone space with popular models from Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL), Samsung (Seoul: 005930) and others. HTC has also been hobbled by a series of lawsuits against it by Apple, which is accusing it of intellectual property theft through its use of Google’s (Nasdaq: GOOG) popular Android operating system. Those lawsuits could ultimately prove a huge setback if US courts find in Apple’s favor, which would force HTC to stop selling some or all of its Android phones in that critical market. With all those factors working against it, perhaps HTC should take a step back and realize that the blame for its rapid decline lies squarely inside its own house, rather than on outsiders like Citi. If it’s smart, it will quietly drop this lawsuit against Citi, and focus its energies on pouring more resources into R&D and sales, and perhaps even find an alternative to Android to try and regain some of its fast fading luster.

Bottom line: HTC’s recent lawsuit against Citi looks like a diversion to blame outsiders for its rapid decline, which is largely due to the company’s own missteps and stiff competition.

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Apple Suffers Setback in China Lawsuit Loss 苹果在华商标侵权案初尝苦果

Nokia Looks For Fresh China Start With New Country Chief 诺基亚中国区新官欲扭颓势

Guest Post: Move Over Nokia and RIM, Here Comes HTC

 

Soufun Looks For More Support With New Dividend 搜房网借新派息计划寻求支撑股价

When does a 31 percent dip in your share price look good? When your rivals’ share prices have fallen by even more, or at least that seems to be the thinking at real estate services firm Soufun (NYSE: SFUN), which has just announced its second dividend in the last 4 months amid a broader sell-off that has seen many US-listed China stocks tumble by even more in the last few months. Soufun’s latest plan looks even more attractive now than the first plan announced in August (previous post), as the payout amount will remain at $1 per American Depositary Share, translating to a return of about 7.5 percent based on the company’s latest share price. (company announcement) That’s up from a payout ratio of about 5 percent for the August dividend, when the company’s shares were quite a bit higher. A growing number of US-listed companies have tried the dividend approach, including chipmaker Spreadtrum (Nasdaq: SPRD) and online game specialists Giant Interactive (NYSE: GA) and most recentlly Shanda Games (Nasdaq: GAME), betting that cash payouts will appeal more to investors than traditional share buybacks. So how effective is the dividend strategy? A quick comparison shows that while Soufun’s shares are down 31 percent since it announced its first dividend, its closest rival, E-House (NYSE: EJ) is down by an even bigger 42 percent over the same period, showing the strategy may have some effect. Of course, Soufun’s recent posting of solid third-quarter results, even in the face of China’s rapid real estate slowdown, may also be helping its stock. (previous post) For all of those reasons, Soufun may indeed look like a nice play going forward. Dividends may be good for short-term investors, helping to support stock prices and provide some definite returns in uncertain markets. But for longer term investors, there’s still no replacement for solid company fundamentals and growth prospects, meaning it still pays to check a company’s bottom line no matter how nice the dividend.

Bottom line: The dividend approach being tried by many US-listed China firms is providing some short-term support for share prices and quick returns for investors.

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Shanda Plays Games With Big Dividend 盛大游戏寄望高额分红计划提振股价

Investors Pocket Spreadtrum, Giant Dividends and Run

Sofun’s New Strategy: Dividend Wave Ahead? 搜房网新策略:中国概念股派息潮即将来临?

News Digest: December 14, 2011

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on December 14. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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HTC (Taipei: 2498) Sues Citi (NYSE: C) in Taiwan After Share Price Fall (English article)

Sinopec, (HKEx: 386) ENN (HKEx: 2688) In $2.2 Bln Bid For China Gas (HKEx: 384) (English article)

SouFun (NYSE: SFUN) Declares Cash Dividends to Shareholders (Businesswire)

Alibaba Says Etao Search Engine Won’t Think About Profits For 3 Years (Chinese article)

ZTE (HKEx: 763) 2011 Smartphone Sales Top 12 Mln (Chinese article)

2011: China Unicom’s Lost Year 中国联通失落的一年

Early this year I predicted that 2011 would be a breakthrough year for China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU) (previous post), as it capitalized on its superior 3G technology and status as Apple’s (Nasdaq: AAPL) only official partner in China to take market share from its rivals. But as we head into the new year, history is much more likely to dub 2011 a year of lost opportunities for China’s perennial No 2 mobile carrier. What’s worse, 2012 doesn’t look much better, with Unicom on the cusp of losing its position as China’s second biggest player in the critical 3G market to more aggressive and better organized rival China Telecom (HKEx: 728; CHA). The latest signs of disarray at Unicom crop up almost daily, as the company seems to never have fully recovered from a major merger nearly 3 years ago that led to its current form. Chinese media are now reporting that Unicom is in the midst of its latest shakeup of top management at many of its biggest provincial subsidiaries, though even that process appears to be riddled with problems. (Chinese article) This shakeup has been going on since at least the middle of the year (previous post), and is obviously a huge distraction for the company which instead should have been focused on using its superior technology and Apple relationship to build up its 3G business. As a result of the internal chaos, the company’s 3G market share has held steady at around 30 percent all year, even as industry leader China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) has lost steady share in this critical new area to China Telecom, whose share has risen from about 24 early this year to 28 now. At this rate China Telecom will probably pass Unicom as the second biggest 3G carrier by next February or March. Reflecting just how inept Unicom has become, Chinese media are reporting that the company has only just now announced it will offer the latest Apple iPhone, the 4S, by January, months after its global roll-out. (English article) No reason was given for the delay, but previous reports have indicated Unicom was slow to get Apple’s latest hot product tested for compatibility with its system. And in one final show of incompetence to end the year, Chinese media are reporting Unicom won’t even offer the 3G version of the popular iPad 2 tablet PC due to weak sales for the non-3G iPad 2 in China. (Chinese article) This company sorely needs to get itself straightened out, or face a potentially disastrous 2012.

Bottom line: China Unicom has seen a steady stream of lost opportunities in 2011, and its slide is likely to continue next year as it loses the No 2 spot to China Telecom in the important 3G market.

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Sputtering Unicom’s Latest Excuse: Lack of Leadership

◙  Unicom’s Sputtering 3G: Blame It On the Handsets 联通幡然醒悟 借低价手机扩张3G市场

Unicom, China Telecom in iPhone 4S 中国电信有望领先推出iPhone 4S Race