INTERNET: E-House, Leju Profits Shrivel, Renren Shrinks

Bottom line: Shares of E-House and Leju are likely to trade flat to downward over the next year due to continuing pressure on China’s real estate market, while Renren is likely to get bought out over that period.

Property downturn puts pressure on Leju, E-House

The latest earnings from 2 of China’s 3 top listed online real estate firms reflect the challenges facing the sector, with soaring costs undermining profits at both E-House (NYSE: EJ) and its affiliated Leju (Nasdaq: LEJU). Meantime, a separate earnings report from fast-fading social networking site Renren (NYSE: RENN) shows the former Internet superstar is fast becoming worthless as it sells off assets and its core SNS business shrinks. I expect the end will come soon for Renren, probably in the next 12 months, since the company’s largest asset now is its big cash pot that could attract a buyer who simply wants the money. Read Full Post…

FUND RAISING: Legend Eyes $3 Bln HK IPO, Mango TV Gets Big Funds

Bottom line: Legend’s Hong Kong IPO this year will attract moderate interest and raise more than $2 billion, while Mango TV could seek up to $800 million in new private funding later this year en route to a potential Hong Kong IPO as soon as 2017.

Mango TV gets funding from China Mobile

Two big fund-raising stories are in the headlines today, casting a spotlight on what could become 2 major IPOs in the pipeline over the next 2 years. The more advanced deal has media reporting that Legend Holdings, parent of PC giant Lenovo (HKEx: 992), is aiming to raise a hefty $3 billion when it goes public later this year in Hong Kong. The second deal has Mango TV, the online video unit of the commercially savvy broadcaster Hunan TV, raising a cool 1 billion yuan ($161 million) in its first private funding round. Such a sum is quite large for a first round of outside fund raising, and the acceptance of private investors hints that Hunan intends to build Mango into an attractive IPO candidate with strong prospects in the online video space. Read Full Post…

News Digest: March 19, 2015

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 19. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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  • Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO) To Close Beijing R&D Center (Chinese article)
  • Tencent (HKEx: 700) Announces Q4, 2014 Annual Results (HKEx announcement)
  • China’s Mobile Subscriber Base Drops By 1 Mln In February 2015 – MIIT (English article)
  • Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) Cloud Unit Aliyun To Open European Data Center (Chinese article)
  • Volkswagen (Frankfurt: VOWG) Hit By 2nd Chinese State TV Exposé In 1 Week (English article)
  • Latest calendar for Q4 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)

TELECOMS: Unicom Becomes Own Top Fan With Big Share Buyback

Bottom line: The latest negative headlines on Unicom and its confusing earnings reflect its broader dysfunction and a lack of investor interest in its stock, though a major new share buyback could provide a good short-term buying opportunity.

Unicom in big share repurchase

I’ve always wondered which investors were fans of China Unicom (HKEx: 762; NYSE: CHU), which based on media and its own earnings reports is easily the most disorganized and dysfunctional of the nation’s big 3 telcos. Now I’m finally learning the answer to that question, with Unicom’s announcement of a major plan to buy back up to 10 percent of its Hong Kong-listed shares. That would equate to a massive $3.6 billion worth of stock, based on the company’s current market value, in what would easily be one of the biggest share buybacks I’ve ever seen. Read Full Post…

INTERNET: Baidu Steers Marriage Of Uber, Yidao

Bottom line: The Baidu-led union of Uber and Yidao in China looks like a smart move for all 3 parties, but could come under strain due to internal and external factors that could ultimately lead Baidu to buy out the venture.

Yidao, Uber to merge in China

China’s rapidly evolving paid car services realm is creating some strange marriages, bringing together e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and social networking giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) last month with a merger of their taxi app services. Now we’re getting word of another unusual marriage, this time as leading search engine Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) steers domestic heavyweight Yidao into a union with global giant Uber.

This latest deal would come just 3 months after Baidu made a large investment in Uber, reportedly worth $600 million, and would give Baidu a solid foothold in the fast-growing market for Internet-based car hiring services. China’s other 2 Internet majors, Tencent and Alibaba, already had major Internet hired car assets through their strategic stakes in industry leaders Didi Dache and Kuaidi Dache, respectively, which surprised the industry when they announced a plan to merge last month. (previous post) Read Full Post…

Shanghai Street View: Paradoxical Pay

China pay practices defy logic

As someone who has lived and worked in both China and the west for roughly equal periods over the last quarter century, I can say with relative authority that Chinese pay scales are one of the things that vex me and often seem to defy logic.

The many pay-related inconsistencies in today’s China were on display in a couple of news reports this week showing how many people continue to have high salary expectations despite signs of a maturing economy. One report showed how a huge number of Shanghai workers are considering leaving their jobs due to discontent with annual pay raises that seem quite acceptable by western standards. At the same time, another report showed that annual salaries in Shanghai and other top Chinese cities are starting to actually drop due to a slowing economy, reversing years of rapid gains. Read Full Post…

News Digest: March 18, 2015

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 18. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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  • Uber, Yidao To Merge Under Baidu-Led (Nasdaq: BIDU) Plan – Source (Chinese article)
  • Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) Post-IPO Lock-Up Period Ends, Releasing 340 Mln Shares (Chinese article)
  • Unicom Proposes Plan To Buy Back Up To 10 Pct Of Shares (HKEx announcement)
  • Phoenix Satellite TV Announces Full-Year 2014 Results (HKEx announcement)
  • Solar Power Installation To Hit 17.8 Gigawatts This Year, Ahead Of Forecasts (Chinese article)
  • Latest calendar for Q4 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)

INTERNET: Youku, Dandang Spook Markets With Earnings Dates

Bottom line: Unusual scheduling announcements mean the latest quarterly earnings from Youku Tudou and Dangdang could disappoint, though a recent sell-off in their shares looks overblown.

Unusual scheduling spooks Youku, Dangdang investors

Quarterly earnings announcements often ignite big moves in stocks, sparking big gains or losses if companies exceed or miss market expectations. It’s far less common to see company announcements of when they will release their latest quarterly reports create similar reactions. But that’s exactly what’s happened with the latest such earnings date announcements from struggling online video site Youku Tudou (NYSE: YOKU) and faded e-commerce player Dangdang (NYSE: DANG).

Shares of both companies have tanked to lows not seen in more than a year, following their release of unusual announcements about when they will report their next quarterly earnings. Company announcements of such dates are quite standard industry practice, allowing investors to prepare and attend conference calls to discuss the numbers. Such date announcements typically come 1-3 weeks before the actual results are announced, giving investors adequate time to prepare. Read Full Post…

INTERNET: Shanda Sells Literature To Tencent, Games To Brokers

Bottom line: New developments in the break-up of Shanda Group are likely to result in the successful sales of its games and literature units in the next 6 months.

Cloudary pools resources with Tencent literarture

The slow-motion break-up of former online entertainment superstar Shanda Group continues in 2 different headlines, with word that its core online literature and gaming businesses are set to be taken over by Internet giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) and a couple of major brokerages, respectively, in separate deals. Both of these deals look quite exciting, as they involve the entry of serious-looking buyers who could ultimately use their acquired Shanda assets to create some interesting and potentially competitive new companies in their respective spaces. Read Full Post…

NEW ENERGY: Trade Wars Push China Solars Offshore

Bottom line: A new wave of overseas investment by Chinese solar panel makers should ease western complaints of unfair state-support and provide a more solid foundation for the sector’s longer-term development.

Solar panel makers migrate overseas

As a settlement to avoid anti-dumping tariffs for Chinese solar panels exported to Europe showed signs of unraveling last week, a new report emerged that showed a more positive trend for a sector that has become the subject of nonstop trade wars over the last 4 years. That newer trend has seen a growing number of embattled Chinese solar panel makers set up overseas factories, helping them to avoid punitive anti-dumping tariffs imposed by the US on their domestically produced goods. Read Full Post…

News Digest: March 17, 2015

The following press releases and media reports about Chinese companies were carried on March 17. To view a full article or story, click on the link next to the headline.
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  • Hunan TV’s Online Video Platform Mango TV Lands 1 Bln Yuan Series A – Source (English article)
  • Tencent (HKEx: 700), Shanda Literature Units Join To Form Online Reading Group (Chinese article)
  • NZ’s Fonterra Buys Stake In China’s Beingmate (Shenzhen: 002570) For $553 Mln (English article)
  • Legend Group Plans July IPO, To Raise Up To $3 Bln – Report (Chinese article)
  • Consortium to Acquire Shanda Games (Nasdaq: GAME) Adds New Members (PRNewswire)
  • Latest calendar for Q4 earnings reports (Earnings calendar)