Bottom line: Huawei’s new push into India looks like a smart and well-timed move to take advantage of the country’s emerging middle class, and could help it take the global smartphone crown by the end of next year.
Huawei takes aim at India
As it creeps up on its goal of becoming the world’s largest smartphone maker, the controversial Huaweiappears to finally be waking up to the potential of the fast-growing India market. That’s the key takeaway from some Indian media reports last week, which quoted a company executive saying Huawei is planning a major push into an India market that it has largely ignored up until now.
The bigger theme in this particular story is that India is quickly emerging as a market not to be taken lightly on the smartphone scene. Global leader Samsung(Seoul: 005930) learned that early on, and until recently was the market leader before getting eclipsed by China’s Xiaomi(HKEx: 1810). I was quite surprised when doing some quick research for this post to learn that India actually passed the US to become the world’s second largest smartphone market in the third quarter, behind only China. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Xiaomi is hoping to attract investors to its IPO through its recent strong revenue growth, but it could still be years before it becomes profitable due to heavy reliance on low-end, low-margin products.
Xiaomi growth banks on cheap products
Everyone is fawning over the newly released IPO prospectus from Xiaomi, the smartphone maker that is aiming to make what’s likely to be the biggest listing of all time by a company from its class. Most eyes seem to be focused on the company’s top line, headlined by revenue that grew 67.5 percent last year. But from my perspective, the picture isn’t all that attractive due to the company’s huge loss, along with data that show it is clearly stuck at the lower end of the global smartphone market in terms of brand positioning.
None of that is necessarily that bad, since Xiaomi, whose upcoming Hong Kong IPO is likely to be one of this year’s largest, is clearly in an early stage of its development. Most major brands today didn’t start out as premium names. Classic cases in that category are the Japanese and Korean electronics makers, most of which started off as makers of low-end but relatively reliable cheap products that made the “made in Japan” label at one time the equivalent of the “made in China” label now. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Xiaomi’s taking of the India smartphone crown and attendance at a major trade show next week are aimed at boosting its profile in the run-up to its IPO.
Xiaomi to attend MWC
Hype is building in the run-up to what’s likely to be one of the largest high-tech IPOs this year, with word that smartphone maker Xiaomi has snatched the India crown from a fading Samsung (Seoul: 005930) and is also making its first visit to the world’s top telecoms trade show next week. Both events are important milestones for a resurgent Xiaomi, as it attempts to boost its profile for a public listing that’s likely to raise in the neighborhood of $10 billion in Hong Kong.
At the same time, the list of attendees for this year’s Mobile World Congress taking place next week in Spain is also notable for a number of brands that have purchased booths in the past but aren’t doing so this year. Leading that list is Oppo, which briefly took the China smartphone crown last year from current leader Huawei. Also absent from the list are past attendees including Meizu and Gionee. That probably speaks to the fact that some of these brands are feeling the squeeze of prolonged competition in the space, and are choosing to spend their limited marketing budgets elsewhere. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: India is unlikely to levy anti-dumping tariffs on Chinese solar panel makers, despite the likelihood that it will launch an investigation.
India set to launch anti-dumping probe on Chinese panels
The news just seems to be getting worse and worse for China’s embattled solar panel makers. First the group was hit a few years back by anti-dumping tariffs from the US and Europe, and more recently the highly cyclical industry has gone into a downturn that has pushed a growing number of players into the red. As if that wasn’t bad enough, media are reporting that India may be getting set to launch an anti-dumping investigation against the group.
The news has been spooking investors somewhat, but not as much as you might expect. In fact, most of the solar shares have been on a rally for the last month, and have pulled back a little in light of this news from India. Perhaps that’s because some are saying an anti-dumping probe will take at least a few months to complete, and also that it’s far from clear that India will actually rule against the Chinese companies. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Oppo’s major new cricket sponsorship deal shows its commitment to India, but may have to be renegotiated if and when the company’s fortunes decline in the next 1-2 years following its meteoric rise.
Oppo in India cricket deal
Smartphone high-flyer Oppo is trying to show the world it’s serious about India, with word it will pay 1.1 billion yuan ($160 million) for rights to sponsor the nation’s national cricket team. News of the deal comes just three months after China’s top smartphone brand announced plans to build a production facility in the hotly contested India market, which has become a magnet for Chinese brands over the last year.
All that raises the question of whether Oppo is for real, or just another passing fad in China’s constantly changing smartphone landscape. That landscape has seen players like Lenovo (HKEx: 992), Xiaomiand Huawei become dominant players in the world’s largest smartphone market one day, only to rapidly fade the next. It’s obviously still too early to say if Oppo will follow in that trajectory, though my educated guess would be the answer to that question is quite possibly “yes”. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Fosun’s newest acquisitions indicate it could soon become more active in the asset management and drug sectors outside China, with a focus on emerging markets like the BRICS countries.
Fosun buys India’s Gland Pharma
Private equity giant Fosun (HKEx: 656) is in 2 separate M&A headlines in the BRICS nations of Brazil and India, purchasing an asset manager in the former and a drug maker in the latter. Pharmaceuticals and real estate have been 2 of Fosun’s focus areas in its shopping spree both at home and abroad, though the move into developing markets is relatively new.
Fosun has more traditionally focused its global buying on western markets in the US and Europe. So this latest pair of deals could signal a new focus on emerging markets, especially ones like Brazil and Russia where recent economic malaise could be pressuring some debt-laden companies to sell off assets at bargain prices to raise cash. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: China’s sudden worries over Apple’s new love affair with India are probably overblown, but do reflect Apple’s need to find new growth engines to offset its rapidly cooling China sales.
China frets over Apple’s new dance with India
Apple(Nasdaq: AAPL) CEO Tim Cook’s surprise first trip to India 2 weeks ago may be firmly in the history books, but it’s still front page news in the Chinese headlines, revealing an unexpected angst in the world’s biggest smartphone market. China has grown accustomed to being at the center of Apple’s universe, as Cook has made numerous trips to the country over the last 3 years in a bid to curry favor with Beijing and Chinese consumers. So the sudden trip to India, a rival with China in many ways, appears to be causing some unexpected sweating by Chinese who worry they may soon lose their spot as the leading object of Apple’s affections. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Qihoo and Meizu are likely to struggle with their new smartphone campaigns in India, where intensifying competition will also undermine domestic rivals like Xiaomi and Huawei that have recently entered the market.
Qihoo unveils new Qiku smartphones
Qihoo (NYSE: QIHU) and Meizu have announced they are taking their smartphones to India, becoming the latest Chinese brands to export to the fast-growing but increasingly competitive market. India is actually the second stop on Qihoo’s smartphone roadmap, which will begin in its home China market with the launch of the first 2 models of its new Qiku smartphone brand. Meizu has become a major second-tier player in its home China market over the last few years, and formally announced its own move into India this week as it looks to move overseas.
The pair will join several of China’s top smartphone makers in the increasingly crowded India market, which shares many qualities with China. Xiaomi launched in India last year and the market quickly became its second largest globally, while Huawei’s Honor brand has also scored rapid progress in the market. But Qihoo’s biggest competitor in India could be Coolpad (HKEx: 2369), which is already a big player in the market but will also produce Qihoo’s new smartphones through a joint venture formed by the pair last year. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Ant Financial’s bid for a stake in Indian smartphone maker Micromax reflects Alibaba’s recent focus on India, as it seeks to expand to markets where it can quickly grow and justify its high valuation.
Alibaba unit eyes Micromax investment
E-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) appears to have its sights set on India, with word that the company’s financial arm is leading a group that could invest $1 billion or more for a stake in local smartphone giant Micromax. The reported bid is being led by Ant Financial, which is separately run from Alibaba and has no equity relationship with the US-listed e-commerce giant. But such a bid would clearly be part of Alibaba’s broader global expansion, as it tries to justify its lofty valuation following a record IPO last September. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Xiaomi’s diversified sales strategy in India could help reverse recent setbacks, but could ultimately undermine the carefully cultivated cool and trendy image that has been key to its broader success.
Xiaomi adds traditional retailers in India
Smartphone sensation Xiaomi is making a risky move in India, abandoning its trendy online-only sales model as it faces headwinds in a market that has become its first major stepping stone onto the global stage. Xiaomi is calling the decision to sell its phones through traditional retail stores a tactical move, in a nod to the less advanced state of India’s Internet compared its home China market.
While that may be true, this new move also hints at signs of distress as Xiaomi faces new challenges in India on several fronts. One of those centers on an intellectual property dispute with global telecoms titan Ericsson (Stockholm: ERICb), which forced Xiaomi to stop selling its higher-end phones in India last December. The other big challenge is coming from other Chinese smartphone makers like Meizu, which are attempting to copy Xiaomi’s early success in India. Read Full Post…
Bottom line: Alibaba’s 2 latest big investments in Snapchat and Snapdeal look like good bets for strong financial returns, but are unlikely to produce any major strategic benefit.
Alibaba in talks for Snapdeal stake
I was a bit confused on my first reading of the headlines today, after seeing articles saying e-commerce leader Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) was in talks to invest in 2 companies whose “snappy” names sounded quite similar. But a closer reading made it clear that these were 2 very different deals, one involving the popular US social networking service (SNS) Snapchat, and the other involving a popular Indian e-commerce site called Snapdeal.
Despite their big geographic and product differences, these 2 deals seem to represent a growing trend for Alibaba, which is no longer acquiring companies but instead only buying small strategic stakes. The strategy looks mostly advantageous to the investment targets. That’s because it’s helping to push up the valuations of names like Snapchat and Snapdeal to frothy levels, much the way Alibaba used similar investments to pump up its own valuation in the run-up to its IPO last year. Read Full Post…
