Bottom line: A new SEC probe into Youku Tudou’s accounting, following another probe into possible disclosure breaches by Alibaba, could undermine investor confidence in big Chinese Internet firms.
SEC probes Youku Tudou accounting
Just a month after e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) said it was being probed for possible violations of US securities laws, former online video high-flyer Youku Tudou (NYSE: YOKU) revealed it is also being questioned by the US stock regulator for aggressive accounting practices that may have misled investors. The nature of the potential violations are quite different in each case, but both create a worrisome larger picture since they involve 2 of China’s biggest and most trusted Internet companies. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Sogou is likely to list in the second half of the year, but will get a lukewarm reception from investors due to its status as a solid second-tier player without hopes of ever becoming a sector leader.
Sogou eyes H2 IPO
Some 3 months into the New Year, we’re still waiting for the first New York IPO by a Chinese Internet company after a blockbuster year in 2014. Now we’re getting word of a listing that could come in the second half, with news that portal stalwart Sohu (Nasdaq: SOHU) is planning an IPO for its decade-old Sougou search engine in that time frame.
The offering looks very so-so, as Sougou has failed to gain much traction despite its status as one of China’s oldest search players. More broadly speaking, we can probably expect to see more of this kind of ho-hum IPO from second-tier Chinese Internet firms for the rest of the year, since the most exciting players listed during last year’s surge in new offerings. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Many of Alibaba’s older stakeholders are likely to sell some or all of their shares after their lock-up period ends, driving the stock down to or even below its IPO level over the coming months.
Alibaba lock-up period ends
Top managers at China’s Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) are almost certainly watching their company’s stock with acute angst this week, even as business continues as usual with word of the e-commerce leader’s latest overseas expansion into Korea. The angst is the direct result of an end to the lock-up period for Alibaba’s stock, which could technically flood the market with up to 340 million shares that were forbidden from trading for the first 6 months after its record-breaking $25 billion IPO.
Put differently, all of those shares would be worth about $29 billion at Alibaba’s current price, accounting for more than one-tenth of its total market capitalization of about $210 billion. The shares officially become eligible for trading when the lock-up period ends on Wednesday, March 18, which is exactly 6 months after the shares made their trading debut on the New York Stock Exchange. (Chinese article) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Qihoo’s new smartphones, including its self-developed mobile OS, could perform well due to its strong software development record, potentially bringing some excitement back to its stock later this year.
Qihoo prepares mobile OS
I don’t usually have lots of positive things to say about Qihoo 360 (NYSE: QIHU), but I’ll admit I’m quite intrigued by the latest word that the security software specialist is preparing to roll out its own mobile operating system (OS). The new system, to be called 360 OS, will be based on Google’s (Nasdaq: GOOG) popular Android OS, so in that regard it will vie with many other Android variations in the market. But regardless of that, I would expect this new OS could quickly become a major player in the fiercely competitive space, drawing on Qihoo’s record as one of China’s savviest and oldest software and Internet product developers. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Yahoo’s closure of its Beijing R&D center marks its final withdrawal from China, in a shift mostly related to internal issues but also reflecting the difficulties foreign Internet firms face in the tightly controlled market.
Yahoo closes Beijing R&D center
Nearly 2 years after shuttering its Chinese email service, faded US search giant Yahoo (Nasdaq: YHOO) looks finally set to completely leave the China market, with word that it’s preparing to close up its sizable R&D shop in Beijing. I’m not intimately familiar with Yahoo’s current China assets, but it does appear that this move represents the shuttering of the company’s last major Chinese operation. The move also comes as Yahoo prepares to spin off its sizable stake in Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) into a separate company, bringing an end to the company’s decade-long marriage with China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Shares of E-House and Leju are likely to trade flat to downward over the next year due to continuing pressure on China’s real estate market, while Renren is likely to get bought out over that period.
Property downturn puts pressure on Leju, E-House
The latest earnings from 2 of China’s 3 top listed online real estate firms reflect the challenges facing the sector, with soaring costs undermining profits at both E-House (NYSE: EJ) and its affiliated Leju (Nasdaq: LEJU). Meantime, a separate earnings report from fast-fading social networking site Renren (NYSE: RENN) shows the former Internet superstar is fast becoming worthless as it sells off assets and its core SNS business shrinks. I expect the end will come soon for Renren, probably in the next 12 months, since the company’s largest asset now is its big cash pot that could attract a buyer who simply wants the money. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: The Baidu-led union of Uber and Yidao in China looks like a smart move for all 3 parties, but could come under strain due to internal and external factors that could ultimately lead Baidu to buy out the venture.
Yidao, Uber to merge in China
China’s rapidly evolving paid car services realm is creating some strange marriages, bringing together e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and social networking giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) last month with a merger of their taxi app services. Now we’re getting word of another unusual marriage, this time as leading search engine Baidu (Nasdaq: BIDU) steers domestic heavyweight Yidao into a union with global giant Uber.
This latest deal would come just 3 months after Baidu made a large investment in Uber, reportedly worth $600 million, and would give Baidu a solid foothold in the fast-growing market for Internet-based car hiring services. China’s other 2 Internet majors, Tencent and Alibaba, already had major Internet hired car assets through their strategic stakes in industry leaders Didi Dache and Kuaidi Dache, respectively, which surprised the industry when they announced a plan to merge last month. (previous post) Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Unusual scheduling announcements mean the latest quarterly earnings from Youku Tudou and Dangdang could disappoint, though a recent sell-off in their shares looks overblown.
Quarterly earnings announcements often ignite big moves in stocks, sparking big gains or losses if companies exceed or miss market expectations. It’s far less common to see company announcements of when they will release their latest quarterly reports create similar reactions. But that’s exactly what’s happened with the latest such earnings date announcements from struggling online video site Youku Tudou (NYSE: YOKU) and faded e-commerce player Dangdang (NYSE: DANG).
Shares of both companies have tanked to lows not seen in more than a year, following their release of unusual announcements about when they will report their next quarterly earnings. Company announcements of such dates are quite standard industry practice, allowing investors to prepare and attend conference calls to discuss the numbers. Such date announcements typically come 1-3 weeks before the actual results are announced, giving investors adequate time to prepare. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: New developments in the break-up of Shanda Group are likely to result in the successful sales of its games and literature units in the next 6 months.
Cloudary pools resources with Tencent literarture
The slow-motion break-up of former online entertainment superstar Shanda Group continues in 2 different headlines, with word that its core online literature and gaming businesses are set to be taken over by Internet giant Tencent (HKEx: 700) and a couple of major brokerages, respectively, in separate deals. Both of these deals look quite exciting, as they involve the entry of serious-looking buyers who could ultimately use their acquired Shanda assets to create some interesting and potentially competitive new companies in their respective spaces. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s combining of its mapping and web browser units under a single leader marks the start of a necessary rationalization of its many acquisitions over the last 2 years, which could produce some odd pairings.
Alibaba combines UCWeb, AutoNavi units
After nearly 2 years of making billions of dollars in strategic acquisitions, we’re finally seeing an attempt by e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) to integrate and rationalize some of those purchases through new tie-ups and other pooling of assets. In this case the integration is coming in an executive move, which is seeing the founder of its AutoNavi online mapping division leave the company. His former position will be taken over by the founder and head of Alibaba’s UCWeb browser division, combining the 2 units under the leadership of a well-respected tech leader named Yu Yongfu. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Dianping’s bigger-than-expected fund-raising underscores its popularity among investors, and could pressure it to make an IPO worth $1 billion or more this year to capitalize on positive market sentiment.
Dianping closes $850 mln funding
China’s online group buying space could be closer to getting its first IPO, with word that Dianping, one of the industry’s 2 leaders, has just raised a whopping $850 million in its fifth funding round. The massive funding has actually been in the works since late last year, but kept growing as more investors clamored for a piece of this hot company. The move sends the latest signal that Dianping may be eying an IPO later this year that could raise up to $1 billion or more.
Word of the funding comes as a more advanced IPO plan has gone missing from smaller rival 55Tuan, which was hoping to become China’s first publicly listed group buying site. 55Tuan made a public filing for a New York IPO back in January, and a later filing indicated it planned to sell its shares and begin trading on February 25. But that date has come and gone with no listing, and there’s still no word on the reason for the delays more than 2 weeks later. Read Full Post…
