China Mobile Eyes New Nat’l Cable Network 中国移动有望携手中国广播电视网络公司

After writing far more negative than positive views about China Mobile (HKEx: 941; NYSE: CHL) I’m happy to say there’s finally a piece of news that I really like in the form of talk that the country’s cash-rich but uninspired dominant mobile carrier may soon take a stake in a national cable TV company now being assembled from a patchwork of regional operators. (English article) According to the reports, which cite a number of unnamed sources, China Mobile has already reached an agreement to partner with the new company, China Radio and Television Network, and the 2 sides are now in discussions about a potential equity investment by China Mobile. This kind of partnership looks like a great idea for both sides, as the new cable company will have a huge need for cash — something that China Mobile has plenty of — once the long-delayed consolidation of China’s cable TV networks into this single new company is complete. At the same time, the big piece missing in China Mobile’s portfolio of products is a good wire-based broadband service, something that rivals China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU) and China Telecom (HKEx: 728; NYSE: CHA) both have from the wired-line phone networks they inherited years ago from China’s former fixed-line phone monopoly. A big cash infusion from China Mobile could help China Radio and Television Network quickly upgrade its numerous regional cable networks, now mostly based on older analog technology, to digital capabilities for broadband and other services like high-definition television and video on demand. China’s regulators would also be likely to welcome this tie-up, as the entry of a strong new player to the broadband market would provide a real alternative to offerings from Unicom and China Telecom, which are now being investigated by the National Development and Reform Commission, China’s state planner, for monopolistic practices in the area. Investors have long complained that China Mobile — which controls two-thirds of the world’s biggest mobile market — has too much cash and should pay a higher dividend, even though the company has failed to raise its dividend pay-out ratio for years. I have always been skeptical of China Mobile’s overseas acquisition strategy, mostly because it has no experience operating outside its highly protected home market. But this kind of equity tie-up would make much more sense, as it would come in China Mobile’s home market and also be highly complementary to its existing business. Of course such a tie-up isn’t completely risk-free, as the new cable company is an untested entity that still has yet to be formally launched. But if things proceed smoothly, I could see this partnership developing rapidly and perhaps even contributing to China Mobile’s stagnant top and bottom lines as soon as the second half of next year.

Bottom line: A new tie-up between China Mobile and China’s new national cable TV operator looks like a smart move, potentially providing China Mobile with a strong cable and digital TV offering.

Related postings 相关文章:

Govt to Nat’l Cable Firm: Be Profitable 政府对国家广电公司的安排:商业化

Cable Consolidation Moves Closer With New Umbrella Company 中国广播电视网络公司有望近期挂牌 有线网络整合步伐加快

Telecoms Investigation Signals Profit Erosion 电信联通遭反垄断调查或侵蚀利润

Sinopec Weighs New China Gas Bid 中石化似乎考虑提高对中国燃气收购价

A small brouhaha broke out yesterday in Beijing, after an executive from the Sinopec-led (HKEx: 386; Shanghai: 600028; NYSE: SNP) group that made an unsolicited bid for privately held natural gas distributor China Gas (HKEx: 384) told reporters there would be no new offer after the original bid was rejected. It seems the executive from ENN Energy (HKEx: 2688), which launched the bid with Sinopec last December, made his remarks quickly as he walked past reporters while attending meetings at the National People’s Congress taking place this week in Beijing. Sinopec followed up later in the day with a “clarifying” announcement saying the remarks were purely the opinion of the executive, and that no decision has been made yet about whether the group will make a new and higher offer. (company announcement) The development of this deal has been quite unusual from the start, qualifying as what looks like China’s first truly hostile takeover bid. Sinopec and ENN made their original unsolicited offer late last year, in what would be a highly unusual move in western markets where the acquirer would usually approach the target company first and try to reach a deal before making a formal offer. It would only then launch a hostile unsolicited bid if the 2 sides couldn’t agree on a price. (previous post) In this case, it looks like Sinopec and ENN didn’t even approach China Gas before making their first offer — a choice that I attribute more to lack of experience than any real hostile intent, as most big Chinese state-run giants aren’t used to having their offers to buy other Chinese firms rebuffed in a nation where everything used to be owned by the state anyhow. In this case, China Gas is a relatively rare case of a privately owned company in the energy sector, and its management clearly didn’t like the idea that they weren’t consulted before Sinopec launched its bid. At the time of the initial rejection, Sinopec and ENN didn’t say much, but this latest comment from the ENN executive clearly wasn’t the message that Sinopec wanted to send to the market. Instead, this new clarification appears to indicate that Sinopec is seriously considering raising its offer in the near term, and may even this time decide to actually discuss the matter with China Gas before making its next move public. If it doesn’t reach a friendly deal or decides it still wants to make a new unsolicited offer, look for an interesting hostile takeover bid to potentially take shape, perhaps resulting in an unusual bidding war for China Gas.

Bottom line: Sinopec’s latest remarks indicate it is weighing a new higher bid for China Gas, potentially resulting in a hostile takeover attempt that could produce a bidding war.

Related postings 相关文章:

Battle Heats Up For China Gas

Sinopec Balks at Rebuff to Hostile M&A Bid 中石化试水敌意收购碰壁

Cash-Rich China Eyes More Global Energy Assets  财大气粗的中国企业着眼更多全球资源并购

NetEase Name Change: Spin-Off Coming 网易更名:预示业务分拆

So, when is the dropping of the .com suffix from a company’s name big news? The answer: When you’re an Internet veteran like NetEase (Nasdaq: NTES), whose new announcement that it plans to formally change its name from NetEase.com to simply NetEase Inc will fuel expectation that the company is nearing a spin-off of its portal business, its oldest asset since it originally went public in the late 1990s. In a decidedly low-key announcement, NetEase said it has scheduled a rare extraordinary general shareholder meeting for March 29, at which owners of its stock will be asked to approve the name change. (company announcement) China Internet historians will note that NetEase began its life as a web portal operator, competing directly with China’s other 2 web stalwarts, Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) and Sohu (Nasdaq: SOHU). But its path diverged about a decade ago, when it found more success as an operator of online games, which now account for the large majority of its revenue. During that time, the company’s portal business, which includes a popular email service, started to languish, even though it remains a well-known and respected brand to this day. Realizing there may still be some value in the portal business, NetEase made signals last year that it  might spin off the unit in a bid to breathe new life into it by making it stand on its own. (previous post) Since then, industry buzz has also surfaced that the portal could make a nice asset to sell  or put into a joint venture with another Internet site operator, which could use the portal to diversify its own holdings and drive traffic to its core site. The number of such potential buyers could be huge, running the range from social networking sites like Renren (NYSE: RENN) to video sites like Youku (NYSE: YOKU) and perhaps even one or 2 e-commerce sites like Dangdang (NYSE: DANG). I haven’t heard any specific rumors about M&A talks, but this name change by NetEase looks like it is paving the way for the company to make a big move soon. If I were a gambler, I would bet we will see some kind of deal involving the portal business by September. What that deal will be is still probably under discussion, with a sale, joint venture or even a spin-off into a separate publicly listed company all possible. I think the joint venture is probably the most likely, as NetEase would like to retain a stake in this asset since it is so closely identified with the company. At the same time, the joint venture structure would allow NetEase to delegate management of the portal to someone else to let it focus on its core online game business.

Bottom line: NetEase’s pending name change means a spin-off of its portal business is likely in the next 6 months, with a new joint venture the most likely option.

Related postings 相关文章:

NetEase Sharpens Up Messaging in Run-Up to Portal Spin-Off 网易剥离门户网站 再度磨砺电邮服务

NetEase Looks to Reinvigorate Portal 网易似要重振门户

NetEase Makes Buzz With Buyback, Pigs 网易回购股票和养猪重大决策或在即

News Digest: March 8, 2012 报摘: 2012年3月8日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 8. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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China Mobile (HKEx: 941) to Invest in National Cable TV Operator – Source (English article)

Sinopec (HKEx: 386) Clarifies Situation on China Gas (HKEx: 384) Bid (HKEx announcement)

Proview Applies to Block Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) iPad Imports Amid Trademark Dispute (Chinese article)

China Lodging Group (Nasdaq: HTHT) Reports Q4 and Full Year Results (PRNewswire)

Canadian Solar (Nasdaq: CSIQ) Reports Q4 and Fiscal Year 2011 Results (PRNewswire)

◙ Latest calendar for Q4 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)

Patent Filing: Beijing’s Latest Directive 专利申请:政府最新指导

It seems Beijing has decided China’s companies need to innovate more and has instructed them to do so, resulting in a flood of new patents for Chinese companies and other entities that I suspect are worth little more than the paper they’re printed on. That’s my major conclusion for why the nation’s regional governments and companies are suddenly flooding the media with reports showing off how many new patents they’ve received, as all vie to comply with Beijing’s silly innovation directive. According to new statistics from the World Intellectual Property Organization, patent applications rose 10 percent globally last year, but China’s rise was 3 times that much at 33 percent. (English article) Chinese telecoms giant ZTE (HKEx: 763; Shenzhen: 000063) pushed aside Japan’s Panasonic (Tokyo: 6752) to take the crown for the individual company with the most patent applications, filing for a hefty 2,826 patents versus 2,463 for Panasonic. ZTE’s crosstown rival Huawei also was busy at the patent office, filing 1,831 applications to finish third among individual companies. ZTE even put out a press release to publicize its accomplishment, adding that more than 60 percent of its filings were related to 3G, 4G, the Internet of things and cloud computing, all areas of the future. (company announcement) Meantime, one Chinese media report saw authorities from Jiangsu province  congratulating themselves for seeing nearly 200,000 patents granted in their territory last year, with more than 348,000 applications filed — the biggest total for any individual province. (English article) I don’t want to be too cynical here, but am I the only one who sees all these numbers and self congratulation as a bit too loud and aimed at capturing the attention of Beijing central planners who have ordered this ongoing campaign to innovate more? I think it would be far more interesting to see how useful any of these patents are, rather than just looking at the number of actual patents, although obviously patent usefulness is far more difficult to quantify than simple figures. I do find it a bit ironic that ZTE, despite saying how hard it is working to develop new technologies like 3G, 4G and cloud computing, seems to be focusing the majority of its effort these days on becoming a top global name in low cost smartphones. Maybe they should be talking about how many patents they’ve received on that front, which could be far more important to their future than more abstract things like cloud computing and the Internet of things, which are most likely still a long way from becoming profitable business lines.

Bottom line: Beijing’s directive for more innovation is causing Chinese companies and government officials to pay too much attention to patents instead of real innovation.

Related postings 相关文章:

Unicom Trials 4G, ZTE Dusts Off Old Numbers 中国联通试验4G技术 中兴通讯旧账重提

Huawei, ZTE In Latest PR Offensive With US Spending Spree 华为、中兴签订美国大单恐醉翁之意不在酒

Huawei and ZTE: Swapping Networking for Cellphones? 华为和中兴:转型进军手机市场?

New Solar Storm Brews in Europe 欧盟或发起反倾销调查 中国光伏业再蒙阴影

It seems the storm dumping rain on Chinese solar cell makers for most of the last year won’t end anytime soon, with Chinese media now citing gloomy industry watchers saying Europe is likely to soon launch an own anti-dumping investigation into the industry following a similar one in the US. (English article) I don’t want to rush to judgment here, but perhaps it’s time that Beijing and China’s solar firms themselves admit that perhaps they are unfairly subsidized by the Chinese government, and try to work with European and US government officials to find a new plan that would address everyone’s concerns. Of course that doesn’t seem likely to happen anytime soon, with China continuing to deny that it unfairly subsidizes its industry, which now produces more than half of the world’s solar cells, with things like export rebates, low-interest loans and other incentives like free or cheap land. According to a report on the front page of today’s China Daily business section, a Commerce Ministry official says the European Union has already accepted complaints from its own solar cell makers over anti-dumping allegations against their Chinese rivals, and is likely to soon launch an official investigation, which means punitive tariffs may be coming soon if the investigation results in a ruling against China. Such a ruling would be even more devastating to Chinese solar cell makers than a similar ruling likely to come soon from the US, as Europe now account for a hefty 80 percent of all of China’s solar-related exports, with shipments of solar panels to the market worth more than $30 billion in 2010. Battered shares of Chinese solar firms, struggling to recover from their industry’s worst-ever downturn for most of the last year, tumbled even more on Tuesday trade in New York as word of the possible EU investigation spread. Industry leader Suntech (NYSE: STP) dropped 6 percent to $2.85, once again approaching its all-time low after a February rally on hopes that the industry’s downturn had bottomed out and prices were starting to stabilize. Other solar firms saw similar results on Wall Street, with Yingli (NYSE: YGE), Trina (NYSE: TSL) and Canadian Solar (Nasdaq: CSIQ) all down between 3 and 4 percent. Recent signals coming from the sector in its latest quarterly results indicate that many executives are cautiously optimistic that a rebound is on the way, partly driven by an anticipated big jump in building of new solar power plants in their home China market as well as many other developing markets. Such a mini-boom may indeed be coming, but it will hardly be sufficient to offset the huge losses that all of these companies would suffer if they lose access to the US and EU markets that now account for most of their sales. If that happens, which looks very likely, don’t expect to see any of these companies return to profitability anytime soon.

Bottom line: An anti-dumping investigation against Chinese solar panel makers in Europe looks likely, dealing an even bigger blow to the sector than a similar ongoing US investigation.

Related postings 相关文章:

Yingli Results: Rescue En Route From China? 英利财报:来自中国政府的营救?

Suntech Cleans House As Rebound Nears 光伏行业或年中回

Solar: New Tie-Ups as US Ruling Looms 光伏产品倾销裁决临近 中国企业忙于外联公关

Slowing Ad Revenue Weighs on Phoenix 凤凰新媒体看淡广告收入前景

The latest sign of an advertising slowdown on the Internet is coming from the high-flying Phoenix New Media (NYSE: FENG), whose investors did some profit-taking in Tuesday trade before the company announced impressive fourth-quarter results that saw its ad revenue double even as it predicted the rate of increase would slow quite a bit in the first quarter. (company announcement) Shares of Phoenix tumbled nearly 6 percent in Tuesday trade, though they bounced back slightly after-hours after the results came out. The company, the new media arm of Phoenix Satellite Television (HKEx: 2008), said its fourth-quarter advertising revenue jumped by just over 100 percent to $24 million, helping to drive a 200 percent increase in its net profit. But clearly the more worrisome element was Phoenix’s outlook for the current quarter, in which it forecast that ad revenue growth will slow to about 70 percent — meaning the rate of increase will slow by about a third. As a result, the company expects its growth rate for total revenues to fall by even more, about 50 percent, to about 35 percent in the current quarter. In fact, I’ve been predicting this slowdown for a while as China’s Internet companies, once flush with investor cash, start to burn through their money piles and either go out of business or cut back sharply on their ad spending. Earlier this week, popular online men’s fashion retailer Masa Maso said it was planning to slash its 2012 advertising budget by 50 percent, as it focused more on getting repeat business from existing customers rather than the costlier proposition of finding new ones through aggressive advertising. (previous post) The slowdown is likely to hit most companies that rely heavily on advertising for their revenue, from search leader Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) down the food chain to leading portal Sina (Nasdaq: SINA) and online video and social networking sites like Youku (NYSE: YOKU) and Renren (NYSE: RENN). Baidu previously forecast that growth for its revenue — nearly all of which comes from advertising services — would slow in the current quarter to 75 percent from 82 percent in last year’s fourth quarter. Premier names like Baidu are likely to see the smallest effect from the slowdown, although even Baidu could see its revenue growth rate slip below 50 percent by year end. Meantime, look for much bigger slowdowns at less attractive ad platforms like Youku and Renren, with names like Sina and Phoenix likely to be somewhere in the middle when the nascent downturn starts to accelerate.

Bottom line: Outlook from Phoenix New Media is the latest indicator of a looming ad slowdown, which will sharply curb growth at firms dependent on ad revenue.

Related postings 相关文章:

Fashion E-tailer Cuts Point to Ad Slowdown 玛萨玛索削减广告投入

Baidu’s Strong Growth Underwhelms 百度业绩持续强劲增长将投资者期望抬升过高

Sohu Fails to Inspire With Latest Results 搜狐最新财报缺乏利好激励

News Digest: March 7, 2012 报摘: 2012年3月7日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 7. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

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◙ Top Telecoms Regulator Says 4G Licenses Still 2-3 Years Away (Chinese article)

Glaxo (London: GSK) to Hire Hundreds in China as Reforms Widen Drug Access (English article)

Phoenix New Media (NYSE: FENG) Reports Q4 and Fiscal Year Results (PRNewswire)

ZTE (HKEx: 763) Attains Global No. 1 Patent Filings Spot (Businesswire)

Goldman (NYSE: GS) Free to Sell ICBC (HKEx: 1398) Stake: President (English article)

◙ Latest calendar for Q4 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)

Jin Jiang Looks for Room at the Global Lodge 锦江集团寻求跻身国际高端酒店之列

I’ve been watching with interest these last few weeks as Jin Jiang (HKEx: 2006), one of China’s oldest and best known non-budget hotel brands, has been partnering with a US firm in a bid to compete with big international operators, making it a potentially interesting investment bet over the longer term if it can succeed. Of course, such success is far from assured, as Jin Jiang, despite its long history in China, still has much to learn to compete with the likes of Marriott (NYSE: MAR) and Hilton, both of which have far more experience and, equally important, reputations for operating top-notch hotels. But a couple of recent franchising deals look interesting enough to merit a mention here as a potential sign of big new developments for Jin Jiang. In the latest of those announcements, Interstate China, a joint venture hotel management company between Jin Jiang and US firm Thayer Lodging, has announced it will take over operation of the JC Mandarin hotel in Shanghai, one of the city’s oldest 5-star hotels whose image has faded somewhat in recent years as many of the bigger brands have opened newer and better-run properties. (English announcement) Announcement of the deal comes just weeks after Interstate also announced it will also manage a Shanghai-based DoubleTree, one of Hilton’s brands. The venture will also manage the J Hotel when it opens in Shannghai Tower, which will become China’s newest skyscraper with its scheduled opening in 2014. With the latest additions, the joint venture now manages eight hotels in China, and clearly it has much bigger plans for the market. I’ve visited a number of Jin Jiang hotels during my years in China and, while it’s clearly one of the better managed domestic brands, it still lags well behind the big international names in terms of quality and overall guest experience. That said, I like the joint venture and franchising approach that Jin Jiang is taking to try and build itself into a world-class player. The pairing with Thayer has obvious advantages of bringing in an experienced global player, while the franchising approach will allow Jin Jiang to avoid many of the costs associated with building a new brand. I suspect Jin Jiang’s ultimate goal is to create its own new brand after it has sufficient experience, which it could then develop not only in China but also export to other countries. Of course, the big question is whether Interstate China will be able to earn a reputation as an operator of top-end hotels, which it will soon have a chance to prove if it can improve the JC Mandarin and operate well-received hotels in its other properties. Given the problems that often occur with such Sino-foreign joint ventures, I would give this one just a 50-50 chance of success. But if it does succeed, Jin Jiang  could indeed become an interesting investment alternative for those who like the mid- to high-end China hotel story.

Bottom line: Jin Jiang’s aggressive new push into higher-end hotels through a US joint venture has a 50-50 chance of success, potentially helping it to compete with the big international brands.

Related postings 相关文章:

New Year Brings New Starts for China Lodging, Grace-Hua Hong Merger 汉庭换将,华虹NEC和宏力半导体合并

China Lodging: Rebound Ahead 中国经济型酒店业绩回升在望

Hotels: Expo Hangover Set to Linger into 2012

Lenovo Completes Leadership Change, Yang Uninspired 联想完成高层调整,杨元庆难鼓舞人心

Ambitious PC maker Lenovo (HKEx: 992), arguably China’s best known global brand, is sending out signals that it has completed a transition that will see founder and longtime leader Liu Chuanzhi formally bow out of the company, though the first comments from new head Yang Yuanqing are hardly inspiring. Liu was notably absent at the opening of the National People’s Congress that started this week in Beijing, with media citing an unnamed illness for his failure to attend an annual event he has gone to for years alongside the nation’s top politicians and business leaders. (Chinese article) At first I thought this might be cause for concern, as Liu was the main force that built Lenovo from a small PC seller in Beijing to the world’s second biggest brand through a series of acquisitions and strong focus on developing markets. But now we’re seeing that Yang, his hand-picked successor, is speaking for the company on the sidelines of the NPC in Beijing. That, coupled with the Hong Kong stock exchange’s disclosure yesterday that Yang has recently exercised a large number of options to buy Lenovo shares, seem to be the company’s way of saying that Yang is officially taking over at the helm of Lenovo and Liu will no longer take part in major decisions, following his formal retirement last year. (previous post) So, what exactly did Yang say at his first NPC since taking over at the helm? Instead of making grand visionary statements about where he sees the company going or what products and markets will power it into the future, he chose to talk about the more mundane subject of the burdens of China’s high value added tax and how that is making its products more expensive. (Chinese article) Clearly this issue is an important one for Lenovo, which still counts on China for half of its sales, and it’s also  quite possible Yang also made some visionary remarks that reporters simply chose to ignore. But from my perspective, these kinds of remarks don’t offer the most reassuring sign for investors, reflecting more the kinds of things a bureaucrat and manager would focus on rather than the bigger issues we should expect from the chairman of such a major company. Obviously you can’t draw too many conclusions from just one set of remarks like this. But history watchers will recall that Yang was formerly given the chairman’s job after Lenovo’s landmark purchase of IBM’s (NYSE: IBM) PC assets in 2005, only to have to step aside and let Liu return after the company ran into numerous problems several years later. The same could soon happen if Yang continues to perform like a bureaucrat and mid-level manager, boding poorly for the company’s longer-term future. And this time, Liu won’t be there to fix things if the company runs into problems.

Bottom line: Remarks by Lenovo’s new chairman at his first National People’s Congress reflect a lack of broader vision, boding poorly for the company’s longer term future.

Related postings 相关文章:

Liu Steps Down at Lenovo — Again 柳传志再度卸任联想董事会主席

Acer Trips, Lenovo Next? 联想应避免重蹈宏基覆辙

Lenovo Results: Honeymoon Nearing an End? 联想并购後的蜜月期何时结束?

News Digest: March 6, 2012 报摘: 2012年3月6日

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 6. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.

══════════════════════════════════════════════════════

Jaguar Land Rover, Chery Seek Approval for Joint Venture (English article)

Dunkin’ (Nasdaq: DNKN) Aims at China With Pork Donuts, LeBron James (English article)

Interstate Hotels Adds Landmark JC Mandarin Hotel Shanghai to China Portfolio (Businesswire)

Youku (NYSE: YOKU), Lionsgate (NYSE: LGF) Sign Deal for Feature Films (PRNewswire)

◙ 50 Pct of China Mobile’s (HKEx: 941) Mobile Literature Revenue from Cloudary (English article)

◙ Latest calendar for Q4 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)